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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 Won March NPD (PS4: 354K, NSW: 308K, XBO: 299K)

RolStoppable said:
quickrick said:

sure if you combine everything it looks better, but out i counted like like 48 votes out of 60 i think. that had switch over  by around 800k-1.5 million, to me that is destroying and would basically almost have to win every npd to achieve this.

It looks like a convenient threshold to define a lead as low as 800k as 'destroying', because that's still only 15%. 15% happens to be same as the PS4's lead in the month of March. It's doubtful that many people would say that the PS4 destroyed Switch and Xbox One this month.

More importantly though, you are falling into your habit of goalpost moving and backpedaling when you are wrong about something. That doesn't help your case at all. It's also only 40 of 86 predictions that have Switch ahead of the PS4 by at least 800k units. Furthermore, a gap of 800k units can be achieved in a single month, so in theory two consoles can split NPD wins for the first ten months of the year and one console can still come out with a lead if the console manufacturer in question goes to town with games, bundles and offers in the holiday season; therefore your conclusion that the ResetEra predictions must expect Switch to win nearly every month doesn't make much sense either.

The relevant question at this point is how deep you want to dig your hole.

I guess anything is possible no matter how unlikely it is, but switch will get destroyed in november again this year.  



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quickrick said:
RolStoppable said:

It looks like a convenient threshold to define a lead as low as 800k as 'destroying', because that's still only 15%. 15% happens to be same as the PS4's lead in the month of March. It's doubtful that many people would say that the PS4 destroyed Switch and Xbox One this month.

More importantly though, you are falling into your habit of goalpost moving and backpedaling when you are wrong about something. That doesn't help your case at all. It's also only 40 of 86 predictions that have Switch ahead of the PS4 by at least 800k units. Furthermore, a gap of 800k units can be achieved in a single month, so in theory two consoles can split NPD wins for the first ten months of the year and one console can still come out with a lead if the console manufacturer in question goes to town with games, bundles and offers in the holiday season; therefore your conclusion that the ResetEra predictions must expect Switch to win nearly every month doesn't make much sense either.

The relevant question at this point is how deep you want to dig your hole.

I guess anything is possible no matter how unlikely it is, but switch will get destroyed in november again this year.  

Give me your definition of destroyed? Do you think 2:1? Maybe 1.5x more? 

 

We need to kno the answer! Also what is nintendo holiday gamr for Nov? Is pokemon releasing? You seem to know alot about nov when we are pre e3 and over half a year away



quickrick said:
kirby007 said:

So you admit to cherrypicking and using half assed data?

how am i cherry picking? the majority in that list have switch by a million or over.

Using a only partial piece of data that specifically fits your need while ignoring the other data is cherrypicking sonny



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

tbone51 said:
quickrick said:

I guess anything is possible no matter how unlikely it is, but switch will get destroyed in november again this year.  

Give me your definition of destroyed? Do you think 2:1? Maybe 1.5x more? 

 

We need to kno the answer! Also what is nintendo holiday gamr for Nov? Is pokemon releasing? You seem to know alot about nov when we are pre e3 and over half a year away

Same as 2017



NintendoPie said:
CGI-Quality said:

Why?

So it can win by an even larger and more boastful margin. 

Its down yoy and increasing.

Its still 299,95 and thats still expensive for many.

The pro is still 399,95 and thats really expensive for many.

 

Bigger instal base means more revenue for sony means more funds to make more games like god of war,uncharted,bloodborne etc.

 

Means a more happier klaudkil.



 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

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I wonder if Switch will be able to maintain it's 2nd place in April.

Neither Switch nor XB1 really have anything big, but XB1 has slowly been creeping up being far behind in January, a bit ahead in February and now barely behind in March.



Xbox did great. I still think it would do much better with a big exclusive game, but it is doing amazing for what it is.
Nintendo Switch needs new games, I'm sorry Switch fans, I love mine, but man, there's absolutely no must buy game since Super Mario Odyssey. Not being able to defeat PS4 is Nintendo's fault. Where.are.the.games?
PS4, of course, wins, there's no way it could be different, it's the best bang for your buck.



https://www.resetera.com/threads/march-2018-npd-u-s-hardware-predictions-closes-tuesday-april-17th.34348/page-26#post-7014438 Xbox One X doing really good.



Hiku said:

quickrick said:

sure if you combine everything it looks better, but out of 60 predictions,  i counted like like 48 votes out of 60 i think, that had switch over  by around 800k-1.5 million, to me that is destroying and would basically mean switch has to win almost have to win every npd to achieve this.

Well how about this then?
Rather than only using ambiguous terms like 'destroying' in sales related topics, we try to specify what we mean exactly. Because that could save people like Rol some time to have to tally up all the numbers like he did.
And while it's not always possible or convenient to do so, if we see some outlandish claim, try to save that post or screenshot it if you think it's something you would want to reference in the coming months.

I over exaggerated again, lol. it's not destroy but beating by 800-1.5 million is a pretty nice margin, considering imo there is no way switch is gonna win.



Listen if i wanted to know reseteras consensus and sales opinions i would join that website. But using it as proof here and against users here is just plain bait. Next time reference predictions made here or state obviously where you base your oh but everyone is saying this statements on...



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.