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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 Won March NPD (PS4: 354K, NSW: 308K, XBO: 299K)

quickrick on 20 April 2018
Miyamotoo said:
quickrick said:

why not? i told already those are slow months, and thats what ps4/xb numbers look like around those months, and switch has been selling on that level so far, well for feb/march weaker then ps4.

Like you didnt read what I wrote, again "because reason why Switch sold that much last year was because stock problems", this year will easily sell more during those months, for instance Switch sold 165k in May last year beacause huge stock problems. Switch sold better in February than it did in January, and now sold better in March than it did in February.

Do you want to bet that Switch this year will sell more than that did during those 5 months last year?

yea ill bet that it wont sell 100k more in those 5 months combined. pm the details.



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kirby007 on 20 April 2018
RolStoppable said:
kirby007 said:

I didnt make a sheet but looks to be at 340

I made a table with the 20 predictions that were submitted in VGC's prediction thread for March:

PS4 Switch Xbox One
364 359 298
350 300 290
325 290 275
340 280 290
340 295 270
340 250 290
358 285 319
350 275 300
350 300 290
350 240 290
350 400 330
350 300 320
350 310 340
360 300 275
350 380 300
344 320 295
350 280 310
380 320 340
290 260 240
297 269 270
344,4 300,65 296,6

The average displayed at the very bottom barely deviates from the actual NPD numbers. Also, Switch was more often predicted to finish in third than in first, but most commonly in second place.

You could say that in the big picture the actual NPD results matched the expectations.

Weird how a forum on website specifically for console sales can be so accurate on average. 

Not calling resetera users clueless but they tend to be in a more circlejerk environment like 4chan which effects a proper own judgement



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Nautilus on 20 April 2018
quickrick said:
Nautilus said:

How convinient.

Pkus we are on vgchartz, not resetera.

Do we have a 2018 prediction thread here?

Are we in a forum thats not called Vgchartz?

If you are so obsessed with their predictions and thoughts on the industry, move over to there.

If you dont want to, then dont generalize and make it seems that their overall concensus is the same as the one here.Thats all Im asking.



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

RJ_Sizzle on 20 April 2018
VGPolyglot said:
hudsoniscool said:
March was good for xbox, only 2014 was better. That was only by about 10k and it was because that month had titan fall. Xbox one still having its best year ever so far.

Hmm, I guess the S and X are doing pretty well then. Game Pass and backwards compatibility may be helping it too.

I would say the constant price drops since the holiday has been helping Xbox One a lot, really.



MinatozakiSana on 20 April 2018

kiii PS4 winning effortlessly again, April and May should be in the bag too with GOW boost?



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CosmicSex on 20 April 2018
quickrick said:
CosmicSex said:
Guys there are a few reasons why PS4 is winning. First is game choice of course. Second is that the PS4 is old enough for people to repurchase or upgrade. Third is months like April with big releases. People need to understand that the Switch has been doing very well, but in general what gets people going are their larger than life exclusives like Pokemon and Smash. Again, without a huge phenomenon like the Wii, we aren't going to see continued month after month domination.

switch never dominated in the first place, even with mario odyssey release, october it did regular ps4/xb1 numbers for october, and had a weak november.

Well then in the US we can say that all three are doing good  



zorg1000 on 20 April 2018
Nautilus said:

If you are so obsessed with their predictions and thoughts on the industry, move over to there.

He did, they just keep banning him.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Carl on 20 April 2018
quickrick said:

Most people predicted switch would win almost every month for 2018.

Please don't do this.

I've had a read through and you're basing it off what you read on ResetEra, which is fine to do when you're on ResetEra, but please don't do it on VGChartz. It's a completely different community of people, even if we do have some crossover. Don't make these generalizations.



                            

zorg1000 on 20 April 2018

In order to meet their full year fiscal goals, Switch needed to ship 2.87 million last quarter. Lets break it down.

NPD has Switch at ~860k, add in Canada & Latin America and you are looking at ~1 million.

Media Create has it just under 700k for Q1 in Japan.

The region Nintendo calls others has been in between Americas & Japan every quarter so lets assume that remains true, ~850k would be right in the middle.

Americas-1m
Japan-700k
Others-850k
Total-2.55m

If sell through is over 2.5 million than shipments of 2.87m or more is very likely.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

quickrick on 20 April 2018
zorg1000 said:
Nautilus said:

If you are so obsessed with their predictions and thoughts on the industry, move over to there.

He did, they just keep banning him.

Lol i hardly posted there except in prediction thread. i actually got banned from there now because somebody reported me from here as saying benji is a useless source. so now because i used a source which is the biggest gaming forum on the net as predictions i should move there? you get need to get out with that none sense.