How many million Switch unit Nintendo will have shiped | |||
| Less than 9,4... :( | 2 | 8.70% | |
| 9,4 - 9,8 | 0 | 0% | |
| 9,8 - 10,2 | 2 | 8.70% | |
| 10,2 - 10,6 | 8 | 34.78% | |
| 10,6 - 11 | 6 | 26.09% | |
| 11 - 11,4 | 4 | 17.39% | |
| 11,4 - 11,8 | 1 | 4.35% | |
| 11,8 - 12,2 | 0 | 0% | |
| 12,2 - 12,6 | 0 | 0% | |
| More !!! | 0 | 0% | |
| Total: | 23 | ||
So we are only at a few hours, let's see how accurate we are.
As for reminder (reds are only my predictions)
| RolStoppable said: 10.0m, because the hybrid SKU has been in short supply in a few countries right before and after Christmas, plus the initial shipment for the Lite in fiscal Q2 was big. After I had posted a response to you in the Famitsu thread, I realized that 10.5m is actually pushing it. |
UK actually, which is like 5% of Nintendo's market. So I imagine still a 10.5 + an unexpected half million for China...Or is this too crazy for China ?
I made a prediction for top 10 Switch Games, first number is units sold in Q4, second one is LTD units sales:
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe 800k -> 5.4m
Super Mario Maker 2 900k -> 4.8m
The latter two I'm not sure they will be updated, but who knows
Zanark best Inazuma Eleven pg
| AlbiNecroxz said: I made a prediction for top 10 Switch Games, first number is units sold in Q4, second one is LTD units sales:
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe 800k -> 5.4m The latter two I'm not sure they will be updated, but who knows |
So for you SMM2 doesn't beat NSMPU...
Amnesia said:
UK actually, which is like 5% of Nintendo's market. So I imagine still a 10.5 + an unexpected half million for China...Or is this too crazy for China ? |
Switch has sold 100k units in China by December 31th if I'm not wrong
Zanark best Inazuma Eleven pg
RolStoppable said:
Parts of the USA were also low on stock; whatever shipments they got in quickly sold through. And yes, 500k is too much for China. The console launched with one game there, so it was an unusual launch of the kind that doesn't necessitate a big initial shipment. |
Doesn't really answer your last post but I am just seeing right now that some massive adjustments up has been done here for the few big weeks of December and the first of January.
EDIT : actually the whole FY2020 has lost 250.000 units compared to numbers I had before. So with this I believe that 11 millions is really too far now.
Last edited by Amnesia - on 29 January 2020
Amnesia said:
So for you SMM2 doesn't beat NSMPU... |
For now, no. They're too far away each other according to last quarter results. Though in the future I see SMM2 beating NSMBUD
Zanark best Inazuma Eleven pg
Switch - 51.52 million (+9.85 mill)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 22.16 million (+3.15 mill)
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 18.11 million (+2.40 mill)
Super Mario Odyssey - 16.83 million (+1.45 mill)
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 16.09 million (+1.55 mill)
Pokemon Sword/Shield - 15.00 million (NEW)
Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu/Eevee - 11.70 million (+0.42 mill)
Splatoon 2 - 9.83 million (+0.55 mill)
Super Mario Party - 8.89 million (+1.30 mill)
Luigi's Mansion 3 - 6.00 million (NEW)
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 5.77 million (+1.18 mill)
| AlbiNecroxz said: I made a prediction for top 10 Switch Games, first number is units sold in Q4, second one is LTD units sales:
New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe 800k -> 5.4m The latter two I'm not sure they will be updated, but who knows |
Luigi's mansion 2/darkmoon sold 6.0m lifetime, i would expect the series to grow on the switch but 8.7m in two months is extremely optimistic. I would expect 6.5m which is still incredible to outsell darkmoon in two months. 10 million lifetime is definately going to happen for Luigi. I'd also be surprised if ring fit breaks 5m for the quarter, the accessory has made it an expensive purchase although i'm sure nintendo were caught out by it's sucess.
I'm gonna be optimistic and say 11.5m
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