I think Switch can sell 1 million for the next 5 years and reach 160 million. It just needs to avg 10k weekly in Japan and 10k outside of Japan the next 5 years

Given the slightly lower sales than expectations outside Japan, probably not.

Also with a probable price hike, would they ramp up the production?

Unless they come up with Nintendo Switch 2 lite. 

If anything they would first pull stock prolly from EU where the NS2 is selling the least and redirect it to Japan.

I’m sure they’re still building up inventory of parts for repairs in the future,
but that wouldn’t count towards sales. Something I’m only typing as I have found myself thinking about it,
even if the answer is obvious that is not a sale.

I guess there could be something we haven’t foreseen easily that could extend the sales as long as
costs to produce them stay low enough.

It’s not my guess, but not out of the question either.
Under usual trends I would say 160 million isn’t happening.

I think they have followed usual industry decline of sales since their peak, but it’s been a good run as well.
Slightly better than what I plotted out based on historical declines back in May 2021.

I think they wanted it to overtake the DS and made sure they didn’t miss that milestone.
I suspect they don’t think going for 160 million serves their business unless things have changed for them internally already.

Why would they care about passing DS? I feel like it would make sense to go for 160 if you were interested at all in passing something. 

I have to say, I do think Nintendo "cares" the question just is how much? Probably not a large amount. But i do think they care enough to do something to make it happen if they think they are within striking distance. The problem is that their hands are somewhat tied in a sense. The moves they are obligsted to make as a company are moves that are going to maximize profits, not moves to chase a record. So its tough. 

I think ultimately, if they did care enough, they can sell the switch as they have been per usual for this year. In 2027 they can discontinue the home console but keep the lite as a cheap option, say like $100 portable device that plays switch 1 games. I can see that surviving on the market for a few years since its not something that is really directly competing with the switch 2. If they handled it that way, i think they could get to 160m with relative ease. 

Seems sales in japan are also slowly down a bit with just 10k last week,but who knows it could increase this one.

Nintendo can be proud there nr 1 with almost everything besides making more money/selling most systems ever, and let me real they needed a cheaper handheld mode to do it.

Best case scenario...

It would be absolutely magnificent if Nintendo came out and announced over 160 million units sold without giving a specific number; this would cause an eternal war between the two tribes and would be absolutely hilarious.

That would be funny to see i agree.

I think it's only fair. Going from 155 to 160 wouldnt exactly be unprecedented