By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - June NPD 2018 predictions thread

JSG87 said:
I don't get all the really close numbers for Switch & xb1. After the last two months, the NPD predictor pretty much nailed the Ratio between all three consoles and if that follows correctly for June too, then ps4 should be first, Switch should sell around 90% of what ps4 sells and Xbox should sell around 50% of what the ps4 sells.

2 months is nothing though imo.



Around the Network

PS4: 365K
Switch: 297K
Xbox 250K



JSG87 said:
I don't get all the really close numbers for Switch & xb1. After the last two months, the NPD predictor pretty much nailed the Ratio between all three consoles and if that follows correctly for June too, then ps4 should be first, Switch should sell around 90% of what ps4 sells and Xbox should sell around 50% of what the ps4 sells.

Xbox could be higher as it was underestimated last month, but the ratio between PS4 and Switch was spot on in both months, so those 90% should stand well



JSG87 said:
I don't get all the really close numbers for Switch & xb1. After the last two months, the NPD predictor pretty much nailed the Ratio between all three consoles and if that follows correctly for June too, then ps4 should be first, Switch should sell around 90% of what ps4 sells and Xbox should sell around 50% of what the ps4 sells.

Switch was

270k, 280k, 310k, 170k, 165k

XB1 was

~235k, 310k, 299k, 134k, 153k

Avg difference was

~239-~226= 13k in favor of Switch

All in all the consoles have been very close this year, sure I don't really think Switch will beat XB1 by only 5k. But in order to keep my total prediction close, I would rather take a loss on individual console accuracy imo.



JSG87 said:
I don't get all the really close numbers for Switch & xb1. After the last two months, the NPD predictor pretty much nailed the Ratio between all three consoles and if that follows correctly for June too, then ps4 should be first, Switch should sell around 90% of what ps4 sells and Xbox should sell around 50% of what the ps4 sells.

XB1 had a big sale this month and I think Switch's performance on NPD predictor is hyper-inflated due to the lack of PS4 presence on Amazon.



Around the Network
Megiddo said:
JSG87 said:
I don't get all the really close numbers for Switch & xb1. After the last two months, the NPD predictor pretty much nailed the Ratio between all three consoles and if that follows correctly for June too, then ps4 should be first, Switch should sell around 90% of what ps4 sells and Xbox should sell around 50% of what the ps4 sells.

XB1 had a big sale this month and I think Switch's performance on NPD predictor is hyper-inflated due to the lack of PS4 presence on Amazon.

PS4 had been absent the 2 previous months already and still had been spot on



PS4: 250k
Switch: 200k
XB1: 175k

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 06 July 2018

PS4 280k
Switch 260k
Xbox 225k



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

PS4 - 300k
Switch - 275k
XB1 - 220k



A few things about the NPD predictor :

- It is only two month old so its accuracy, while it's been great so far, remains to be seen long term.
- It is useless to predict sales volumes (only ranking and hopefully relative sales between the 3)
- It may underestimate XBO a bit (again we need more data).