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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Xbox 2021 Metacritic Prediction League (all predictions now closed)

Rules

1. Predict as many or as few games as you like, but those who make predictions on all games will have an advantage in the overall leaderboard

2. Metascores from 1 week after release will be used for comparison with predictions, unless the game still doesn't have enough reviews after 1 week (let's say 10 reviews), in which case scores may be obtained at some point later on once there are more reviews

3. You can change or post a prediction up until a week before the game releases

Scoring

Scoring will be handled like this:

Prediction is the same as the actual score 7 points
1-3 points difference 5 points
4-6 points difference 3 points
7-9 points difference 2 points
10 or more points difference 1 point

Leaderboard (Updated through Psychonauts 2)

1. FloatingWaffles- 25
1. Ryuu96- 25
3. shikamaru317- 24
4. Shaunodon- 23
5. WoodenPints- 22
6. DroidKnight- 19
7. AngryLittleAlchemist- 18
7. Sales2099- 18
7. derpysquirtle- 18
10. IronmanDX- 16
11. VersusEvil- 15
11.DeusExMachina- 15
13. QuakeCore89-14
14. Manlytears- 13
15. smroadkill15- 10
16. Azzanation-8
17. NobleTeam360- 7
18. Elputoxd-3
19. Zippy6- 2
20. AkimboCurly-0

1st Party

Psychonauts 2 (Voting Closed)

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 86 1 5
AngryLittleAlchemist 84 3 5
FloatingWaffles 86 1 5
Azzanation 75 12 1
IronmanDX 83 4 3
sales2099 86 1 5
QUAKECore89 88 1 5
VersusEvil 86 1 5
Manlytears 86 1 5
Ryuu96 86 1 5
Shaunodon 85 2 5
DeusXMachina 87 0 7
DroidKnight 88 1 5
derpysquirtle64 82 5 3
Zippy6 79 8 2
NobleTeam360 80 7 2
smroadkill15 87 0 7
Elputoxd 83 4 3
WoodenPints 88 1 5

Grounded

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 82
AngryLittleAlchemist 75
FloatingWaffles 79
Azzanation 75
IronmanDX 81
sales2099 81
VersusEvil 76
Manlytears 77
Ryuu96 78
Shaunodon 78
DeusXMachina 78
DroidKnight 85
derpysquirtle64 71
AkimboCurly 81

Flight Simulator (Voting Closed)

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 89 2 5
AngryLittleAlchemist 90 1 5
FloatingWaffles 88 3 5
Azzanation 90 1 5
IronmanDX 89 2 5
sales2099 90 1 5
QUAKECore89 85 6 3
VersusEvil 92 1 5
Manlytears 89 2 5
Ryuu96 88 3 5
Shaunodon 88 3 5
DeusXMachina 89 2 5
DroidKnight 85 6 3
derpysquirtle64 91 0 7
WoodenPints 89 2 5

Halo Infinite

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 89
AngryLittleAlchemist 88
FloatingWaffles 92
Azzanation 85
IronmanDX 89
sales2099 91
QUAKECore89 90
VersusEvil 88
Manlytears 83
Ryuu96 86
Shaunodon 88
DeusXMachina 86
DroidKnight 91
derpysquirtle64 84
LudicrousSpeed 90
Zippy6 86
NobleTeam360 88
smroadkill15 88
Elputoxd 88
WoodenPints 92
TheWalrusCaesar 86
AkimboCurly 90

Forza Horizon 5

User Prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 92
derpysquirtle64 89
LudicrousSpeed 91
Zippy6 89
NobleTeam360 91
smroadkill15 92
Elputoxd 91
DroidKnight 91
WoodenPints 90
Manlytears 89
Shaunodon 90
TheWalrusCaesar 94
AkimboCurly 91
Ryuu96 90

Age of Empires 4

User Prediction Difference Points
Elputoxd 88
shikamaru317 82
shaunodon 82
NobleTeam360 84
derpysquirtle64 81
WoodenPints 84
Manlytears 84
AkimboCurly 80
Ryuu96 84
DroidKnight 86

3rd Party Exclusives/Timed Exclusives

The Medium (Voting Closed)

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 78 7 2
DroidKnight 90 19 1
AngryLittleAlchemist 75 4 3
ice 79 8 2
IronmanDX 84 13 1
FloatingWaffles 72 1 5
WoodenPints 81 10 1
Azzanation 85 14 1
sales2099 75 4 3
QUAKECore89 76 5 3
VersusEvil 74 3 5
LudicrousSpeed 70 1 5
ManlyTears 79 8 2
Ryuu96 74 3 5
Shaunodon 83 12 1
DeusXMachina 76 5 3

MechWarrior 5 (Voting Closed)

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 72 2 5
AngryLittleAlchemist 75 1 5
FloatingWaffles 75 1 5
Azzanation 60 14 1
IronmanDX 79 4 3
sales2099 73 1 5
QUAKECore89 70 4 3
Ryuu96 75 1 5
Shaunodon 70 4 3
DroidKnight 71 1 5
derpysquirtle64 68 6 3
WoodenPints 73 1 5

CrossFire X

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 82
AngryLittleAlchemist 80
FloatingWaffles 81
Azzanation 70
IronmanDX 82
sales2099 82
QUAKECore89 74
Manlytears 74
Ryuu96 80
Shaunodon 74
DroidKnight 77
derpysquirtle64 77
LudicrousSpeed 83
NobleTeam360 77
smroadkill15 78
WoodenPints 80
AkimboCurly 79

Hello Neighbor 2

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 60
AngryLittleAlchemist 60
FloatingWaffles 54
Azzanation 60
IronmanDX 71
Manlytears 52
Ryuu96 60
Shaunodon 55
DroidKnight 68
derpysquirtle64 56
WoodenPints 69
AkimboCurly 66

The Gunk

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 83
FloatingWaffles 83
IronmanDX 79
sales2099 77
Manlytears 67
Ryuu96 83
Shaunodon 85
DroidKnight 90
derpysquirtle64 81
LudicrousSpeed 79
NobleTeam360 70
smroadkill15 76
Elputoxd 75
WoodenPints 87
AkimboCurly 70

Spoiler!

Exomecha

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 70
FloatingWaffles 66
Manlytears 62
Ryuu96 70
Shaunodon 66
DroidKnight 80
WoodenPints 66

Scorn

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 80
AngryLittleAlchemist 80
FloatingWaffles 74
Azzanation 75
IronmanDX 82
QUAKECore89 78
Manlytears 82
Ryuu96 75
Shaunodon 81
DroidKnight 85
derpysquirtle64 82
NobleTeam360 73
smroadkill15 65
WoodenPints 81
AkimboCurly 75

The Ascent (Voting Closed)

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 79 12 1
FloatingWaffles 81 14 1
IronmanDX 82 15 1
Manlytears 81 14 1
Ryuu96 80 13 1
Shaunodon 78 11 1
DroidKnight 81 14 1
WoodenPints 83 16 1

Second Extinction

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 72
FloatingWaffles 69
IronmanDX 75
Manlytears 66
VersusEvil 46
Ryuu96 70
Shaunodon 68
DroidKnight 76
Iceland 71
derpysquirtle64 68
WoodenPints 75
AkimboCurly 68

Echo Generation

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 82
FloatingWaffles 85
VersusEvil 84
Ryuu96 76
Shaunodon 84
DroidKnight 77
derpysquirtle64 78
WoodenPints 82

Tunic

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 81
AngryLittleAlchemist 73
FloatingWaffles 83
Azzanation 70
IronmanDX 75
VersusEvil 84
Ryuu96 78
Shaunodon 70
DroidKnight 73
derpysquirtle64 76
LudicrousSpeed 76
smroadkill15 74
WoodenPints 83

Twelve Minutes (Voting Closed)

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 81 3 5
FloatingWaffles 82 4 3
IronmanDX 84 6 3
Ryuu96 83 5 3
Shaunodon 78 0 7
DroidKnight 73 5 3
derpysquirtle64 80 2 5
LudicrousSpeed 79 1 5
NobleTeam360 81 3 5
smroadkill15 82 4 3
WoodenPints 75 3 5

Spoiler!

Warhammer 40K: Darktide

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 83
AngryLittleAlchemist 84
FloatingWaffles 80
Azzanation 75
IronmanDX 82
Manlytears 73
Ryuu96 80
Shaunodon 82
DroidKnight 80
derpysquirtle64 78
WoodenPints 77

Shredders

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 72
FloatingWaffles 72
IronmanDX 76
Ryuu96 70
Shaunodon 68
DroidKnight 66
derpysquirtle64 69
WoodenPints 66

Sable

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 81
FloatingWaffles 82
Ryuu96 80
Shaunodon 82
DroidKnight 79
derpysquirtle64 78
WoodenPints 79

Last Stop (Voting Closed)

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 82 18 1
FloatingWaffles 77 13 1
Ryuu96 76 12 1
Shaunodon 81 17 1
DroidKnight 78 14 1
WoodenPints 78 14 1

The Artful Escape (Voting Closed)

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 79
derpysquirtle64 72
WoodenPints 77
Shaunodon 78
TheWalrusCaesar 79
AkimboCurly 65
DroidKnight 75
Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 08 September 2021

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There are more 3rd party exclusives than just the ones that I put into the league, but I tried to pick the most significant ones, the ones that have the best chance of getting a good number of reviews on metacritic. I chose based on how many views each game got on youtube, as well as based on how many reviews previous games by the developer got in some cases.



My preliminary predictions:

Psychonauts 2- 85

Grounded- 82

Flight Sim- 89

Halo Infinite- 89

The Medium- 78

MechWarrior 5-72

CrossFireX- 82

Hello Neighbor 2- 60

The Gunk- 85

Exomecha- 70

Scorn- 80

The Ascent- 79

Second Extinction- 74

Echo Generation- 82

Tunic- 80

Twelve Minutes- 83

Warhammer- 83

Shredders- 72

Sable- 84

The Last Stop- 82

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 27 January 2021

Game snuck up on me. If it's not too late I'll go 90 for the Medium. What game is next after that one?



...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

Tagging, I'll start posting some predictions tomorrow.



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DroidKnight said:

Game snuck up on me. If it's not too late I'll go 90 for the Medium. What game is next after that one?

I'll take The Medium predictions right up until the embargo drops on 9AM eastern on January 27th since the league is just starting out. For future releases I will cutoff sooner, like maybe 2 or 3 days before. 

Not sure what game is next, we have so few announced release dates so far for MS exclusives, just release windows for few games. I would guess one of the games that got delayed out of 2020 into 2021 will release next, like CrossFire X, 12 Minutes, The Ascent, or Psychonauts 2. 



Just realized that MechWarrior 5 is getting an Xbox release in Spring 2021. Will add it to the league.

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 26 January 2021

I assume this is only for the Xbox platform version, right? It seems that way given Flight Simulator being available and not having split guesses between Psychonauts platforms. Or are we supposed to make an aggregate for all platforms a game releases on? 

Psychonauts 2: 

84

Grounded: 

75

Flight Simulator: 

90

Halo Infinite: 

88

The Medium: 

75

MechWarrior 5: 

75

CrossFireX: 

80

Hello Neighbor 2: 

60

Scorn: 

80

Tunic: 

73

Warhammer 40k: Darktide:

84

I'll fill in the rest later. 



AngryLittleAlchemist said:

I assume this is only for the Xbox platform version, right? It seems that way given Flight Simulator being available and not having split guesses between Psychonauts platforms. Or are we supposed to make an aggregate for all platforms a game releases on? 

Just the Xbox version, yes.



The Medium - 79