curl-6 said:
I meant more along the lines of "can it stay ahead of PS4 in April and May". Thanks for the figures though; nice YOY increase this year so far. |
It should unless PS4 gets a price cut.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
zorg1000 said:
It should unless PS4 gets a price cut. |
March yeah, but April and May are more in danger - probably the only months Switch is in danger not winning this year considering the lineup of games following starting June.
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curl-6 said:
I meant more along the lines of "can it stay ahead of PS4 in April and May". Thanks for the figures though; nice YOY increase this year so far. |
I doubt PS4 will take a single NPD win in 2019 but I don't understand why Switch being over PS4 is such an important success criteria?
Switch looks to have a stellar March, might see a small dip in April and May, and then bounce back and have a stellar June. Why would it matter if PS4 took either April or May?
| Shadow1980 said: Okay. Here I am, rock you like a hurricane. It's chart time!
Well, it's starting to be increasingly clear that the PS4 and XBO are post-peak. In addition to them being down this past holiday season despite comparable deals to those in 2017, both are on track to having their worst Q1 performances to date. For this February alone, the PS4 was down 21.2%, and the XBO was down 26.8% despite the existence of a major promotional sale. It was going to happen eventually, and at least as far back as this past Q3 I have felt that this year was going to be the start of the post-peak decline. It's entirely conceivable that, after five consecutive years of combined U.S. sales of over 9 million units sold annually, the PS4 & XBO will have combined sales well under 8 million this year. I somehow doubt the PS5 and Xbox 4 will be out any later than the end of next year. I'll post some more charts later. Time to hit the hay. I have to be at work in the morning. |
Thank you for posting these charts. 
I was curious though. Why do the PS4 & XB1 leave off Nov and Dec? You have this for Switch, but not the other two consoles.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox
Launches aligned (24 months)
NSW-~11.2m
PS4-~9.3m
XBO-~8.5m
LTD
NSW-~11.2m
PS4-~28.9m
XBO-~24.8m
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
Replicant said:
I doubt PS4 will take a single NPD win in 2019 but I don't understand why Switch being over PS4 is such an important success criteria? Switch looks to have a stellar March, might see a small dip in April and May, and then bounce back and have a stellar June. Why would it matter if PS4 took either April or May? |
Tbh it wouldn't matter that much if PS4 took April or May, just curious as to whether Switch can win every NPD this year or not. Again, not that it winning only 10/12 would mean it's not doing fantastically.
zorg1000 said:
It will be the same as last year, strong March followed by a dip in April/May then a big boost in June. 2018 numbers Jan-270k Feb-280k March-310k April-170k May-165k June-325k |
Tnx for numbers, despite expected fall in sale for April and May, Switch should stay above 200k this year for those months.
Last edited by Miyamotoo - on 18 March 2019
curl-6 said:
Tbh it wouldn't matter that much if PS4 took April or May, just curious as to whether Switch can win every NPD this year or not. Again, not that it winning only 10/12 would mean it's not doing fantastically. |
Oh ok. Yeah, I guess it'd be pretty cool to see Switch take 12/12 months. I think it's very likely. Especially since PS4 and XB1 are running low on fuel.
Shadow1980 said:
Because it allows for a more zoomed-in view of the monthly sales. I would do the same for the Switch, but since it had that large April launch month a Jan.-Oct. period chart wouldn't yield as much of a zoomed-in view. Fortunately, it's easy to edit the data ranges, so here's one anyway:
I just got back from from work, so I'll post the rest of my charts after I eat dinner. I still have to crunch some numbers for things like LTD charts and whatnot. |
Oh, I see. Thank you for this chart. In spite of that one outlier the first month, this chart still cuts the vertical axis in half. So this second chart is an improvement.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox
So both the PS4 and the Switch were under tracked wow.....But Switch on a freaking roll! This will be a great year for them without a doubt! PS4 still holding very strong as well and again the XB1 is doing what it can to keep its head above water.
The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...
PSN: StlUzumaki23
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