vivster said:
Seems the scientists who said in Summer that we are merely at the beginning of the pandemic were right. Now that winder is coming it's gonna get so much worse. Shouldn't be long until the US gets two 9/11s per day. Wonder how much of an impact it will have when more than 1% of the US will be wiped out due to a preventable desease. |
Doubt that's gonna happen given the IFR is around 0.3%. In early spring based on SK data people were estimating an IFR of 0.2-0.4% and that did turn out to be the case. I could see maybe 1 million dying from it nation wide when all is said and done. Think annually around 2.8 million people die "normally" so that gives a bit of perspective.
Probably the reason why many people are brushing it off. You have Old fatties like Trump being back in action a week later thanks to early administration of therapeutics(polyclonal ABs,roids) though someone of his age/comorbidities only had a 5% chance of death to begin with.
And if you are young, the virus seems for the most part to be a nothing burger unless you are unlucky, unhealthy etc...
"Tens of thousands of new coronavirus cases continue to emerge on college campuses. A New York Times survey of more than 1,900 American colleges and universities — including every four-year public institution and every private college that competes in N.C.A.A. sports — has revealed more than 321,000 cases and at least 80 deaths since the pandemic began.
Most of the cases have been announced since students returned to campus for the fall term. Most of the deaths were reported in the spring and involved college employees, not students. But at least four students have died in recent weeks after contracting the virus."
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/covid-college-cases-tracker.html
The virus is odd, you just never know how it's gonna hit someone. 70-yr-old cancer lady shedding it for 70 days while being asymptomatic the whole time.
"The 71-year-old was infected for at least 105 days overall, but had no symptoms, according to a new report.
This unusual case involved a woman with leukemia and a low antibody count who was infected early in the pandemic. The case study was published Nov. 4 in the journal Cell.
As far as he knows, this is the longest case of a person being infected with the new coronavirus and having no symptoms, said senior author Vincent Munster, a virologist at the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases."
https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20201109/asymptomatic-covid-woman-shed-virus-for-70-days#1