By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - April NPD 2019 thread

VideoGameAccountant said:
RolStoppable said:

I don't think the fourth year will be interesting. By then the 3DS will be viewed similarly to how the Wii U has been viewed for the better part of the last two years: Simply not good enough to compete in a worthwhile sales comparison, so other consoles will have to be used as measuring stick.

For comparison, here is the US 3DS sales (in millions)

FYE  3/31/2011 FYE 3/31/2012 FYE 3/31/2013 FYE 3/31/2014 FYE 3/31/2015 FYE 3/31/2016
1.32 4.67 4.27 4.33 2.93 2.25

Notable Releases

  • Mario Kart 7 (12/2011)
  • Pokemon X/Y (10/2013)
  • NSMB 2 (8/2012)
  • Super Mario 3D Land (11/2011)
  • Animal Crossing New Leaf (6/2013)
  • Smash Bros 3DS (10/2014)

What's interesting about the 3DS is how it's sales trajectory shoots up very early on and then has a slow decay. It was pretty stagnant in the US for the first three years (3/31/2012 was the first full fiscal year). Moreover, a lot of its games were very front loaded with really only Pokemon and Smash in the latter years. Switch is only now just getting Pokemon and Animal Crossing, both games that will do very well. I think if you compare Switch and 3DS's sales and software, the Switch has more potential.

As an aside, I think you can tell the 3DS was propped up. Usually consoles peek in their 3rd year, but in the US it peeked in the first. This was also when it got a massive price drop. It's clear in hindsight Nintendo was propping that system up. 

That's not USA, that's the whole America.



Around the Network
Ryng_Tolu said:
VideoGameAccountant said:

For comparison, here is the US 3DS sales (in millions)

FYE  3/31/2011 FYE 3/31/2012 FYE 3/31/2013 FYE 3/31/2014 FYE 3/31/2015 FYE 3/31/2016
1.32 4.67 4.27 4.33 2.93 2.25

Notable Releases

  • Mario Kart 7 (12/2011)
  • Pokemon X/Y (10/2013)
  • NSMB 2 (8/2012)
  • Super Mario 3D Land (11/2011)
  • Animal Crossing New Leaf (6/2013)
  • Smash Bros 3DS (10/2014)

What's interesting about the 3DS is how it's sales trajectory shoots up very early on and then has a slow decay. It was pretty stagnant in the US for the first three years (3/31/2012 was the first full fiscal year). Moreover, a lot of its games were very front loaded with really only Pokemon and Smash in the latter years. Switch is only now just getting Pokemon and Animal Crossing, both games that will do very well. I think if you compare Switch and 3DS's sales and software, the Switch has more potential.

As an aside, I think you can tell the 3DS was propped up. Usually consoles peek in their 3rd year, but in the US it peeked in the first. This was also when it got a massive price drop. It's clear in hindsight Nintendo was propping that system up. 

That's not USA, that's the whole America.

Good point, but sadly Nintendo doesn't break out country. Seeing as America is the most prosperous nation in the Americas and has a population larger than the next most prosperous country (Canada), I think the data would still be representative of the US.



Visit my site for more

Known as Smashchu in a former life

chakkra said:

Well, according to the NPD Tool the X1 should be on 1st place, but I totally doubt that to be the case, so let me put it on 2nd place.

[NSW] 210k
[XB1] 170k
[PS4] 140k

Well, the Tool completely threw me off on the X1 numbers.  But at least I was close enough on the others so, not that bad I would say.



chakkra said:
chakkra said:

Well, according to the NPD Tool the X1 should be on 1st place, but I totally doubt that to be the case, so let me put it on 2nd place.

[NSW] 210k
[XB1] 170k
[PS4] 140k

Well, the Tool completely threw me off on the X1 numbers.  But at least I was close enough on the others so, not that bad I would say.

Well, at least we have a better idea of how much of an impact large, short-lived, non-holiday spikes have on the final numbers.



wombat123 said:
chakkra said:

Well, the Tool completely threw me off on the X1 numbers.  But at least I was close enough on the others so, not that bad I would say.

Well, at least we have a better idea of how much of an impact large, short-lived, non-holiday spikes have on the final numbers.

Agreed



Around the Network

Sony 1st party games (NPD):

  1. Marvel's Spider-Man (23 days) : +2.6 million (include digital)
  2. God Of War 2018 (16 days) : ~1.9 million (include digital & bundles)
  3. God Of War III (19 days) : ~1.15 million
  4. Horizon Zero Dawn (33 days) : +1 million (include digital)
  5. The Last Of Us (24 days) : ~985K (+1 million with digital)
  6. Uncharted 4 A Thief's End (19 days) : ~828K (879K include bundles & +1 millions with digital)
  7. Days Gone (9 days)
  8. God Of War II (26 days) : ~833K
  9. Uncharted 3 Drake's Deception (28 days) : ~700K (838K include bundles)