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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Will XBox 360 reach 50 million?

squilliam,

FF is one of the best series around. I am not a big fan of it(only got FFVII and FFX which were incredible games), but many people do enjoy it like you enjoy Halo. So let people enjoy their games and quit ridiculing those that enjoy their PS3, 360, or Wii. They are all great systems.



 

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CrazzyMan said:
If M$ won`t discontinue x360 in 2010 and release new x720, then
24-25 mln. by the end of 2008.
31-35 mln. by the end of 2009.
38-44 mln. by the end of 2010.
Unless x360 will gain after 199$ for premiuim price, it`s not very believable, that x360 will pass 7-8 mln. yearly sales on average for these 3 years.

Anyway, with 2011 and 2012 it has not very bad chances to reach 50 mln. afterall. =)

 Good post by Crazzyman. No PS3 propaganda.



XBOX 360 will probably reach 50 million and go beyond if and only if Microsoft keeps supporting it when they release their next console.



dsoverpsp said:
yes
and one question - Does anyone else find it weird that there is a thread titled "will PS3 hit 100 million" and the 360 one is titled "Will the Xbox 360 hit 50 million?"?. Shouldn't it be the other way around considering the PS3 is still quite a bit beind the 360 in lifetime sales?
Just a thought.

 No, I don't.  The 360 will likely sell less than 50 million and the PS3 will sell more than the 360.



 

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I'd say about 30 million. Just a hunch.



Proud member of the SONIC SUPPORT SQUAD

Tag "Sorry man. Someone pissed in my Wheaties."

"There are like ten games a year that sell over a million units."  High Voltage CEO -  Eric Nofsinger

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crumas2 said:
halil23 said:
NO, 25-30 million

 

The only way the 360 could top out at such a low number would be if MS stops selling it at the end of 2008 and brings out a new console. Below are actual sales trends for the 360:

 

2006 sales: 6.7 m

2007 sales: 8.0 m

 

1st quarter 2006 sales: 1.1 m

1st quarter 2007 sales: 1.2 m

1st quarter 2008 sales: 1.7 m

 

During the first quarter of 2008, the 360 is selling 55% ahead of 1st quarter 2006, and 42% ahead of 1st quarter 2007. Assuming this trend continues and the 360 sells 55% more in 2008 than 2007, then that will be 12.4 m sold in 2008, which will put the 360 at a grand total of 28.5 m by the end of this year.

Even if the 360 were to inexplicably drop in sales and only track 2007's numbers, 8 m, that would still put the grand total of 360s at 24.1 m by the end of 2008, almost at the bottom of your "lifetime" sales range. The only way I could see the 360 not reaching past 30 m lifetime sales would be if MS decided to stop selling it by the end of this year. Considering they're actually making a profit from the system now, and still have yet to see sales from the $199 price point, I can't imagine them getting out the race that early.

Do you know something you could share with the rest of us regarding MS' future console plans?

 

EDIT: changed some of the numbers above to reflect real math instead of the imagination math I was using


Careful when playing with sound logic.  You might hurt some of the kids on the board here as they aren't used to it. 



I hate trolls.

Systems I currently own:  360, PS3, Wii, DS Lite (2)
Systems I've owned: PS2, PS1, Dreamcast, Saturn, 3DO, Genesis, Gamecube, N64, SNES, NES, GBA, GB, C64, Amiga, Atari 2600 and 5200, Sega Game Gear, Vectrex, Intellivision, Pong.  Yes, Pong.

Also, correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't about 75% of PS2 hardware sales come AFTER the $199 price cut? I think it is realistic to expect a rather significant increase in hardware sales if/when a $100 price cut occurs for the 360 hardware. There is already a large library and it is growing fast. By the time the $199 price tag hits, there will be an enormous library of games to play (cheap) and an awful lot of people will be buying one. I don't think there is any question that the 360 will reach 50 million units assuming Microsoft doesn't do anything stupid. All of their efforts right now should be on building a "slim" model that is bulletproof and dirt cheap to make. Get it out there with a $199 price tag and quit trying to build a Wii controller clone...



I hate trolls.

Systems I currently own:  360, PS3, Wii, DS Lite (2)
Systems I've owned: PS2, PS1, Dreamcast, Saturn, 3DO, Genesis, Gamecube, N64, SNES, NES, GBA, GB, C64, Amiga, Atari 2600 and 5200, Sega Game Gear, Vectrex, Intellivision, Pong.  Yes, Pong.

rocketpig said:
CrazzyMan said:
If M$ won`t discontinue x360 in 2010 and release new x720, then
24-25 mln. by the end of 2008.
31-35 mln. by the end of 2009.
38-44 mln. by the end of 2010.
Unless x360 will gain after 199$ for premiuim price, it`s not very believable, that x360 will pass 7-8 mln. yearly sales on average for these 3 years.

Anyway, with 2011 and 2012 it has not very bad chances to reach 50 mln. afterall. =)

I'm... I'm... Speechless.

My faith in the world has been shattered. Nothing is as it seems.


 Quick! Someone bring him a shrubbery!



CrazzyMan said:
If M$ won`t discontinue x360 in 2010 and release new x720, then
24-25 mln. by the end of 2008.
31-35 mln. by the end of 2009.
38-44 mln. by the end of 2010.
Unless x360 will gain after 199$ for premiuim price, it`s not very believable, that x360 will pass 7-8 mln. yearly sales on average for these 3 years.

Anyway, with 2011 and 2012 it has not very bad chances to reach 50 mln. afterall. =)

Wow... I think these numbers are probably dead on.  Good post. 



Crazzyman for the win!

I guess all of those bans taught him to become a smart, wonderful member of VGChartz.com

We should ban people more often :)

kn - Yes, for the Xbox, PS2, and GC (as well as most every console), major sales came when the price dropped by 30%+, regardless of system. The PS2 sold great when it was $199 and below, same for Xbox. GC did OK when it hit $129, and so on.

IF microsoft decided to drop the price of the Arcade to $199 by the end of 2008, it should start selling near it's maximum potential. The "real" question is if/when the 360 Premium hits that number.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.