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shikamaru317 said:

I hope not. Many Switch owners are 2 console owners because Switch doesn't get enough 3rd party support for Switch people to be 1 console owners. Xbox exclusives have the potential to sell hardware to Switch owners as their 2nd console, especially Rare games and former Rare IP's, especially a new Banjo or Perfect Dark. Making it possible to play those games on Switch via the cloud kills those possible Xbox hardware sales. 

Is it possible that MS could do it. For sure, I just hope they don't.

I wouldn't say it would be a major loss for MS if they don't sell an Xbox console to a person who plays on Switch as a primary platform but is interested in playing MS Studios games tbh. Even though, the majority of Xbox fans disagree with this, I don't think that a person who just pays for GamePass or buys MS games from Steam can really be considered an Xbox customer. Because they don't really bring that much to the platform. Their investments are nothing on a large scale. In order for the platform to grow, it needs to have a lot of customers buying third-party games on that platform. EA or Ubisoft are not gonna evaluate the need to bring their games to Xbox judging by how MS games are selling on different platforms. They are gonna evaluate it by looking at how their own games sell on Xbox console and Xbox console only. So, as I've said, the person who primarily plays on the Switch but just buys Xbox to play MS games is not a big loss because he doesn't invest in Xbox ecosystem to make it worthy for MS to sell a hardware to such person. But on the other hand, of course it is probably better to sell as many consoles as MS potentially can because it at least opens up an opportunity to invest. I just can't say that bringing xCloud to Switch will really hurt Xbox that much that it will be some huge mistake on MS part.



 

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Ryuu96 said:

I'm so confused by this logic...Xbox is more than just a console, whether you buy their games via Steam or play them through Game Pass you're in the Xbox ecosystem, you play Halo Infinite on Steam you're playing an Xbox Game Studios title.

I'd also disagree that their investments are nothing on a large scale, hardware in fact actually loses a ton of money, while transactions on store and services make up for it, look at how amazing Xbox titles are doing on Steam right now, lets use Sea of Thieves for example which made $20m+ in revenue in a single month thanks to Steam, years after its Xbox release.

Gaming literally just had its biggest quarter ever too in terms of revenue, twice in a row, the Xbox ecosystem is growing a lot thanks to Steam. Yes I'd agree they'd need to sell consoles too in order to make store revenue (30% cut) but even with the shitty gen of Xbox One they still had their best revenue quarter, even if they match Xbox One sales it will be too much for most publishers to ignore completely.

I'd say they could even match Xbox One sales with Series X but do far better thanks to PC and Game Pass expansion, they don't need to be #1, they don't even need to be near #1, just as long as they sell enough which there isn't really any indication they won't be able to, Series X is coming into this gen a lot better than Xbox One did.

I clearly can't see how Steam users can be in Xbox ecosystem just by buying MS games there. Yes, you need Xbox Live account to play these games but that's it. The only thing that benefits Xbox ecosystem by this is Xbox Live player count which can be used in FY reports. Success of these games on Steam doesn't mean Xbox or xCloud get more games, it doesn't mean that GamePass has more subscribers and so on. You clearly confuse Xbox ecosystem with Xbox Game Studios here. They are linked but they are not the same damn thing. Of course, Xbox Game Studios benefit a lot from this, because their games get more exposure and bring more revenue. But as I've already said, Xbox as a platform is all about selling third party games on the platform. That's the measure of success. And first-party games just serve to bring the people into ecosystem. If the XGS game sales and mtx revenue would have been the only thing that matters for MS, they would have already started putting their games on Playstation and Switch and make a LOT of money there. Still, they don't do this for some reason.



 

shikamaru317 said:

If WB is out as an acquisition possibility, it puts MS in an even worse position against all of this Sony hatting. There aren't many independent AAA's left that they could acquire which would be a big enough deal to counter massive Sony hats. Most of the independent AAA studios that are left, like Crytek, Remedy, Rebellion, IO, Techland, etc. aren't really big enough sellers to counteract Sony hatting timed on big AAA multiplat games. Crytek hasn't had a big seller in a generation. Remedy has never had a big seller, even Control had lackluster sales in spite of good reviews and winning awards. Rebellion never had a big seller. IO has never had a big seller, Hitman only sold 15m between the first 5 games as multiplat releases. Techland had the most success of the bunch with Dead Island and Dying Light, but they've already ruled out an acquisition once, unless MS tries again. 

Crytek is a possibility as they are not in a good financial position so they wouldn't be hard to get I guess. Especially after their latest game didn't sell very well. Remedy is out of possibility as they signed a deal with Epic for 3 games so they should be good for entire next gen I guess. Techland are not being acquired if they were not lying. Rebellion? Who knows. IO probably is buddy-buddy with PS. Hitman VR is PS only so probably they received some investment from Sony. I still don't think MS is gonna buy more studios in the next couple of years because there is almost no rumors of them having acquired someone. And I also don't think they would go for AAA-tier studios because given the past acquisitions they haven't bought a single AAA-tier studio except for Playground which always has been making exclusive games for them before that.



 

Probably not quite as big as you guys are thinking. It'll be more like something along the lines of a new Prey game, I'd wager.



derpysquirtle64 said:
 

KiigelHeart said:

Yet, meanwhile Microsoft has decreased the money invested in moneyhats and marketing deals, we'll soon see more games coming to Xbox and better services like game pass. I would argue the benefit of moneyhats you describe is quite minimal for consumer.

On previous topic, I'd say it would be good business for publishers to launch their PS5 timed-exclusive games on game pass. They get a shitload of players and potential mtx purchasers, while GP games also seem to sell well. Just look at No Man's Sky, doubt it sold much on Xbox but after game pass they've been boasting about their success.

Not every game has MTX yet (and hopefully never will). And it seems like that's exactly the type of games Sony is looking to moneyhat, though I can be wrong. FF16 is the most rumored one and I don't see it having any MTX stuff in it. You also seem to have missed the most important part of my post. It would be great for MS and GamePass I guess if these games will do well once they launch on the service and many people will play them. But it would definitely suck for Xbox community if these shitty practice will allow publishers to still be successful on Xbox platform by launching the game later than on PS. Because then it would become the norm which shouldn't happen. In the best case scenario, doing such deals should hurt publishers financially so they would stop doing this.

I do include dlc like expansions to mtx and even FFXV had those. So I can see the next FF game having those as well.

Don't think it'll become a norm because timed-exclusivity deals are most likely very expensive. I'd think publishers make sure they won't suffer a financial hit, covering the loss of mtx and so on. Don't see it very beneficial for Sony to do it as a norm, it would make Xbox + game pass a more tempting platform for consumers too. While costing them a lot of money. When games like FF gather a bigger player base on Xbox wouldn't publishers ask even more money as potential sales loss gets bigger?

And mind you I'm talking about big moneyhats, not marketing rights like CoD or Destiny. 



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shikamaru317 said:

If they hatted a space game with guns, I see a few possibilities:

-Starfield
-Beyond Good & Evil 2
-Star Citizen console exclusivity
-Borderlands 4
-Mass Effect trilogy remake/remaster

Seems way too soon for Borderlands 4, and Mass Effect seems safe, so it must be one of the other 3. I really hope it's not Starfield, that would piss me off more than anything Sony has ever done in their entire 26 year history as a gaming brand. Starfield does make the most sense though, as Imran said that Sony was specifically targeting developers who were associated with MS in the past, and Bethesda's TES 3: Morrowind was an OG Xbox exclusive, with TES 4: Oblivion being a timed 360 exclusive. The only other one of the above 5 developers/brands that was associated with MS in the past was Mass Effect, but it seems safe according to Shinobi.

Borderlands 4 might be possible. Gearbox are assholes so wouldn't surprise me if they take Sony's money. ME Trilogy is probably gonna get announced at Gamescom based on the recent leaks pointing to it's September release so we will know about it really soon. As for other games, none of them are releasing any time soon so I doubt moneyhat is worth doing right now.



 

Say what you will about this being a crappy gen for Xbox in terms of sales and other struggles, but it's my favorite one.

It's made gaming more social and enjoyable for me and I love the console, UI and everything. Exclusive games have been awesome and Xbox still offers the best games of my favorite genres. Operation 4 of Gears 5 made sure the king of 3rd person shooters ends the gen on a highest note. 

And every night in my dreams Phil and I do this scene from Dirty Dancing. And I look hot in those jeans shorts!



KiigelHeart said:

Say what you will about this being a crappy gen for Xbox in terms of sales and other struggles, but it's my favorite one.

It's made gaming more social and enjoyable for me and I love the console, UI and everything. Exclusive games have been awesome and Xbox still offers the best games of my favorite genres. Operation 4 of Gears 5 made sure the king of 3rd person shooters ends the gen on a highest note. 

And every night in my dreams Phil and I do this scene from Dirty Dancing. And I look hot in those jeans shorts!

Kingel be like... 

When thinking of Phil Spencer  



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Ryuu96 said:
shikamaru317 said:
If it's a space game with guns, I see a few possibilities:

-Starfield
-Beyond Good & Evil 2
-Star Citizen console exclusivity
-Borderlands 4
-Mass Effect trilogy remake/remaster

Seems way too soon for Borderlands 4, and Mass Effect seems safe, so it must be one of the other 3. I really hope it's not Starfield, that would piss me off more than anything Sony has ever done in their entire 26 year history as a gaming brand.

Beyond Good & Evil 2, money-hat that please, we'll see it in 2026 anyway.

Shinobi basically said Mass Effect 4 is so far away that there's going to be nothing to negotiate right now, feelsbad Plus outright confirmed the collection trilogy is safe.

Far too early for Borderlands 4, remember some of this is timed content too so some of these hints could be for DLC only.

One of the insiders said months ago that Sony is targeting stuff typically associated with Xbox, I think while Starfield is a new IP, Bethesda as a studio is more associated with Xbox.

Sony can have FF and SF for all I care but Starfield would genuinely annoy me, I've been waiting for another good RPG from Bethesda since Skyrim...Although I see Starfield more as an obstacle in the way of Elder Scrolls and in comparison to Elder Scrolls, Starfield isn't even on the same level for my excitement, plus we haven't seen anything from it so far and my faith in Bethesda as a studio has plummeted lately.

But yeah, I think it is Starfield, I could see a 2021-2022 release for Starfield.

Man fuck you, FF should be for everyone. SMH 

 

I'd be cool with anything they money hat except FF 16, GTA 6, and Saints Row 5. 
Edit: Yo I'd be fine with Witcher 4 exclusive to PS5 :)



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Ryuu96 said:

Dude, Sea of Thieves made $20m+ off Steam in one month alone, you don't think that benefits the Xbox ecosystem? Benefits Rare to expand and create more games? Secures their financial position?

They're expanding the Xbox ecosystem and receiving a ton of cash because of it, where does that cash go? to Xbox for further expansion. Success of those games on Steam could very easily mean more 1st party investment cause they have more money. Steam is being dominated by Xbox Studios lately, I can guarantee Xbox is making big $$$ off Steam.

As I've already said later in the post. XGS != Xbox ecosystem. I agree that more money these games generate would result in more XGS games overall, but you need to keep in mind, that Microsoft as a platform holder are basing their strategy around third-parties for the most part. That's the reason why even in a crappy Xbox One gen they still managed to do well even though they had almost no good first party games. Third parties saved the Xbox One from becoming a total flop. 

Shrug, you literally just said that Game Pass users can't be considered a Xbox customer and that they don't bring much to the platform so why do you care about growing Game Pass now?

But anyway Game Pass is rapidly growing even with Steam releases and with other avenues upcoming it'll only continue to grow.

I haven't mentioned specifically, but I was talking about GamePass users that only subscribe to play MS games very cheap in that context. And of course, they are not there to stay unless MS somehow manages to release a game per month which will also cater to everyone's tastes in that crowd. Almost impossible task.

They're essentially the same thing...Xbox Game Studios is in the Xbox ecosystem, Xbox isn't just a console but a division, the consoles are one avenue of said division amongst many.

Here is the flaw in your logic. XGS is essentially the same thing as Xbox ecosystem, yet Xbox consoles are just a side division. Why? I can argue about this but I think that if you open any MS financial report you would see that they always mention "the growth which for the most part is driven by increasing third-party games sales and MTX" which is of course thanks to Xbox consoles. (Doubt that many people are buying stuff from Windows Store)

Even with Xbox One's crappy generation it still makes a ton of money off 3rd parties, Series X will likely continue that.

The same as previous point

Gaming just posted their biggest ever revenue on a measly 50m sold in comparison to Sony's 112m.

Yes, the gaming has the biggest ever revenue, but it could have been even better if MS was in Sony's position. I haven't compared MS financial report with Sony's but something tells me that Sony has better results.

Microsoft would likely be fine if Series X only sold 50m as long as Game Pass subscribers grew to lets say, 40-50m - Game Pass growth isn't restricted by Xbox's console sales which is a good thing, and even 50m would bring in a lot of 3rd party revenue.

I would applaud to MS if they manage to have 40-50m GamePass subscribers in the next 5 years. Seems way too optimistic unless xCloud becomes something really huge which I doubt it will be because Apple's restrictions made a huge block for it to becoming a mainstream success.

I think they would if they could but Sony/Nintendo won't allow it as long as Microsoft stays in the hardware market (Nintendo maybe could be swayed) but its too early to dump consoles because they (which I agree with you on) make a lot in 3rd party revenue.

You really think Sony and Nintendo are blocking MS games from releasing on their platforms? Come on. They are not that childish. (Even though I'm starting to doubt that on Sony's side after Jeff Grubb's post about EA situation.) But still, if MS approached Sony to release Halo on PS5, they would surely agree. Why wouldn't they. And they also would have been covering the table and having a huge party all night, drinking champagne as it would mean the retreat of their most close competitor. If it comes down to this, I can almost guarantee that MS won't be making a new console hardware ever again.

Ok, it was quite a long post to answer. But I would propose to stop at this point because it's quite pointless debate. I know that we have a polar opposite opinions on how MS should do business and that's okay. That's why I think that it would be better to stop discussing this shit as it won't change each other opinions so why even bother. I should've known that something in my post couple pages ago can trigger someone into this endless debate, but whatever...