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Forums - Sales Discussion - March 2018 NPD predictions thread

 

The winner is...

PS4, by a lot 12 29.27%
 
PS4, by a bit 22 53.66%
 
NSW, by a lot 1 2.44%
 
NSW, by a bit 4 9.76%
 
XB1, by a lot 0 0%
 
XB1, by a bit 2 4.88%
 
Total:41

Soooooony wins.



My prediction in 2021.

SW: 30m

PS5 16m

XBS: 7.5m

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PS4 - 350k
XB1 - 300k
Switch - 275k



PS4 - 350
Switch - 300
XBOX - 290

i think XB1 and Switch will be close. Will be interesting which game sold more consoles: Kirby or sea of thieves.



PS4-350k
XBO-290k
NSW-240k



I'm feeling crazy this month.

[NSW] 400k
[PS4] 350k
[XBO] 330k



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

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I know I'm not good with numbers so I'll just say the Switch will win this month by 20K over the PS4, over 40K the Xbone



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

globalisateur said: 

Ryng, why you put the Switch so high ? What did Switch have in march compared to in February ?

Compared to the others consoles Switch had a very weak boost for February, a 31% weekly sales increase for that month is super low. (you can also just look at PS4 who increased by 81% and XB1 who increased by 67%, in line with the usual february increase).
Usually, when that's happen, March weekly avg remain the same or even increase, and with March having one more week monthly results end up with a good boosts.

Also March looks a better month for Switch because February only had Bayonetta remastered while March has Kirby Star Allies and the Smash Bros direct.

 

That said, kinda doubt Switch will be that high (even though i believe most predictions are too low) , but i have a bet with Rick and untill the best isn't over i'll try to win it. (probabily realistic range is from 300K to 350K)



PS4 350K
XB1 320K
NSW 300K



 

Ryng_Tolu said:
globalisateur said: 

Ryng, why you put the Switch so high ? What did Switch have in march compared to in February ?

Compared to the others consoles Switch had a very weak boost for February, a 31% weekly sales increase for that month is super low. (you can also just look at PS4 who increased by 81% and XB1 who increased by 67%, in line with the usual february increase).
Usually, when that's happen, March weekly avg remain the same or even increase, and with March having one more week monthly results end up with a good boosts.

Also March looks a better month for Switch because February only had Bayonetta remastered while March has Kirby Star Allies and the Smash Bros direct.

 

That said, kinda doubt Switch will be that high (even though i believe most predictions are too low) , but i have a bet with Rick and untill the best isn't over i'll try to win it. (probabily realistic range is from 300K to 350K)

 realistic for you. your predictions for switch have way too high for 2018 so far.



quickrick said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Compared to the others consoles Switch had a very weak boost for February, a 31% weekly sales increase for that month is super low. (you can also just look at PS4 who increased by 81% and XB1 who increased by 67%, in line with the usual february increase).
Usually, when that's happen, March weekly avg remain the same or even increase, and with March having one more week monthly results end up with a good boosts.

Also March looks a better month for Switch because February only had Bayonetta remastered while March has Kirby Star Allies and the Smash Bros direct.

 

That said, kinda doubt Switch will be that high (even though i believe most predictions are too low) , but i have a bet with Rick and untill the best isn't over i'll try to win it. (probabily realistic range is from 300K to 350K)

 realistic for you. your predictions for switch have way too high for 2018 so far.

Honestly i don't care that much when i predicted 15 million shipped in 2017 and i made that prediction in January, when most people thought 10 million was already optimist. Lifetime to date right now i was super spot on with Switch, so if i maybe predicted a few months too high, this surely won't stop me.