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Forums - Politics Discussion - Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

shavenferret said:

I think that there is a disconnect here and that this is stemming from the fact that you are bring an idealist while at the same time knowing the poor character of the orange guy. It is certainly abhorrent but what is also true is that these unfair treaties and necessary aid won't last more than a few years.   So the problem will fix itself. And Ukraine 🇺🇦  will no doubt be generously supplied with aid for rebuilding. 

No I know that, Lol. You say that Trump is being unfair and abhorrent, so did I, I also said I hope a future presidency will fix it. All I was criticising was how sick of Trump it is, whilst agreeing that unfortunately it's the only way to work around Trump. Other user seemed to take issue with me criticising Trump specifically but I see nothing wrong with pointing out he's being an asshole.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - 2 hours ago

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Hopefully Ukraine stops sharing intelligence with America in the future. Tulsi Gabbard can not be trusted.

Do not tell America about battle plans, do not tell them about offensives, do not tell them about targets.



Ryuu96 said:

America is #16 in terms of support as a % of GDP which puts them below...

  1. Estonia
  2. Denmark
  3. Lithuania
  4. Latvia
  5. Finland
  6. Sweden
  7. Netherlands
  8. Poland
  9. Norway
  10. Slovakia
  11. Croatia
  12. United Kingdom
  13. Czechia
  14. Canada
  15. Romania
  16. United States

Europe as a whole has sent more aid than United States and that's not to mention the millions of war migrants we have to take in.

The only countries I would refuse to criticise would be Poland, The Baltics and The Nordics.

America and Western Europe both share blame, both could do a lot more.

That list doesn't even take the EU budget into account which is obviously all money which also came from the EU countries. That's like 50 billion more on top of what every single country did. So even without refugee costs, pretty much every European country spent more compared to their GDP as USA did. 

Europe obviously still missed to invest more in their military the last decades but yeah, all this "Europe needs to do more to catch up with Ukraine help" from Trump when Europe already does more is annoying...

It also doesn't help to argue about this now. Yes, many European countries didn't invest enough in their military but the war is now and we have to check which country can do what now. Everything else is something which needs to get better in the future.

USA also misses to invest more to fight natural disasters like the fire around LA now but it would be ridiculous from Canada to tell USA "we don't help you because you could have done more"

Last edited by crissindahouse - 2 hours ago

Ryuu96 said:
mrstickball said:

And the simple solution to having avoided this was..... Any western European leader showing a backbone and supporting Ukraine so the Russians would have lost by now.

Europeans funded the bombs and bullets to kill Ukranians and did literally nothing for Ukranians after the annexation of Crimea. How could any deal or trade for the support needed to win be the fault of Trump or the US when Europe has slow-walked their support, ignored NATO funding for decades, then magically decided that they gotta do more now?

Yes, there are many other proposals out there that would be better for Ukraine to win, but as of yet, this is the only potential one on the table that actually yields a Ukranian victory with their homeland intact. Until another nation does that, then what do you really want?

Why are you laying all the blame on Western Europe? America could have shown a backbone too, Poland, the Baltics and Nordics have all shown a bigger backbone than both Western Europe and America.

And I do agree that Western Europe has been too cowardly but don't kid yourself that America has been any better; It was UK who broke the taboo of sending Western MBTs whilst America debated, it was UK and France who broke the taboo of sending Long-Range Missiles whilst America debated (and still didn't, for months), it was UK who was first to send ATGMs. To date, it is only Europe who have sent F-16s to Ukraine.

It was UK and France who for months were literally begging America to allow Ukraine to use Storm Shadow/SCALP on Russia, missiles which both UK and France created and own, it was America blocking it and threatening to withhold key components or support to Ukraine if we allowed Ukraine to use our own damn missiles as we saw fit. In fact UK has been a stronger supporter of Ukraine than most since as far back as Crimea's invasion.

America's too funded those bombs and bullets that killed Ukrainians and America's too did nothing for Ukrainians after Russia stole Crimea, despite the fact that United Kingdom and United States signed the Budapest Memorandum, that thing where Ukraine surrendered their nukes in exchange for security guarantees? Where were America's security guarantees? We have all failed Ukraine, not just Western Europe.

My criticism is that America plundering Ukraine in exchange for protection is abhorrent, it's Mafia shit, it's extortion. Without America's support, Ukraine will fall, I don't like that Europe is not ready but the fact is they aren't ready. We should be supporting Ukraine simply because it's the right thing to do, not because we want to line our pockets which is what Trump wants to do.

Fact is the majority of "aid" sent to Ukraine by America doesn't even leave America, it stays in America, it is used to build new weapons, it is used to resupply America's own military with newer equipment, whilst Ukraine receives the old stuff which was destined for scrap anyway, it provided American manufacturing jobs, it is already beneficial for America to support Ukraine but now they want more.

Just take Russia's frozen assets FFS instead of pillaging Ukraine.

It is the only potential one on the table because Trump is the one who made it the only potential one on the table, he could still support Ukraine without pillaging the country but since Donald Trump is a heartless bastard and I know there's no alterative, I would bitterly swallow that pill and hope that a future President rips that shit up. How the hell is Ukraine meant to recover post-war if someone is taking all their resources? America sure as shit won't help them, so it's on Europe to invest 100s of billions into restoring Ukraine is it?

You say Western Europe ignored NATO funding for decades but the issue with complaints like these, people act like Eastern Europe doesn't exist, what about those countries? Do they not get any credit at all? Why is it all about Western Europe? Why should Eastern Europe suffer because of Western Europe AND America's lack of conviction?

Poland actually spends more on their military by GDP % than America does and every Baltic Country already hits the 2% threshold, the UK also hits the 2% threshold. Nowadays 23/32 NATO countries hit the 2% threshold. Including Germany. Probably the only relevant ones left are Spain, Italy and France although I don't know how France which has the largest military in Europe isn't hitting 2%.

But I've said time and time again that everyone should do more, nobody is doing enough aside from Poland, Baltics and Nordics.

America is #16 in terms of support as a % of GDP which puts them below...

  1. Estonia
  2. Denmark
  3. Lithuania
  4. Latvia
  5. Finland
  6. Sweden
  7. Netherlands
  8. Poland
  9. Norway
  10. Slovakia
  11. Croatia
  12. United Kingdom
  13. Czechia
  14. Canada
  15. Romania
  16. United States

Europe as a whole has sent more aid than United States and that's not to mention the millions of war migrants we have to take in.

The only countries I would refuse to criticise would be Poland, The Baltics and The Nordics.

America and Western Europe both share blame, both could do a lot more.

You're failing to mention anything done prior to February 2022.

Who kept buying natural gas from Russia and not embargoing when they invaded Crimea? Who kept making deals with Russia despite sovereign territory being taken over by the military?

Who prepared the Ukranians for the war with Russia between 2014 and 2022? How many NATO soldiers from Germany and France were preparing them to resist the Russians?

Who sold the Javelin missiles to Ukraine that hammered the Russian convoys around Cherniv, forcing the convoy back to Russia instead of taking Kyiv? Who trained their troops to NATO standards in the TDF before the invasion?

Without a doubt, Western Europe is doing its part now. But they sure as heck set the conditions for this to happen in the first place. 

Here's some reading for you: https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/SN07135/SN07135.pdf

Page 3, Paragraph 2:

In contrast to the United States (see below), the UK Government ruled out
providing lethal arms to Ukraine at the time. Other European leaders,
including then German Chancellor Angela Merkel and then French President
Francois Hollande, also openly opposed arming Ukraine.10

Totally missing from the debate of % of support of Ukraine, is aid, or wholesale lack of it, to Ukraine prior to the outbreak of hostilities. Every nation has a ton of blood on their hands from this happening in the first place including the US. But given the information we know from the start of Euromaidan, its been pretty dang clear that Western Europe slept mostly at the wheel while the groundwork was prepared for the invasion.

I do agree that Eastern Europe is doing its part. There's only so much the baltics could have done, or Poland. But I think that its very, very shameful what the rest of the West did, especially Germany and France.

Also, there's the whole 2% of NATO spending that Trump screamed about for years prior to this. Europe decided to save a percentage point instead of having arms to help the Ukranians. Its wild to think that a partner across an entire ocean can be derided for only providing slightly less than half of the military aid to Ukraine, while the neighbors that have clearly been impacted to a great degree, decided to defund their militaries for well over a decade. 

Again, I will cite the UK Parliments own paper. The information provided wherewithin is pretty damning of the European defense consensus prior to 2022. 

To cite that paper again:

The US provided $2.5 billion in security assistance between 2014-2021. By comparison, the UK gifted 2.2 million pounds between 2015-2017. Who participated in Joint Endeavour in 2020? Again according to the paper, the EU planned to provide $31 million over 3 years to Ukraine for a peace facility... Starting in December 2021. European defense spending was a nightmare prior to this, and so often its not mentioned as if this didn't have massive compunding effects. What if Europe had a spine and resolve similar to what America did in its aid in 2015-2021? What if other countries actually provided lethal aid to Ukraine prior to the war? Its very, very possible much of this slaughter could have been prevented, if not for much of Europe being asleep. 

Yes, its awesome Europe is finally doing right after hundreds of thousands of Ukranians are dead or woudned. My problem is why it took the war for them to finally do what they were supposed to do 10 years ago to of prevented a lot of this from happening.

Last edited by mrstickball - 2 hours ago

Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

crissindahouse said:
Ryuu96 said:

America is #16 in terms of support as a % of GDP which puts them below...

  1. Estonia
  2. Denmark
  3. Lithuania
  4. Latvia
  5. Finland
  6. Sweden
  7. Netherlands
  8. Poland
  9. Norway
  10. Slovakia
  11. Croatia
  12. United Kingdom
  13. Czechia
  14. Canada
  15. Romania
  16. United States

Europe as a whole has sent more aid than United States and that's not to mention the millions of war migrants we have to take in.

The only countries I would refuse to criticise would be Poland, The Baltics and The Nordics.

America and Western Europe both share blame, both could do a lot more.

That list doesn't even take the EU budget into account which is obviously all money which also came from the EU countries. That's like 50 billion more on top of what every single country did. So even without refugee costs, pretty much every European country spent more compared to their GDP as USA did. 

Europe obviously still missed to invest more in their military the last decades but yeah, all this "Europe needs to do more to catch up with Ukraine help" from Trump when Europe already does more is annoying...

It also doesn't help to argue now about this. Yes, many European countries didn't invest enough in their military but the war is now and we have to check which country can do what now. Everything else is something which needs to get better in the future.

USA also misses to invest more to fight natural disasters like the fire around LA now but it would be ridiculous from Canada to tell USA "we don't help you because you could have done more"

That is true, we should have been more prepared, but these are the realities we live in, the alternative is watching Ukraine die to punish Western Europe for not doing enough? But either way, we are all getting better now, Europe is reinvesting in its military and increasing its GDP %. Everyone can still do more, including America and if everyone put themselves in even a slightly uncomfortable situation, the war would have been won, Russia would be defeated, but we don't because we're scared of...Russia...? Lol.

America invested a disgustingly massive amount into their military, bigger than Russia and China combined, we didn't force them to do that, now when the time comes, all I hear is America whining at us and complaining, America wanting something in return, what was their military investment even for? They have a chance to defeat one of the two main reasons for their military even existing and they're pissing their pants at the idea and trying to weasel out of it, I suppose it meant more to America to have a dick measuring contest than actually stop Russia and China aggression.

Many European countries do more than America, and a number are begging America and Western Europe to do more whilst putting everything on the line, it is not just a Western European issue and even then it is nuanced, there are some things America does better than Western Europe, some things Western Europe does better than America but I can't say either one is fully pulling their weight.

But my issue was specifically about Trump pillaging Ukraine in exchange for support, it's fucked up no matter how you slice it, I can accept it's necessary to ensure American support whilst still acknowledging that it's fucked up. What next? Is America going to demand Taiwan hand over all their chip factories to American companies in exchange for support from China? Demand South Korea hands over Samsung in exchange for support? Lol.

Fuck sake, there's like hundreds of billions in frozen Russian assets, at least start with taking that, Ukraine will need its resources post-war to recover. It is fucked up to ask allies, or people fighting for their lives, to give up anything in exchange for support, America's just think they're safe across the ocean so why should they help anyone, that kind of logic got Japan bombing them...Just because Russia or anyone else isn't a threat to America now doesn't mean they won't be in the future.

Imagine if after America's 9/11 and them called on NATO to support them if we demanded America surrender their oil to us in exchange for support and before it is said that Ukraine isn't an ally of America, they have a 10-year bilateral security agreement and that is on top of the Budapest Memorandum that Republicans are trying to ignore and Democrats didn't do enough to protect.



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mrstickball said:

You're failing to mention anything done prior to February 2022.

Who kept buying natural gas from Russia and not embargoing when they invaded Crimea? Who kept making deals with Russia despite sovereign territory being taken over by the military?

Who prepared the Ukranians for the war with Russia between 2014 and 2022? How many NATO soldiers from Germany and France were preparing them to resist the Russians?

Who sold the Javelin missiles to Ukraine that hammered the Russian convoys around Cherniv, forcing the convoy back to Russia instead of taking Kyiv? Who trained their troops to NATO standards in the TDF before the invasion?

Without a doubt, Western Europe is doing its part now. But they sure as heck set the conditions for this to happen in the first place. 

Here's some reading for you: https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/SN07135/SN07135.pdf

Page 3, Paragraph 2:

In contrast to the United States (see below), the UK Government ruled out
providing lethal arms to Ukraine at the time. Other European leaders,
including then German Chancellor Angela Merkel and then French President
Francois Hollande, also openly opposed arming Ukraine.10

Totally missing from the debate of % of support of Ukraine, is aid, or wholesale lack of it, to Ukraine prior to the outbreak of hostilities. Every nation has a ton of blood on their hands from this happening in the first place including the US. But given the information we know from the start of Euromaidan, its been pretty dang clear that Western Europe slept mostly at the wheel while the groundwork was prepared for the invasion.

I do agree that Eastern Europe is doing its part. There's only so much the baltics could have done, or Poland. But I think that its very, very shameful what the rest of the West did, especially Germany and France.

Also, there's the whole 2% of NATO spending that Trump screamed about for years prior to this. Europe decided to save a percentage point instead of having arms to help the Ukranians. Its wild to think that a partner across an entire ocean can be derided for only providing slightly less than half of the military aid to Ukraine, while the neighbors that have clearly been impacted to a great degree, decided to defund their militaries for well over a decade. 

Again, I will cite the UK Parliments own paper. The information provided wherewithin is pretty damning of the European defense consensus prior to 2022. 

To cite that paper again:

The US provided $2.5 billion in security assistance between 2014-2021. By comparison, the UK gifted 2.2 million pounds between 2015-2017. Who participated in Joint Endeavour in 2020? Again according to the paper, the EU planned to provide $31 million over 3 years to Ukraine for a peace facility... Starting in December 2021. European defense spending was a nightmare prior to this, and so often its not mentioned as if this didn't have massive compunding effects. What if Europe had a spine and resolve similar to what America did in its aid in 2015-2021? What if other countries actually provided lethal aid to Ukraine prior to the war? Its very, very possible much of this slaughter could have been prevented, if not for much of Europe being asleep. 

Yes, its awesome Europe is finally doing right after hundreds of thousands of Ukranians are dead or woudned. My problem is why it took the war for them to finally do what they were supposed to do 10 years ago to of prevented a lot of this from happening.

I did note that the UK was a stronger supporter than most of Europe after the Crimea invasion, in terms of sanctions and such, I also acknowledged that we all still didn't do enough, including America. What did America do to Russia after Crimea? Nothing more than a slap on the wrist. Russia had no reason to fear Europe nor America because neither gave them reason to fear. Whilst Russia was still illegally occupying Crimea, Trump even during his first term, threatened to cut off aid to Ukraine.

You will not find me defending many countries in Europe decision to continue buying natural gas from Russia or rather, making themselves too reliant on it, but lets be honest, it was far easier for America to avoid Russian gas than it was for Europe so like I won't defend Europe for making themselves reliant on it, I also don't see why I should give credit to America for avoiding something so easy for them. Who can I blame for making deals? The entire world kept making deals and being friendly with Russia after Crimea, including America.

You can blame NATO for not preparing Ukraine sufficiently for Russia's full scale invasion but America is also in NATO. I know the UK trained over 18,000 Ukrainian soldiers before 2022 though. However, Ukraine's constitution makes it illegal for Ukraine to hold foreign military bases on their own soil so I doubt there were many NATO soldiers in Ukraine in the first place, but yes, we could have and should have sent more military equipment.

Now to the present, after the full-scale invasion, the UK was the first to provide NLAW missiles. The UK was the first to send Long-Range Missiles along with France. It took America literally months to decide to send Long-Range Missiles (ATACMS) out of fear of escalation. The UK was the first to send Modern Main-Battle Tanks. I'll say again, America has yet to send a single F-16 to Ukraine, they've all been European. That's not to say America is useless, there are areas which America excels in, such as HIMARS, Bradley's and pure amounts of support, but HIMAS effectiveness decreased and Russia managed to adapt better in part thanks to America's slowness and escalation management. UK and France had to beg America to allow us to send Long-Range Missiles and then beg them again to allow Ukraine to use them on Russian soil.

In the Present. America was more interested in playing Escalation Management than helping Ukraine win. I am not absolving Europe of blame though, I am simply stating that Europe isn't only to blame. You could say if Europe stood stronger against Russia after Crimea it could have deterred Russia but likewise I can say the same about America, if America stood stronger in support of Ukraine after Crimea it could have deterred Russia. Both America and Europe set these conditions to happen in the first place after the slap on the wrist they gave Russia after their invasion of Crimea (and before that, Georgia, and before that, Chechnya, and their stealing of Moldova's lands).

We all fucked up in deterring Russia and supporting Ukraine to adequate levels. We all slept at the wheel. You'll also not find me defending Merkel, I hate her approach she took with Russia. I've also strongly criticised Spain and Italy in this thread in the past because they've barely provided anything to Ukraine. You'll find me criticising UK and France for not sending more. You'll find me criticising Germany and America for playing Escalation Management and being too fearful of Russia.

The present is just as important as the past. We all fucked up in the past and now we're fucking up in the present. Both the UK, France, America and Germany could send more to Ukraine, but in the present, the UK and France have been more aggressive on dealing with Russia than America has been and I'm not talking about just sending weapons but lifting restrictions on those weapons. Germany is cowardly in offensive weaponry but amazing in defensive weaponry. In the present, the UK and France were begging America for permission to be more aggressive on Russia, along with Poland, The Baltics and Nordics. In the present, America was blocking Europe from allowing Ukraine to use their weapons how they see fit.

Trump screams about the 2% only because he wants to rile his fanbase up and bitch about NATO but the UK was hitting that 2% along with The Baltics and Poland, France wasn't hitting it but you can't say they have an unprepared military when they have one of, if not the most powerful military in Europe. Quite a few others were just bordering on the 2% but I do agree the threshold should now be higher than 2% and the current #1 is a European country (Poland) but it seems as though Eastern Europe has to suffer because of Western Europe? I don't think anyone, even America, believed Russia would be insane enough to fully invade Ukraine though...

Of course America can provide more in pure $ than other individual countries. They have a massively bigger economy, but look at the present now, that America in terms of GDP % for Military Support sits at #16 and behind many European countries. Your issue is a few European countries in Western Europe whilst ignoring all the rest doing their part.

What if Europe had a spine and did what America did in 2015-2021? By your numbers that would be $5bn across 7 years in total. Probably an extra couple tens of thousands soldiers trained. So, Russia would still invade because ultimately that definitely wouldn't have amounted to much deterrence at all. We're talking defending against a country with one of the biggest militaries in the world. It would have costed a lot more to deter Russia, we're talking tens of billions and potentially $100bn+ to modernise Ukraine and prepare them against Russia.

And Russia likely would have just invaded earlier if they saw NATO kitting Ukraine out at a faster pace anyway...But we could have still prepared them better either way, it would not have prevented the invasion in my view but it could have saved lived and shortened the full scale war, but we can't pin all the blame on Europe for that, America shares blame too, matching America's investment would have amounted to nothing in Russia's eyes either way. Now in the present I can very much say that America like many others are not pulling their weight and we all share blame for the length of time the war has dragged on.

The Democrats have been for the most part good supporters of Ukraine but they were sadly blinded by cowardice which prevented them from doing the right thing many times, in fear of escalation, then we have the Republicans who are simply looking for a reason to abandon allies and will only help if they're able to line their pockets in return. That was the crux of my criticism, that Trump pillaging Ukraine in exchange for keeping Ukraine alive was fucked up, I'm not sure why you took such offensive to that statement and how we're debating who has fucked up more.

Allies should defend allies without demanding they give up a significant portion of their resources in return. I know the world doesn't always work like that, but I will still call it out as fucked up when I see a country demanding shitty concessions in exchange for protecting lives and what does that say to all their other allies? America won't protect you unless you give up something significant in exchange?

Last edited by Ryuu96 - 44 minutes ago