Generations are based on time of birth and succession. I am not just talking about video games. I am talking any context. How do you decide if someone is Baby Boomer, Gen X or Millennial? Just look up the year they were born. It's that simple. Also, Gen X is the successor to the Baby Boomer generation, and Millennials are the successor to Gen X. After a reasonable amount of time (depending on context), people decide its time to declare the next generation has started.
So how has this worked for video games? The best way to describe it, is to look what happened going from generation 3 to generation 4. In generation 3, Sega released the Sega Master System in 1986 (North America). It was a commercial flop against the NES, so they scrapped it early and released the Sega Genesis in 1989 (just 3 years later) to compete directly with the NES. It was even in their marketing "Genesis does what Nintendon't". This isn't referring to Nintendo the company, but Nintendo the console. The NES was called the Nintendo. They were saying, "Our 16 bit console can do things that their 8 bit console can't do." The Genesis competed directly with the NES for two full years, until Nintendo released the SNES in 1991.
So, given all of this evidence that the Genesis tried its hardest to be in generation 3 and compete with a generation 3 console, does that make it generation 3? Nope. None of that bullshit matters. Generation is defined by time of birth and succession. The Genesis was the successor to the SMS, so it was next gen even though it didn't want to be. Also, the time of "birth" of Genesis and SNES was two years apart which made them closer in age to each other than the Genesis and NES. The Genesis and SNES competed against each other directly the most years on the market as well.
So here are the lessons we can learn about generation:
1) The first successor to market starts the next generation - Genesis started generation 4 (1989, NA), because it succeeded the SMS (1986). Likewise Sega Saturn started generation 5 (1995), and Dreamcast started generation 6 (1999), because these were all the first successors to market. Then Nintendo quickly released the DS in (2004) to make them first successor in generation 7, the 3DS started generation 8 (2011), and the Switch started generation 9 (2017).
2) Power of the console doesn't matter - The Saturn and PS1 only had 32 bits. The N64 had 64 bits. They were all in the same generation, because power doesn't matter. The Wii was much less powerful than the XBox360 and PS3. The NES had the exact same processor as the Atari 2600. None of this matters, because power doesn't matter. Time of birth and succession is what matters.
3) First console for a company is decided by time of birth - The Turbographix-16 and original XBox were placed in generations 4 and 6 respectively, because their time of birth was closest to the other consoles of generations 4 and 6 respectively.
4) Consoles of different generations can compete with each other - The Genesis was made to compete with the NES. The XBox360 competed mostly with the PS2 for its first couple of years on the market. None of this matters for generations. Time of birth and succession are what matter.
5) Upgrades don't matter - Consoles always get revisions and upgrades during their generation. Nintendo especially does this with their handhelds. The DS, DS lite and DSi are all part of the DS generation. The New 3DS is a lot more powerful than the original DS. This doesn't matter one bit. Upgrades don't matter. Time of birth for the first version is what matters.
6) The winner of one generation doesn't choose when the next generation starts - Nintendo learned this lesson the hard way. They let their competitors release first in generations 4 and 5 and gradually they noticed that this was losing them market share. It's the first successor to market that begins the generation. Likewise, Sony doesn't dictate when generation 9 begins. Nintendo had the first successor to market, so they have started generation 9 with the Switch.
Generation 9 has already begun with the Switch. The first successor to market always starts the generation. If PS5 comes out in 2019, then this will actually be very similar to what has happened before and it will naturally be in generation 9 with the Switch. If PS5 waits a super long time, like 2021, to release then we will be entering new territory, and it will be likely placed in generation 10.
Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 12 August 2018