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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart

PAOerfulone said:

Something I think that should be worth noting:
As of the end of last year, the total shipped+digital units for Breath of the Wild in Japan is a whopping 3.51 million (this includes the Wii U version during the last quarter of FY '17 when the Switch launched).
For a series whose best selling game in Japan, prior to the Switch, was at just around 1.7 million, that is MIND-BLOWING!
I searched for the best selling Final Fantasy games over there, and it appears the only two games in that series ahead of Breath of the Wild are VII (4.22) and VIII (3.7).

Though, I don't know how valid those numbers are.

But even so, the fact that a Zelda game is able to reach those levels and actually give the PS1 Final Fantasy games a run for their money - That thought would have been straight up laughable pre-Switch launch. Yet, here we are and it's a reality. And every sign and indication is that Tears of the Kingdom will do monstrous numbers as well. Absolutely incredible!

Well the best selling Zelda game globally was TP with 8.85m before right? So it's growth outside Japan is significantly larger than inside Japan and even more impressive. 246% higher globally than previous best compared to 106% higher in Japan.



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theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart April  20, 2023

1 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom  311 +10 22 ¥7,900 Nintendo
2 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (LE)  117 +2 22 ¥???? Nintendo
3 PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 40 +1 62 ¥9.900 Square Enix
4 NSW Pikmin 4
29 0 94 ¥???? Nintendo
5 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy 15 0 15 ¥???? Warner Bros.
6 NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 13 0 42 ¥????    Atlus
7 NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 11 0 36 ¥12,700  Sprite
8 NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 10 0 157 ¥4,500 Pikii
9 NSW My Teen Romantic Comedy SNAFU Climax! (LE) 4 0 7 ¥14,080 MAGES
10 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy (LE) 4 0 15 ¥???? Warner Bros.
11 NSW Ys Memoire: The Oath in Felghana 3 +1 7 ¥???? Nihon Falcom
12 PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 3 0 77 ¥???? FuRyu
13 New PS5 Star Wars Jedi: Survivor 3 0 9 ¥???? EA
14 NSW The Princess of Fortune and the Knights of Sorrow (LE) 3 0 7 ¥7,480 Idea Factory
15 PS5 Street Fighter 6 3 0 45 ¥???? Capcom
16 NSW JINKI Infinity
3 0 23 ¥???? Entergram
17 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 105 ¥18,700 Otomate
18 PS5 Diablo IV 2 0 47 ¥???? Blizzard
19 NSW My Teen Romantic Comedy SNAFU Climax! 2 0 7 ¥8,580 MAGES
20 NSW Princess Arthur (LE) 2 0 35 ¥9,350 Idea Factory
Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

Zippy6 said:
Kakadu18 said:

Famitsu's readers have always been more Playstation leaning. While Comg isn't the best point of reference, Famitsu's poll had FFXVI ahead of Splatoon 3 and Pokémon S/V last year. That poll is way less trustworthy unless you expect FFXVI to sell over 4mil in it's first week.

TotK's first week physical shipment is going to be 1mil while FFXVI is unlikely to ever reach that even including digital looking at how software sales have so far behaved on PS5.

The Amazon best seller charts are a good way to gauge interest. TotK is at #1, #8,#18. It has been #1 for many months now. FFXVI is at #4 and I think this is the highest it's been so far.

In the GEO pre-order charts (one of the largest gaming store chains in Japan) TotK has been #1 for many months now, while FFXVI is #3, up from #4 the previous week.

The farthest off Comg has been in recent years was with Pokémon Legends Arceus and that was because they had a shortage.

I wasn't trying to suggest that the Famitsu Poll ranking would reflect sales accurately. TOTK will certainly outsell FFXVI. But COMG seems to heavily underrepresent ps5 titles at the moment. FFXVI has 39 points at the same time where FFXV had 250 points which would suggest a massive decrease in interest in FF in Japan and I don't believe that is the case. FFXVI will certainly sell less than FFXV imo but I believe COMG points are greatly exaggerating the situation.

RE4 had 59 points on PS5 and 98 points on PS4 but sold better on PS5 FW. If we look at Atelier Ryza that sold 1,479 units per point on PS5 compared to 864 units per point on Switch. Hogwarts Legacy on PS5 was also massively underrepresented on COMG selling a huge 3,537 units per point FW. When just looking at the last few games already finds a range of 800 per point to 3600 per point it's hard to see how COMG points can really be used as even a rough suggestion of sales potential.

GameCOMG PointsFW SalesSales per Point
Hogwarts (PS5)1967,1963537
Forspoken (PS5)1429,0552075
Wo Long (PS5)1630,1321883
RE4 (PS5)5989,6621520
Wild Hearts (PS5)1826,9051495
Atelier Ryza 3 (PS5)1014,7871479
RE4 (PS4)9885,371871
Atelier Ryza 3 (Switch)3631,130864
Zero Mask of the Lunar Eclipse (Switch)1310,712824

Yeah, PS5 games get weirdly underrepresented on Comg. I expect FFXVI to end up at like 120 points at Comg but like 300-350k physical sales in all of Japan.



theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart April  21, 2023

1 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom  314 +3 21 ¥7,900 Nintendo
2 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (LE)  117 0 21 ¥???? Nintendo
3 PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 40 0 61 ¥9.900 Square Enix
4 NSW Pikmin 4
31 +2 93 ¥???? Nintendo
5 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy 15 0 14 ¥???? Warner Bros.
6 NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 13 0 41 ¥????    Atlus
7 NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 11 0 35 ¥12,700  Sprite
8 NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 10 0 156 ¥4,500 Pikii
9 NSW My Teen Romantic Comedy SNAFU Climax! (LE) 4 0 6 ¥14,080 MAGES
10 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy (LE) 4 0 14 ¥???? Warner Bros.
11 NSW Ys Memoire: The Oath in Felghana 3 0 6 ¥???? Nihon Falcom
12 PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 3 0 76 ¥???? FuRyu
13 PS5 Star Wars Jedi: Survivor 3 0 8 ¥???? EA
14 NSW The Princess of Fortune and the Knights of Sorrow (LE) 3 0 6 ¥7,480 Idea Factory
15 PS5 Street Fighter 6 3 0 44 ¥???? Capcom
16 NSW JINKI Infinity
3 0 22 ¥???? Entergram
17 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 104 ¥18,700 Otomate
18 PS5 Diablo IV 2 0 46 ¥???? Blizzard
19 NSW My Teen Romantic Comedy SNAFU Climax! 2 0 6 ¥8,580 MAGES
20 NSW Princess Arthur (LE) 2 0 34 ¥9,350 Idea Factory
Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart April  22, 2023

1 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom  317 +3 20 ¥7,900 Nintendo
2 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (LE)  117 0 20 ¥???? Nintendo
3 PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 42 +2 60 ¥9.900 Square Enix
4 NSW Pikmin 4
32 +1 92 ¥???? Nintendo
5 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy 15 0 13 ¥???? Warner Bros.
6 NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 14 +1 40 ¥????    Atlus
7 NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 11 0 34 ¥12,700  Sprite
8 NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 10 0 155 ¥4,500 Pikii
9 NSW My Teen Romantic Comedy SNAFU Climax! (LE) 5 +1 5 ¥14,080 MAGES
10 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy (LE) 4 0 13 ¥???? Warner Bros.
11 NSW Ys Memoire: The Oath in Felghana 3 0 5 ¥???? Nihon Falcom
12 PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 3 0 75 ¥???? FuRyu
13 PS5 Star Wars Jedi: Survivor 3 0 7 ¥???? EA
14 NSW The Princess of Fortune and the Knights of Sorrow (LE) 3 0 5 ¥7,480 Idea Factory
15 PS5 Street Fighter 6 3 0 43 ¥???? Capcom
16 NSW JINKI Infinity
3 0 21 ¥???? Entergram
17 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 103 ¥18,700 Otomate
18 New NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg (LE) 2 0 82 ¥10,230 Koei Tecmo
19 New NSW 9 R.I.P. (LE) 2 0 68 ¥9,680 Idea Factory
20 ↓2 PS5 Diablo IV 2 0 45 ¥???? Blizzard

Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

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PAOerfulone said:

Something I think that should be worth noting:
As of the end of last year, the total shipped+digital units for Breath of the Wild in Japan is a whopping 3.51 million (this includes the Wii U version during the last quarter of FY '17 when the Switch launched).
For a series whose best selling game in Japan, prior to the Switch, was at just around 1.7 million, that is MIND-BLOWING!
I searched for the best selling Final Fantasy games over there, and it appears the only two games in that series ahead of Breath of the Wild are VII (4.22) and VIII (3.7).

Though, I don't know how valid those numbers are.

But even so, the fact that a Zelda game is able to reach those levels and actually give the PS1 Final Fantasy games a run for their money - That thought would have been straight up laughable pre-Switch launch. Yet, here we are and it's a reality. And every sign and indication is that Tears of the Kingdom will do monstrous numbers as well. Absolutely incredible!

FF7 sold 4.1mil in Japan on the PS1. The FF8 number is correct. Coming from the CESA White Book.



theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart April  23, 2023

1 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom  324 +7 19 ¥7,900 Nintendo
2 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (LE)  117 0 19 ¥???? Nintendo
3 PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 43 +1 59 ¥9.900 Square Enix
4 NSW Pikmin 4
32 0 91 ¥???? Nintendo
5 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy 15 0 12 ¥???? Warner Bros.
6 NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 14 0 39 ¥????    Atlus
7 NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 11 0 33 ¥12,700  Sprite
8 NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 10 0 154 ¥4,500 Pikii
9 NSW My Teen Romantic Comedy SNAFU Climax! (LE) 6 +1 4 ¥14,080 MAGES
10 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy (LE) 4 0 12 ¥???? Warner Bros.
11 NSW Ys Memoire: The Oath in Felghana 3 0 4 ¥???? Nihon Falcom
12 PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 3 0 74 ¥???? FuRyu
13 PS5 Star Wars Jedi: Survivor 3 0 6 ¥???? EA
14 NSW The Princess of Fortune and the Knights of Sorrow (LE) 3 0 4 ¥7,480 Idea Factory
15 PS5 Street Fighter 6 3 0 42 ¥???? Capcom
16 NSW JINKI Infinity
3 0 20 ¥???? Entergram
17 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 102 ¥18,700 Otomate
18 NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg (LE) 2 0 81 ¥10,230 Koei Tecmo
19 NSW 9 R.I.P. (LE) 2 0 67 ¥9,680 Idea Factory
20 PS5 Diablo IV 2 0 44 ¥???? Blizzard

Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart April  24, 2023

1 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom  331 +7 18 ¥7,900 Nintendo
2 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (LE)  117 0 18 ¥???? Nintendo
3 PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 43 0 58 ¥9.900 Square Enix
4 NSW Pikmin 4
32 0 90 ¥???? Nintendo
5 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy 15 0 11 ¥???? Warner Bros.
6 NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 14 0 38 ¥????    Atlus
7 NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 13 +2 32 ¥12,700  Sprite
8 NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 10 0 153 ¥4,500 Pikii
9 NSW My Teen Romantic Comedy SNAFU Climax! (LE) 7 +1 3 ¥14,080 MAGES
10 ↑2 PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 4 +1 73 ¥???? FuRyu
11 ↓1 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy (LE) 4 0 11 ¥???? Warner Bros.
12 ↓1 NSW Ys Memoire: The Oath in Felghana 3 0 3 ¥???? Nihon Falcom
13 PS5 Star Wars Jedi: Survivor 3 0 5 ¥???? EA
14 NSW The Princess of Fortune and the Knights of Sorrow (LE) 3 0 3 ¥7,480 Idea Factory
15 PS5 Street Fighter 6 3 0 41 ¥???? Capcom
16 NSW JINKI Infinity
3 0 19 ¥???? Entergram
17 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 101 ¥18,700 Otomate
18 NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg (LE) 2 0 80 ¥10,230 Koei Tecmo
19 NSW 9 R.I.P. (LE) 2 0 66 ¥9,680 Idea Factory
20 PS5 Diablo IV 2 0 43 ¥???? Blizzard
Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023

Zelda has some great momentum now. They are getting these ads out there too. Can't believe we are 3 weeks away.



theDX's COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart April  25, 2023

1 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom  339 +8 17 ¥7,900 Nintendo
2 NSW The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (LE)  117 0 17 ¥???? Nintendo
3 PS5 Final Fantasy XVI 43 0 57 ¥9.900 Square Enix
4 NSW Pikmin 4
33 +1 89 ¥???? Nintendo
5 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy 15 0 10 ¥???? Warner Bros.
6 NSW Etrian Odyssey Origins Collection (LE) 14 0 37 ¥????    Atlus
7 NSW Aokana: Four Rhythms Across the Blue – EXTRA1+2S 13 0 31 ¥12,700  Sprite
8 NSW Ikaruga (limited print physical edition) 10 0 152 ¥4,500 Pikii
9 NSW My Teen Romantic Comedy SNAFU Climax! (LE) 7 0 2 ¥14,080 MAGES
10 PS5 CRYMACHINA (LE) 4 0 72 ¥???? FuRyu
11 PS4 Hogwarts Legacy (LE) 4 0 10 ¥???? Warner Bros.
12 NSW Ys Memoire: The Oath in Felghana 3 0 2 ¥???? Nihon Falcom
13 PS5 Star Wars Jedi: Survivor 3 0 4 ¥???? EA
14 NSW The Princess of Fortune and the Knights of Sorrow (LE) 3 0 2 ¥7,480 Idea Factory
15 PS5 Street Fighter 6 3 0 40 ¥???? Capcom
16 NSW JINKI Infinity
3 0 18 ¥???? Entergram
17 NSW Spade no Kuni no Alice ~Wonderful Black World~  (LE) 2 0 100 ¥18,700 Otomate
18 New NSW Farming Simulator 23 2 0 28 ¥???? GIANTS Software
19 ↓1 NSW Atelier Marie Remake:The Alchemist of Salburg (LE) 2 0 79 ¥10,230 Koei Tecmo
20 ↓1 NSW 9 R.I.P. (LE) 2 0 65 ¥9,680 Idea Factory

Last edited by Chicho - on 29 May 2023