!!!WE'RE AT THE HALFWAY POINT NOW!!!

Therefore, it's time to bust out some calculations to track the direction all three systems are headed if they maintain their current pace.

So far, the PlayStation 4, Xbox One, and Nintendo Switch, at this point last year, sold through 42.86637705%, (PS4), 31.63096172%, (XBO), and 30.37839799%, (NS), of their final 2019 totals respectively.

If those percentages hold for this year as well, then the final 2020 totals for all three systems would be as follows.

PlayStation 4: 13,688,033 units
Xbox One: 6,248,729 units
Nintendo Switch: 33,837,795 units

For the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One, I would expect the actual final totals to be less than the projected totals due to the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X released this year and those are going to be the new items this holiday season.

As for the Nintendo Switch...
...
...
... SWEET JESUS CHRIST ON A STICK!!
There is absolutely, positively no way in hell the actual total will come even remotely close to that projected total. I mean... almost 34 million units in a single year?!? Not even the DS was able to pull that off! There's just no way that's going to happen. How can it happen?!? The COVID-19 boost has been beneficial for all three systems, but the Switch in particular has seen the biggest boost. That + Animal Crossing has lead to its massive increase YoY. It's strong, but it ain't THAT strong! I think ~25 million is more likely, which would match the Wii's peak year, but we shall see.

No way any of the three will get near those totals. COVID-19 boost in game sales have skewed numbers for 2020. Unless there are some amazing deals this Holiday I expect PS4 and Xbox One to be down year on year when you compare 2nd half 2019 to 2nd half 2020. Switch for rest of 2020 will likely be up when you compare each week to the same week last week. But I doubt it will be anywhere near how much it has been up. What we NEED to know are the big Switch games for later this year. Right now we have Paper Mario coming out later this month and likely New Pokemon Snap. 

!!!WE'RE AT THE HALFWAY POINT NOW!!!

Therefore, it's time to bust out some calculations to track the direction all three systems are headed if they maintain their current pace.

So far, the PlayStation 4, Xbox One, and Nintendo Switch, at this point last year, sold through 42.86637705%, (PS4), 31.63096172%, (XBO), and 30.37839799%, (NS), of their final 2019 totals respectively.

If those percentages hold for this year as well, then the final 2020 totals for all three systems would be as follows.

PlayStation 4: 13,688,033 units
Xbox One: 6,248,729 units
Nintendo Switch: 33,837,795 units

For the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One, I would expect the actual final totals to be less than the projected totals due to the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X released this year and those are going to be the new items this holiday season.

As for the Nintendo Switch...
...
...
... SWEET JESUS CHRIST ON A STICK!!
There is absolutely, positively no way in hell the actual total will come even remotely close to that projected total. I mean... almost 34 million units in a single year?!? Not even the DS was able to pull that off! There's just no way that's going to happen. How can it happen?!? The COVID-19 boost has been beneficial for all three systems, but the Switch in particular has seen the biggest boost. That + Animal Crossing has lead to its massive increase YoY. It's strong, but it ain't THAT strong! I think ~25 million is more likely, which would match the Wii's peak year, but we shall see.

Well, let's not forget that the Switch combo is actually covering two different markets; the Nintendo console crowd and the Nintendo handheld crowd, so if Wii and DS were able to sell 20m each in the same year, then it is not out the realm of possibility for the Switch to reach 30m in a year.

Not easily, maybe all that could push it to such level but i don't expect a price cut this year since they can barely produce enough of it to meet demand. Also the fact they are looking into making it's lifecycle longer than usual Nintendo consoles, i think a price cut in a time where it's momentum is peaking is not a good move.

A price cut at a time when the system is more popular than its ever been and selling more units than it ever has AND they're scrapping desperately to make enough supply to keep up with demand is an absolutely terrible idea that makes no sense whatsoever from a business and profit standpoint. 

Pokemon Snap isn't exactly what I'd call a killer app. A holiday bundle? If they wanted to do a Pokemon bundle, wouldn't make more sense to do a Sword/Shield bundle with the Expansion pass content included? Chances are they'll do the Mario Kart bundle again and maybe an Animal Crossing bundle for the Switch Lite. 

I'm hoping the rumored Super Mario 3D All Stars is real or some remaster / remake of the older 3D Mario games. 

Nah, it doesn't work like that. The 3DS and WiiU are outliers in that they are consoles with sever design flaws which hampered sales. The WiiU is the most obvious one, it's popularity was at an all-time low and was essentially a failure, even admitted so by Reggie after he retired (in other words of course).

No the reality is a mix of what you're saying and the potential of Nintendo consoles, when they are properly designed, and the sales potential of their IPs. The idea is that the handheld and home console line were capable of selling much more, but that the consoles that sold less did so due to a design problem or due to increased competition. Let me prove it:

• SNES: Did not enjoy the monopoly that Nintendo had with the NES. The reasons for this you can research I won't do an exposé.
• GBA: Same idea as the SNES, with competition from Bandai (Wonderswan Color) and Sony (PSP, at the tail end of the GBA).
• N64: lost the support of many top-tier developers, and their series main entries, due to choosing a cartridge-based format
• GC: Chose a custom mini-DVD format, and the purple lunch-box design alienated gamers who prefered the PS or Xbox brands. The PS2 was also the follow-up to the most popular console of the previous gen, and had all the big 3rd party exclusives at the time. The GC launced some controversial sequels (Zelda:WW, Mario Sunshine)
• WiiU: Suffered from aweful identity issues (was it a Wii, was it a U, was it a tablet), and severe design issues (battery life on tablet, not being able to play on the go, confusion with only 1 tablet allowed per WiiU, etc.)
• 3DS: Suffered from a serious design flaw in the 3D screen, forcing Nintendo to produce a version free of 3D. But the damage had been done.

The consoles that worked:

• NES: Perfect design at the time, and great focus on hand-picked quality titles that made the library top-notch (in contrast with the crumbled ruins of the gaming industry just prior)
• Wii: Lightning in a bottle. The motion controls made a lot of noise, the game launched with Twilight Princess, the highly awaited successor to OoT, and the virtual console (novel at the time) allowed people to dive back into NES classics (yes the NES that is in this same list)
• DS: Same idea as the wii, but with a stylus-enabled dual-screen setup instead of motion controls. The DSLite was a bombshell.
• Gameboy: Same as the NES, but portable! So even better

So, well guess what. The Switch fits in list #2.

What does that mean? It means that the Switch is not only a sexy bombshell, but it also has the benefit of a combined library. Which means it has the potential to sell over 200m units in its lifetime. Proof of this is in the huge boost in sales of series like Animal Crossing, Smash and Mario Kart as compared to past generations. Games that used to sell 10m now sell 20m (Smash). Games that used to sell 8m now sell 17m (BotW).

I removed everything else because I agreed with almost everything.