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quickrick on 09 July 2018
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nemo37 said:
quickrick said:

is that shipped or sold through? shipped i would say 15-17 million.

My predictions are shipped. Assuming there are no price cuts, no hardware revisions, and no competitively priced hardware bundles (if these are introduced, I would revise my projection upwards), I largely see Switch following the 3DS's trajectory this year.

As much as I like the Switch (it is pretty much the only way I can play due to its portability, so it is my primary system), I am worried about its viability overall. Do you see it reaching 50-60 million lifetime? That is where the adoption needs to be, imo, for it to be viable.

Yea we have the same exact prediction, i forgot launch month is not included in the FY. 65-75 million LTD.

Barkley said:
nemo37 said:

What would be the floor (or "less") part of your prediction? I am just curious if your overall prediction (based on what we know so far of course) is in the ball park of what I predict (13-15 million).

15.5m were shipped last FY. it's going to be more then that imo. I think you're both being pessimistic.

Holidays will be big. I still think shipments will be close to 20m, I thought we might get 18.5m sales to consumers and 20m shipped this FY, maybe 18.5m for shipments is more realistic now.

switch had a lot more going for it last year IMO. it was the new hot item that was always sold out till the holidays, with two of the highest rated titles of all time, and just a amazing line up for core gamers and casual gamers, this year all they have is smash.