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Forums - Politics - Official 2020 US Presidential Election Thread

Crazy accurate prediction from a right-leaning pundit, 100% nailed it.



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sundin13 said:

After years of "Get over it" "Cry more" and "Fuck your feelings", quite frankly I couldn't care less if the Republicans want us to respect their mourning.

EDIT

We were talking about Tim Pool earlier. Here is a compilation of him predicting a Trump landslide. This dude predicted a 49 State Trump landslide and people still take him seriously...

It is indeed mind-boggling that people follow these right-wing frauds, Dave Rubin, Sargon of Akkad, Tim Tool etc. that claim to be 'liberals that think liberals have gone too far'. Don't they get they have to support liberal policies in order to be liberals? Flooding their channels with irrelevant culture-war crap based on questionable sources, just make them look stupid, same with their delusional predictions, which just reveal what kind of echo chamber they have surrounded themselves with. Such a bunch of bullshit artists.

The US is indeed in an intellectual crises when people not only get their information from partisan fake-news sources, but from bad faith actors delivering the information to them through their YouTube channels.

That being said, there are of course also a lot of republicans, who are honest about what they believe in, and come from a place of good faith. I find no pleasure in them mourning, but only wish the best for them, and hope America can heal its wounds, so there is room for different opinions, without the demonizing and culture war shit. Trump getting the boot is certainly a step forward.



Cobretti2 said:
Runa216 said:

I

Interesting quick fact as best I can figure (Wikipedia is decent but not what I'd call a 100% reliable source):

Every time in American history that the winner didn't recieve the popular vote, it was a Democrat losing to a Republican. 4 elections in US history had a democrat with the popular vote but lose the election to a republican due to the electoral college, and it has never happened the other way around.

I know the democrat/republican value chart was very different back then in the 1800s, but it's still an interesting fact. Eventually, around 1808 or something, the parties get weird and I'm not familiar with US history enough to claim to know what I'm talking about there.

The 1824 elections confuse me. Quincy Adams and Andrew Jackson were both the Democratic-Republican party, Jackson won the most states, the most electoral votes, and the popular vote by a wide margin, yet didn't win the election due to that election being inconclusive. NEver heard of that before, but hey, the rabbit holes you go down. This one won't count for our stats/counter.

The 1876 election had Rutherford B. Hayes win as a republican, beating Samuel J. Tilden as a democrat despite Tilden having 200,000 more votes.
The 1888 election had Benjamin HArrison win as a republican, beating Grover Cleveland as a democrat despite Cleveland having nearly 100,000 more votes
The 2000 election had George Bush win as a republican, beating Bob Dole as a democrat despite Dole having 550,000 more votes
The 2016 election had Donald Trump win as a republican, beating Hillary Clinton as a democrat despite Clinton having nearly 3,000,000 more votes

Not sure what you can gleam from this other than....maybe y'all need to get rid of the electoral college because it clearly favours republicans. No wonder it's republicans eager to not replace or reform it. IT's also worth noting that democrats have won all but one popular vote since 1992. They won 1992, 1996, 2000, 2008, 2012, 2016, and 2020. Literally the only time republicans won the popular vote was George Bush and likely because it was wartime.

Just sayin'. the country is leaning blue, and the red are fighting SUPER hard to not become obsolete. There's a reason some call it progressive vs regressive. The future is progressive, the future is liberal. The only thing stopping us are republicans who find change scary.

Exactly to me this is wacked and broken. I also think the most votes wins is also broken because using Virginia as an example, 75% of the state voted republican but their voices are ignored because they live in hicksville and only the cities were democratic. What would work better is if every state seat was up for grabs individually for both sides (i.e. if there is 6 seats create 6 electoral regions).  One party should not have full control of a state.  Then you could end up in a situation where both parties are equal and then are forced to work with each other to benefit both side (a common middle ground) and more important all areas of the state not just the ones that voted for the winning party and rest ignored.

Wait, are you arguing that the empty land in Virginia should have more say then the people that live in cities?



Vinther1991 said:

It is indeed mind-boggling that people follow these right-wing frauds, Dave Rubin, Sargon of Akkad, Tim Tool etc. that claim to be 'liberals that think liberals have gone too far'. Don't they get they have to support liberal policies in order to be liberals? Flooding their channels with irrelevant culture-war crap based on questionable sources, just make them look stupid, same with their delusional predictions, which just reveal what kind of echo chamber they have surrounded themselves with. Such a bunch of bullshit artists.

The US is indeed in an intellectual crises when people not only get their information from partisan fake-news sources, but from bad faith actors delivering the information to them through their YouTube channels.

That being said, there are of course also a lot of republicans, who are honest about what they believe in, and come from a place of good faith. I find no pleasure in them mourning, but only wish the best for them, and hope America can heal its wounds, so there is room for different opinions, without the demonizing and culture war shit. Trump getting the boot is certainly a step forward.

That Tim Pool clip sounds similar to the mainstream media back in 2016 to be honest, and people continue to watch them without questioning or skepticism despite the a proven track record of peddling FUD and inciting hate and justifying wars based on lies.

It doesn't surprise me that the new media has the same type of head-nodding gullible audiences on both sides. Skepticism will always be frowned upon unfortunately.



Ka-pi96 said:
Cobretti2 said:

Exactly to me this is wacked and broken. I also think the most votes wins is also broken because using Virginia as an example, 75% of the state voted republican but their voices are ignored because they live in hicksville and only the cities were democratic. What would work better is if every state seat was up for grabs individually for both sides (i.e. if there is 6 seats create 6 electoral regions).  One party should not have full control of a state.  Then you could end up in a situation where both parties are equal and then are forced to work with each other to benefit both side (a common middle ground) and more important all areas of the state not just the ones that voted for the winning party and rest ignored.

huh? Only 44.3% voted republican.

You're not talking about land area or something are you? Because THAT would be a stupid system. Your vote shouldn't be worth more just because nobody lives within 6 miles of you or something like that.

Creating more electoral regions would make that problem worse. That's already the problem with the electoral college. If you're in a state with more people per seat then your vote is worth less than somebody in a state with less people per seat. I believe a vote in Wyoming counts for almost 3 times what a vote in California does. That's incredibly undemocratic and splitting things up even more would make it even worse.

I do agree that parties shouldn't have full control of the state though, it shouldn't be winner takes all. They should use proportional representation instead. ie. if the state has 10 electors and the democrats get 60% of the votes they get 6 electors and the republicans with 40% get 4 electors. It wouldn't eliminate the aforementioned disparity in vote worth, but it would at least make every vote for the winning and losing party more important. Since the loser would still get something, and winning alone isn't everything. A big win would be worth a lot more than an incredibly narrow win (as it probably should be).

Has anyone done the analysis on what the results would have been this time if all states split their votes similar to Maine and Nebraska (or maybe even all their rather than just those beyond the two mandatory electors)? I'm curious how much the system would still be swayed by the disproportionate electoral votes of a state like Montana compared to California. 



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LurkerJ said:
Vinther1991 said:

It is indeed mind-boggling that people follow these right-wing frauds, Dave Rubin, Sargon of Akkad, Tim Tool etc. that claim to be 'liberals that think liberals have gone too far'. Don't they get they have to support liberal policies in order to be liberals? Flooding their channels with irrelevant culture-war crap based on questionable sources, just make them look stupid, same with their delusional predictions, which just reveal what kind of echo chamber they have surrounded themselves with. Such a bunch of bullshit artists.

The US is indeed in an intellectual crises when people not only get their information from partisan fake-news sources, but from bad faith actors delivering the information to them through their YouTube channels.

That being said, there are of course also a lot of republicans, who are honest about what they believe in, and come from a place of good faith. I find no pleasure in them mourning, but only wish the best for them, and hope America can heal its wounds, so there is room for different opinions, without the demonizing and culture war shit. Trump getting the boot is certainly a step forward.

That Tim Pool clip sounds similar to the mainstream media back in 2016 to be honest, and people continue to watch them without questioning or skepticism despite the a proven track record of peddling FUD and inciting hate and justifying wars based on lies.

It doesn't surprise me that the new media has the same type of head-nodding gullible audiences on both sides. Skepticism will always be frowned upon unfortunately.

Can you show me a mainstream media outlet that was predicting Hillary would win 49 (hell maybe even 50 as he said) states? I get that the mainstream media was saying Hillary would win but let's not overstate their claims by comparing them to Tim Pool's. Noone with two brain cells to rub together under their beanie thought either candidate was going to win 49 or 50 states. 



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Torillian said:
LurkerJ said:
Vinther1991 said:

It is indeed mind-boggling that people follow these right-wing frauds, Dave Rubin, Sargon of Akkad, Tim Tool etc. that claim to be 'liberals that think liberals have gone too far'. Don't they get they have to support liberal policies in order to be liberals? Flooding their channels with irrelevant culture-war crap based on questionable sources, just make them look stupid, same with their delusional predictions, which just reveal what kind of echo chamber they have surrounded themselves with. Such a bunch of bullshit artists.

The US is indeed in an intellectual crises when people not only get their information from partisan fake-news sources, but from bad faith actors delivering the information to them through their YouTube channels.

That being said, there are of course also a lot of republicans, who are honest about what they believe in, and come from a place of good faith. I find no pleasure in them mourning, but only wish the best for them, and hope America can heal its wounds, so there is room for different opinions, without the demonizing and culture war shit. Trump getting the boot is certainly a step forward.

That Tim Pool clip sounds similar to the mainstream media back in 2016 to be honest, and people continue to watch them without questioning or skepticism despite the a proven track record of peddling FUD and inciting hate and justifying wars based on lies.

It doesn't surprise me that the new media has the same type of head-nodding gullible audiences on both sides. Skepticism will always be frowned upon unfortunately.

Can you show me a mainstream media outlet that was predicting Hillary would win 49 (hell maybe even 50 as he said) states? I get that the mainstream media was saying Hillary would win but let's not overstate their claims by comparing them to Tim Pool's. 

I knew someone would ask me what you just asked me to do

No, I don't remember anyone specifically saying 49 states will be Hillary's, but I remember a similarly quantifiable level of idiocy flung our way since Trump announced his presidency, a level of idiocy that can't be overstated. And I don't care enough to dig up any of that or show you any clips, especially that you're comparing a single-man youtube show to a multibillion dollar professional industry, which I believe we have understated their claims for too long, and that was my take-home message anyway, that and the fact all news sources need to be approached with a healthy dose of skepticism. 



Wholesome Trump

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Torillian said:
Ka-pi96 said:

Has anyone done the analysis on what the results would have been this time if all states split their votes similar to Maine and Nebraska (or maybe even all their rather than just those beyond the two mandatory electors)? I'm curious how much the system would still be swayed by the disproportionate electoral votes of a state like Montana compared to California. 

It would be the same or worse due to Republican gerrymandering. Popular vote is the only way out.

Electoral districts need to be abolished and replaced by proportional representation while we're at it.



 

 

 

 

 

haxxiy said:
Torillian said:
Ka-pi96 said:

Has anyone done the analysis on what the results would have been this time if all states split their votes similar to Maine and Nebraska (or maybe even all their rather than just those beyond the two mandatory electors)? I'm curious how much the system would still be swayed by the disproportionate electoral votes of a state like Montana compared to California. 

It would be the same or worse due to Republican gerrymandering. Popular vote is the only way out.

Electoral districts need to be abolished and replaced by proportional representation while we're at it.

I agree president should be popular vote but am a bit more mix when it comes to the house done by Electoral Districts.  In concept I like the idea of a President to represent the entire country, 2 senators to represent the entire state and a member of the house that represent the local needs of where someone lives.  The biggest problem is gerrymandering made it so that you get a house member that only really representing part of a district since the district lines are drawn so stupidly.  If there was some solution to Gerrymandering I think it would fix most my issues with how representation in the house is done.