It seems that Switch did not lose momentum, it's up compared to last year. ;)

I don't think you realise what impossible means, it harder but not impossible.

Switch last year in October-December period sold 7.24m with Mario Odyssey and Xenoblade 2, this year in same time period have Super Mario Party, Pokemon Lets Go and Smash Bros Ultimate, only that is far stronger lineup compared to last year, plus Switch this year has plenty available bundles that didn't had last year. So with that all on mind, Switch could easily this year in same time period sell around 10m. Fact that Nintendo didnt changed 20m forecaste means they counting most for Holiday sales and Pokemon Lets Go and Smash Bros Ultimate.

Even if Switch dont hit 20m, it will be very close to that number in any case, like 17-18m in worst case.

Last year they sold what? 7 million during the holiday quarter? That was all they were able to ship at the time. This time it's going to be much more interesting as it seems that they have little supply issues. It's going to depend how big the demand is this Christmas. I think Smash Bros and Pokemon will provide that incredible boost, as they always have.

shipments are about even from last year, and last yeat they were low on stock, so they shipped everything they could, unlike this year where they probably have a good amount in store shelves. last year was its also its first holiday with pent up demand and a amazing line up for any Nintendo fan.

Nintendo fans act like pokemon and smash are the second coming but guess what those games were om 3ds and didnt propel sales into the heavens like some people expect on switch.

nintendo never  downgrades there forecast,  well see what happens they will ne lucky to match last year shipments imo.

shipments are about even from last year, and last yeat they were low on stock, so they shipped everything they could, unlike this year where they probably have a good amount in store shelves. last year was its also its first holiday with pent up demand and a amazing line up for any Nintendo fan.

Nintendo fans act like pokemon and smash are the second coming but guess what those games were om 3ds and didnt propel sales into the heavens like some people expect on switch.

I definitely doubted 100m software units when I first saw it, but that was before I realized that Nintendo was making physical releases of a lot of the high selling digital games (Rocket League, Minecraft, Overcooked, etc).  Knowing that they are counting all digital sales of those then it was an easy goal to hit.

Good quarter for Nintendo.

Not the "Pokémon didn't make the 3DS to sell" argument again. Yes, Pokémon didn't throw 3DS sales through the roof but neither did Super Mario 3D World for the Wii U, nor 3D Land for the 3DS. 

The fact that every single first party title sells very well on the Switch and helps to sell hardware way better than the Wii U or 3DS is a good reason to think Smash and Pokémon, but also Fortnite, will sell hardware like hotcakes.

We're still waiting you to show us your famous cliff you were mentioning :p

thats one thing i been wrong on  and i changed my prediction like a year ago to flat. since then i been mostly right on my predictions and 3 for 3 on my bets.