It will sell a lot, but it HAD the potential to sell way more and even be number 1. Which is a shame as the Switch is a great console.

The piss poor efforts from third parties with their half games and digital codes only has meant that people like me who collect a lot of physical media games, have significantly reduced our purchasing.

There is at least 30 additional games I would have owned already if the full game come on the physical medium. Crapcom an 2K are the worst at it.

If we're talking physical game sales only (which we seem to be), Switch will likely not touch 1 billion. Think of it. The Switch will probably sell 100-110 million units. That's a software tie ratio of about 10-9. I don't see most Switch owners reaching that threshold, especially only including physical games. Switch will very much hit 700 million, as its already over halfway there. Also keep in mind that we'll get at least 250-300 more physical Switch games in its lifetime. I'll predict 750 million software sales.

Switch will be the first Nintendo system with 1B pieces of software sold IMO.