is that shipped or sold through? shipped i would say 15-17 million.

is that shipped or sold through? shipped i would say 15-17 million.

What would be the floor (or "less") part of your prediction? I am just curious if your overall prediction (based on what we know so far of course) is in the ball park of what I predict (13-15 million).

My predictions are shipped. Assuming there are no price cuts, no hardware revisions, and no competitively priced hardware bundles (if these are introduced, I would revise my projection upwards), I largely see Switch following the 3DS's trajectory this year.

As much as I like the Switch (it is pretty much the only way I can play due to its portability, so it is my primary system), I am worried about its viability overall. Do you see it reaching 50-60 million lifetime? That is where the adoption needs to be, imo, for it to be viable.

15.5m were shipped last FY. it's going to be more then that imo. I think you're both being pessimistic.

Holidays will be big. I still think shipments will be close to 20m, I thought we might get 18.5m sales to consumers and 20m shipped this FY, maybe 18.5m for shipments is more realistic now.

Yea we have the same exact prediction, i forgot launch month is not included in the FY. 65-75 million LTD.

switch had a lot more going for it last year IMO. it was the new hot item that was always sold out till the holidays, with two of the highest rated titles of all time, and just a amazing line up for core gamers and casual gamers, this year all they have is smash.

My predictions are shipped. Assuming there are no price cuts, no hardware revisions, and no competitively priced hardware bundles (if these are introduced, I would revise my projection upwards), I largely see Switch following the 3DS's trajectory this year.

As much as I like the Switch (it is pretty much the only way I can play due to its portability, so it is my primary system), I am worried about its viability overall. Do you see it reaching 50-60 million lifetime? That is where the adoption needs to be, imo, for it to be viable.

15.5m were shipped last FY. it's going to be more then that imo. I think you're both being pessimistic.

Holidays will be big. I still think shipments will be close to 20m, I thought we might get 18.5m sales to consumers and 20m shipped this FY, maybe 18.5m for shipments is more realistic now.

Did you miss the part where nintendo said it has weaker shipments for Q1 2018 compared to Q1 2017?

Obviously nintendo are gonna say they are fully expecting it to play it cool, don't really care what nintedo said really, they have been off with there 3ds and wiiu forcast every year they won't change it till they know 100% they can't make that number. BTW the official  translation just came out.

That's the same as saying the PS4 will not sell consoles anymore this year because all they had this year was God of War. Neither is even close to the truth

PS4 has the whole industry backing it, switch is mainly being sold because of nintendo games, it's a major difference, playstation is just a much stronger brand WW as well.

Well, seeing the last numbers from Europe, not sure it's still the same powerhouse it was one or two years ago. PS4 is definitely starting to show it's age.