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xMetroid on 02 July 2020
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trunkswd said:
PAOerfulone said:

!!!WE'RE AT THE HALFWAY POINT NOW!!!

Therefore, it's time to bust out some calculations to track the direction all three systems are headed if they maintain their current pace.

So far, the PlayStation 4, Xbox One, and Nintendo Switch, at this point last year, sold through 42.86637705%, (PS4), 31.63096172%, (XBO), and 30.37839799%, (NS), of their final 2019 totals respectively.

If those percentages hold for this year as well, then the final 2020 totals for all three systems would be as follows.

PlayStation 4: 13,688,033 units
Xbox One: 6,248,729 units
Nintendo Switch: 33,837,795 units

For the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One, I would expect the actual final totals to be less than the projected totals due to the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X released this year and those are going to be the new items this holiday season.

As for the Nintendo Switch...
...
...
... SWEET JESUS CHRIST ON A STICK!!
There is absolutely, positively no way in hell the actual total will come even remotely close to that projected total. I mean... almost 34 million units in a single year?!? Not even the DS was able to pull that off! There's just no way that's going to happen. How can it happen?!? The COVID-19 boost has been beneficial for all three systems, but the Switch in particular has seen the biggest boost. That + Animal Crossing has lead to its massive increase YoY. It's strong, but it ain't THAT strong! I think ~25 million is more likely, which would match the Wii's peak year, but we shall see.

No way any of the three will get near those totals. COVID-19 boost in game sales have skewed numbers for 2020. Unless there are some amazing deals this Holiday I expect PS4 and Xbox One to be down year on year when you compare 2nd half 2019 to 2nd half 2020. Switch for rest of 2020 will likely be up when you compare each week to the same week last week. But I doubt it will be anywhere near how much it has been up. What we NEED to know are the big Switch games for later this year. Right now we have Paper Mario coming out later this month and likely New Pokemon Snap. 

Yea we do need that, some insiders are saying the end of the year might not be that impressive so let's see. I don't think they need much tho just games to satisfy consumers and the talking. The mario collection would enough with one new title for the holidays.