By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

If the trend of the X1 being a little bit undertracked by the tool keeps up that means the X1 and the NS are gonna be virtually tied in august. 

Man, this is gonna be good.



Around the Network
Symbios63 said:
August Summaries :

1) All numbers included

Amazon : 1) NS : 221.3 points/day ; 2) XBO : 51.6 points/day ; 3) PS4 : 47.1 points/day
Best Buy : 1) NS : 346.2 points/day ; 2) XBO : 290.7 points/day ; 3) PS4 : 281.4 points/day
Gamestop : 1) PS4 : 365.5 points/day ; 2) XBO : 116.2 points/day ; 3) NS : 65.0 points/day

Overall : 1) PS4 : 459.5 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 311.3 points/day (0.68) ; 3) XBO : 280.3 points/day (0.61)


2) No more than 2 days for PS4 million

Amazon : 1) NS : 221.3 points/day ; 2) XBO : 51.6 points/day ; 3) PS4 : 47.1 points/day
Best Buy : 1) NS : 346.2 points/day ; 2) XBO : 290.7 points/day ; 3) PS4 : 281.4 points/day
Gamestop : 1) PS4 : 251.5 points/day ; 2) XBO : 116.2 points/day ; 3) NS : 65.0 points/day

Overall : 1) PS4 : 345.5 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 311.3 points/day (0.90) ; 3) XBO : 280.3 points/day (0.81)


3) No more than 1 day for PS4 million

Amazon : 1) NS : 221.3 points/day ; 2) XBO : 51.6 points/day ; 3) PS4 : 47.1 points/day
Best Buy : 1) NS : 346.2 points/day ; 2) XBO : 290.7 points/day ; 3) PS4 : 273.9 points/day
Gamestop : 1) PS4 : 223.1 points/day ; 2) XBO : 116.2 points/day ; 3) NS : 65.0 points/day

Overall : 1) PS4 : 315.6 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 311.3 points/day (0.99) ; 3) XBO : 280.3 points/day (0.89)

It will become very interesting to see which one is the good one. When will be NPD?

chakkra said:
ironmanDX said:
What an odd month August was.

I can't wait to see the results.  There is gonna be blood in these forums lol

Yeah, with this, it can go either way, everybody has a shot depending on the graph.

chakkra said:

If the trend of the X1 being a little bit undertracked by the tool keeps up that means the X1 and the NS are gonna be virtually tied in august. 

Man, this is gonna be good.

And if the third graphic (only one day of sales for the 500M PS4 Pro) applies, this goes for all of them. Tous dans un mouchoir de poche!



09/03/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 16 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 33 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 35 (-5) - 282.88$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 55 (-9) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 99 (-8) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 46 points (-14) ; XBO : 82 + 2 = 84 points (-18) ; NS : 135 + 86 = 221 points (+1)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 10 (-) - 299.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 22 (+7) - 499.99$
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 29 (-14) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 86 (-3) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 94 = 304 points (-46) ; XBO : 165 + 108 + 15 = 288 points (+11) ; NS : 205 + 160 = 375 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 500 Million Ultimate Bundle - 10 (+7) - Sold out
2 (+2) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 31 (+5) - 734.99$ (Out of Stock)
3 (+2) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 32 (+5) - 599.99$ (Out of Stock)
4 (+2) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 34 (+4) - 499.99$ (Out of Stock)
5 (+2) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 53 (+11) - 299.99$
6 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 74 (+12) - 299.99$
7 (-4) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 - 75 (-47) - 499.99$
8 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 90 (+21) - 299.99$
9 (R) - XBox One X NBA 2K19 - 114 (R) - 499.99$
10 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 200 (-94) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro Spiderman Bundle - 5 (-) - 399.99$

PS4 : 190 + 135 + 135 + 130 + 78 + 1 = 669 points (-179) ; XBO : 98 + 44 = 142 points (-) ; NS : 62 points (+17)

Overall (Today, all numbers included) :

1 - PS4 : 766.6 points (-199.4) ; Month Average : 866.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 346.8 points (+54.3) ; Month Average : 319.7 points/day ; 0.37 (+0.07) 
3 - NS : 313.8 points (+19.8) ; Month Average : 303.9 points/day ; 0.35 (+0.05) 

PS4 is at 197.0 if we don't take million edition into account...

Last edited by Symbios63 - on 03 September 2018

zorg1000 said:
Symbios63 said:
September accumulated pre order points :

PS4 : 6214.8 (Spiderman Bundle)
XBO : 1371.5 (NBA 2K bundle)
NS : 0

How many days during the "NPD September period" ?

35

Based on this, I am wondering if I should give the PS4 a 177.6 daily point bonus for the month (6214.8/35) and the XBO a 39.2 daily point bonus for the month (1371.5/35). I think I did not do this previously with preorder but it sounds the logical thing to do...



Symbios63 said:
zorg1000 said:

35

Based on this, I am wondering if I should give the PS4 a 177.6 daily point bonus for the month (6214.8/35) and the XBO a 39.2 daily point bonus for the month (1371.5/35). I think I did not do this previously with preorder but it sounds the logical thing to do...

I think you should give the points the day the bundles launch.



Around the Network
jason1637 said:
Symbios63 said:

Based on this, I am wondering if I should give the PS4 a 177.6 daily point bonus for the month (6214.8/35) and the XBO a 39.2 daily point bonus for the month (1371.5/35). I think I did not do this previously with preorder but it sounds the logical thing to do...

I think you should give the points the day the bundles launch.

Wouldn’t preorder product appear on the chart as a sold the day of availability?



abronn627 said:
jason1637 said:

I think you should give the points the day the bundles launch.

Wouldn’t preorder product appear on the chart as a sold the day of availability?

Yeah that's what I'm saying. Add the preorder points the day the bundles launch.



jason1637 said:
abronn627 said:

Wouldn’t preorder product appear on the chart as a sold the day of availability?

Yeah that's what I'm saying. Add the preorder points the day the bundles launch.

Well no, doing this will only cause confusion with the point system Symbios put in place. What I mean't is that preorders units will appear on charts as sold unit in any case, once they're billed and shipped (using Gamestop terms).



09/04/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 18 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman - 26 (R) - 399.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 36 (-3) - 299.00$
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 39 (-4) - 282.88$
5 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 63 (R) - 484.60$
6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 72 (-17) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 99 (-8) - 499.99$

PS4 : 100 + 38 + 29 = 167 points (+121) ; XBO : 74 points (-10) ; NS : 125 + 80 = 205 points (-16)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 2 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (-1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 11 (-1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 29 (-7) - 499.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 94 (-8) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 29 (-14) - 399.99$

PS4 : 205 points (-99) ; XBO : 160 + 94 = 254 points (-34) ; NS : 200 + 155 = 365 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - PS4 Pro 2 TB 500 Million - 34 (-24) - Sold out
2 (-) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 35 (-5) - 734.99$ (Out of Stock)
3 (-) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 36 (-4) - 599.99$ (Out of Stock)
4 (-) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 37 (-3) - 499.99$ (Out of Stock)
5 (-) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 45 (+8) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 86 (-12) - 299.99$
7 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 87 (+3) - 299.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 - 90 (-15) - 499.99$
9 (-) - XBox One X NBA 2K19 - 109 (+5) - 499.99$
10 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 - 169 (R) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

10 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 200 (-94) - 399.99$

PS4 : 130 + 125 + 125 + 120 + 66 = 566 points (-103) ; XBO : 106 + 46 = 152 points (+10) ; NS : 64 points (+2)

Overall (Today, all numbers included) :

1 - PS4 : 740.6 points (-26.0) ; Month Average : 824.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 340.6 points (-6.2) ; Month Average : 326.6 points/day ; 0.40 (+0.03)
3 - NS : 301.0 points (-12.8) ; Month Average : 302.9 points/day ; 0.37 (+0.02)



Overall (minus PS4 million) :

1 - XBO : 340.6 points (-6.2) ; Month Average : 326.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 301.0 points (-12.8) ; Month Average : 302.9 points/day ; 0.93
3 - PS4 : 240.6 points (+64.0) ; Month Average : 282.7 points/day ; 0.87



That second prediction chart can't be right for September, like at all.