In order to meet their full year fiscal goals, Switch needed to ship 2.87 million last quarter. Lets break it down.
NPD has Switch at ~860k, add in Canada & Latin America and you are looking at ~1 million.
Media Create has it just under 700k for Q1 in Japan.
The region Nintendo calls others has been in between Americas & Japan every quarter so lets assume that remains true, ~850k would be right in the middle.
Americas-1m
Japan-700k
Others-850k
Total-2.55m
If sell through is over 2.5 million than shipments of 2.87m or more is very likely.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.