vivster said:
I think the question was pretty clear with no room for interpretation. "Should Puerto Rico be admitted immediately into the Union as a State?" It doesn't insinuate anything about independence. It just asks if they want to be a state now or or not. The "immediately" makes it clear that voting "no" is not a vote for independence, but for keeping the status quo. Even includes the option to join the Union at a later point. Lawmakers from both parties have stated that statehood is up to them if they want. Of course it never came to an actual vote in congress because of ulterior motives from certain turtles. But it is very much clear that if PR states the collective desire to join the union, they will be able to do so, if the congress is in control of democrats. So a referendum will definitely count for a lot and voting Yes will definitely not keep the status quo. However to drive this thing forward PR needs a sign from congress that if they decide to join the democrats will make it definitely happen. And they do have the absolute power to do so right now. A proper referendum with an appropriate turnout will only be possible with that kind of signal. I would consider the current referendum with barely above 50% voter turnout pretty much useless. |
The question itself doesn't insinuate anything about independence, true. The thing is however, that a No would have triggered Puerto Rico Senate bill 1467, which states that a 7 member commission would need to be created to negotiate with the US for either a Free Association or Independence for Puerto Rico. The main idea of this vote was to resolve the status of Puerto Rico, one way or another.
Yes won, so Puerto Rico will most probably apply for statehood. But here it gets interesting: Puerto Rico is mostly latinx, which sounds good for the Democrats. But on the other hand, they're fairly right-wing, so it's actually better for Republicans. So, do you think a Democrat like Biden would go forward with the application for statehood, knowing it could cost him the next election?
This is why I say that it's ambiguous: Puerto Rico can apply for statehood, but the process can stay in limbo for a long time due to the political divide. A "No" would have a similar problem; what President would want to have in his resume that he lost some territory? So those negotiations would have stalled indefinitely for sure, too.
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