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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 6, 2021 (Feb 01 - Feb 07)

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Otter said:
Agente42 said:

and people already have the PS5? buying air?

The lack of support, the problems with the console, the problem with production, maybe Sony rushed Ps5 launch? 


When the systems entire LTD sales are only equal to PS4's launch week, I don't think there is too much to expect there + the higher digital ratio I mentioned before + lack of a killer app for the market. The bulk of sales really does come from new hardware purchases at this point in a systems life. I suspect Demon Souls and Spiderman will do well in the end, but they need a userbase first. The PSVita had weeks post launch where only 1 game would chart (probably also weeks with 0) and it was selling far more hardware. I suspect BC  is also keeping some users occupied until bigger hitters come out

Regarding your latter point, looks like trolling lol

I'm not trolling. I guess the PS5 launch was a bit rushed in Japan You don't think so? Maybe sony launch in March/21is a better solution? What do you think? 



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Agente42 said:
Otter said:


When the systems entire LTD sales are only equal to PS4's launch week, I don't think there is too much to expect there + the higher digital ratio I mentioned before + lack of a killer app for the market. The bulk of sales really does come from new hardware purchases at this point in a systems life. I suspect Demon Souls and Spiderman will do well in the end, but they need a userbase first. The PSVita had weeks post launch where only 1 game would chart (probably also weeks with 0) and it was selling far more hardware. I suspect BC  is also keeping some users occupied until bigger hitters come out

Regarding your latter point, looks like trolling lol

I'm not trolling. I guess the PS5 launch was a bit rushed in Japan You don't think so? Maybe sony launch in March/21is a better solution? What do you think? 

Oh, my mistake. I though you were referring to the PS5's entire roll out, which has been very strong overall if not a bit frontloaded (but we're in the midst of a pandemic), its had much better software support than PS4 and doesn't seem to be suffering from any large scale issues/failure rate.

Japan specifically? They could have delayed it, but I said this to rol in the past: from a consumer perspective, its better to be in tight supply and give the appearance of high demand than to officially announce a delay to your home region and upset the whole market. The latter I think is more damaging to the brand. 



BotW increasing, it was kinda close to returning to the top 10.



It kinda feels like kicking someone while they're down to criticize PS5's performance in Japan at this point, but yeah, it's not exactly a good sign that week after week passes with no PS5 software in the top 30 and hardware tracking behind the Wii U of all things.

Once supply can be sorted out and some actual next gen games arrive things should pick up, but lifetime I expect it to continue the decline PS systems have shown in Japan since PS2.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

From the numbers at COMG, I feared Switch might drop below 80k due to the shortages, glad it's not quite the case.



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The game that can break 50K on the PS5 in the first half of the year is basically Resident Evil... things aren't going to improve a whole lot when there is no compelling reason to purchase the system in Japan. Combine this with the fact that Nintendo is also dominating other Asian markets, and the situation becomes a lot more complex.
Essentially PS4/PS5 exclusive projects will see a huge decline in Japan this year and the platforms will struggle to surpass 750K, more worryingly for Sony's partners is that this situation will be repeated in other market places. Asia makes up around 70-80% of sales for certain Japanese 3rd Parties that are aligned to Sony, so it will be a pretty big hit for them

PS4/PS5 2021 Top 5:

  1. [PS4] Disgaea 6 (Nippon Ichi) - 18.289
  2. [PS4] Call of Duty: Black Ops - Cold War (Sony) - 16.454
  3. [PS4] Nioh 2: The Complete Edition (Koei Tecmo) - 6.523
  4. [PS4] Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 6.079
  5. [PS4] Umineko no Naku Koro ni Saku (Entergram) - 3.361
Last edited by noshten - on 13 February 2021

Farsala said:
Wyrdness said:

Nintendo's highest performance with the Switch is around 3m in this quarter in fact if we look back over prior years numbers normally the second best quarter of the year is often Jul-Sept (Q2 in FY).

Is it the worst quarter though? IE: the quiet time of the year.

2020 CY has Q4>Q1>Q2>Q3, so already an instance of 2nd best quarter.

You're going to need to provide a source because going by the quarter reports in 2020 Q1 was the worst for example Nintendo's shipments Last year:

Q4 - 11.57m
Q3 - 6.86m
Q2- 5.67m
Q1- 3.29m

These are Nintendo's own numbers and last Q1 was their best in a long time yet only moved 3.29m.



Wyrdness said:
Farsala said:

Is it the worst quarter though? IE: the quiet time of the year.

2020 CY has Q4>Q1>Q2>Q3, so already an instance of 2nd best quarter.

You're going to need to provide a source because going by the quarter reports in 2020 Q1 was the worst for example Nintendo's shipments Last year:

Q4 - 11.57m
Q3 - 6.86m
Q2- 5.67m
Q1- 3.29m

These are Nintendo's own numbers and last Q1 was their best in a long time yet only moved 3.29m.

I see the issue now.

I am talking about Japan only, as this is the Famitsu thread.



January totals

https://www.perfectly-nintendo.com/japan-famitsu-sales-for-january-2021-software-hardware-publishers/

Top 5 games:

01./01. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa mo Teiban! (Konami) {2020.11.19} (¥6.300) – 556.733 / 1.789.756 (-27%)
02./03. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure # (Nintendo) {2019.10.18} (¥7.980) – 229.006 / 2.316.011 (+11%)
03./02. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons # (Nintendo) {2020.03.20} (¥5.980) – 227.903 / 6.606.006 (-31%)
04./04. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) – 181.258 / 3.638.441 (+8%)
05./00. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) – 120.689 / 4.133.863

Top 3 publishers:

Nintendo – 1.399.000
Konami – 594.000
Pokemon Co. – 123.000

Hardware:

NS - 875,389

PS5 - 72,420

PS4 - 35,254

3DS - 2838

Xbox Series - 1926

Last edited by curl-6 - on 15 February 2021

Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

Switch 3rd Party Top 10 2021:

  1. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 613.016
  2. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 104.004
  3. Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 48.458
  4. Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 36.556
  5. Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 35.166
  6. Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 (Sega) - 30.250
  7. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 28.861
  8. Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 27.965
  9. Disgaea 6 (Nippon Ichi) - 25.744 NEW
  10. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 15.414

TOTAL: 965.434

Switch 3rd Party Top 10 Q1 2020:

  1. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 185.900
  2. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games (Sega) - 97.772
  3. Hatsune Miku: Project Diva MegaMix (Sega) - 78.558 NEW
  4. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 76.921
  5. Persona 5 Scramble (Atlus) - 65.653 NEW
  6. One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco) - 61.571 NEW
  7. Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 39.804
  8. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 39.181
  9. My Hero: One's Justice 2 (Bandai Namco) - 24.829 NEW
  10. Disney Tsum Tsum Festival (Bandai Namco) - 22.515

TOTAL: 692.704

Konami continues to lead the way until Monster Hunter Rise launches

Momotaro & Monster Hunter Rise will be the Top 3rd Party games of Q1 on the Switch, combined they will likely get very close to 3 million sales, this is a huge jump compared to last year when Minecraft & Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games were the Top Selling 3rd Party games with under 300K sales combined. 

Momotaro is looking like it's heading towards over 1 million sales this Quarter, while Monster Hunter Rise might become the biggest launch on the system overtaking New Horizon's 1.8 million

Marvelous about to have their best Quarter 

Marvelous has found a surprise hit late last year, as Sakuna continues to sell and according to it's digital placement for last year the game has already surpassed 300K physical + digital making it very likely to be their best selling game of all time in Japan already. It doesn't seem that the game is done selling, so it could very well continue to sell in 2021 as it's already close to 50K this year. 

More importantly all signs are pointing towards Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town being their biggest launch ever in Japan with the initial shipment being over 200K and launch week surpassing Kan Colle Kai which launched with 137K on the PlayStation Vita in 2016. This is the first game by Marvelous that has potential to surpass 1 million sales in Japan. Pre-orders are trending very well across all retailers and the game is already #4 on Amazon.co.jp two weeks away from its launch. 

Square's Bravely Default 2 looks to build on prior entries

Although Bravely Default 2's pre-orders are lagging behind Olive Town, the title still has potential with good WoM to surpass the debut which launched with 144K sales and ended up very close to 400K lifetime. A lot will depend on the reception but previews were glowing, so there is still hope that the title sees growth. 

Elsewhere Dragon Quest XIS has benefited from the lower price and is likely to surpass last year's Quarterly sales. Balan and Densha GO! are the other titles set to launch, although there isn't high expectations for those two games at this time. 

Mixed fortunes in Q1 for other 3rd Parties

Disgaea 6 did see growth compared to Disgaea 5, although the game does seem like it won't be able to reach the franchise heights at least Nippon Ichi has had their best performance during the PS4/Switch era, so something they can build on.

For Bandai they have their catalog sales with Fishing Spirits leading the way but it seemed that Little Nightmares 2 will score good growth compared to the debut. They don't seem to have any other game revealed for Q1, so they will see considerable decline compared to last year when they had five titles in the Top 10. 

Imagineer & Teyon will continue to see growth thanks to Fitness Boxing 2 & Human Fall Flat as both games continue to see great legs.