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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

globalisateur on 17 August 2018
Symbios63 said:
Miyamotoo said:

Game hardware sales volume on a relative basis for July:

Switch: 1
3DS: 0.32
PS4: 0.71
Xbox One: 0.58
Others: 1.37

YoY:
Switch: +18%
3DS: -20%
PS4: -14%
Xbox One: +16%
Others: #ERROR

https://www.resetera.com/threads/july-2018-npd-u-s-hardware-predictions-closes-tuesday-august-14th.60464/page-3#post-11558929

Well, we have our answer. PS4 pro complete shortages online vs availibility in brick and mortar stores made the tool wrong for the month.

I am still pleased to see we were able to properly predict the turnaround between NS and PS4 and the ratio NS / XBO was alright. 

I will do all the summaries when I am back from holydays ;)

Told you so ! Have a nice holiday !



Around the Network
Pionner on 17 August 2018

PS4 Pro was not available in store either. It still isn't except for Gamestop.



Formerly ilovegirls69  :(

Bofferbrauer2 on 17 August 2018
Symbios63 said:
08/17/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (-3) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 72 (-12) - 285.99$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 77 (+7) - 482.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 86 (+10) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 15 points (+10) ; XBO : 29 + 24 = 53 points (-5) ; NS : 160 + 100 = 260 points (-16) ; PS4 (September) : 0 point (-)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (+3) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 13 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 14 (+4) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 26 (+1) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 38 (+11) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 77 (+8) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 points (+10) ; XBO : 150 + 100 + 76 + 24 = 350 points (+32) ; NS : 190 + 145 = 335 points (+35) ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 19 (-13) - 399.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 80 (-4) - 299.99$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 95 (-2) - 499.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 96 (+3) - 299.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Madden 2019 - 111 (-4) - 459.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 134 (+41) - 299.00$
7 (R) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 160 (R) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 72 + 45 = 282 points (-41) ; XBO : 56 + 21 = 77 points (+19) ; NS : 56 + 34 = 90 points (+25) ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 365.0 points (+19.2) ; Month Average : 325.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 336.0 points (-31.0) ; Month Average : 263.7 points/day ; 0.81 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 246.2 points (+27.8) ; Month Average : 168.0 points/day ; 0.52 (+0.02)



Reminder : I won't be able to post updates or check numbers untill next sunday. If you want me to be able to update later, I will need the daily rankings posted here. If it is not possible, no big deal, we will do without this week.
See ya.

I'll get the numbers from the shops for each day, don't worry. Unless someone else wants to volunteer, of course.

What's up with the PS4 going up and down like a Yoyo? And what's up with the Xbox climbing so high without releases or pricecuts?



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

jason1637 on 17 August 2018
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Symbios63 said:
08/17/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (-3) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 72 (-12) - 285.99$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 77 (+7) - 482.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 86 (+10) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 15 points (+10) ; XBO : 29 + 24 = 53 points (-5) ; NS : 160 + 100 = 260 points (-16) ; PS4 (September) : 0 point (-)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (+3) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 13 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 14 (+4) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 26 (+1) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 38 (+11) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 77 (+8) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 points (+10) ; XBO : 150 + 100 + 76 + 24 = 350 points (+32) ; NS : 190 + 145 = 335 points (+35) ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 19 (-13) - 399.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 80 (-4) - 299.99$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 95 (-2) - 499.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 96 (+3) - 299.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Madden 2019 - 111 (-4) - 459.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 134 (+41) - 299.00$
7 (R) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 160 (R) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 72 + 45 = 282 points (-41) ; XBO : 56 + 21 = 77 points (+19) ; NS : 56 + 34 = 90 points (+25) ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 365.0 points (+19.2) ; Month Average : 325.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 336.0 points (-31.0) ; Month Average : 263.7 points/day ; 0.81 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 246.2 points (+27.8) ; Month Average : 168.0 points/day ; 0.52 (+0.02)



Reminder : I won't be able to post updates or check numbers untill next sunday. If you want me to be able to update later, I will need the daily rankings posted here. If it is not possible, no big deal, we will do without this week.
See ya.

I'll get the numbers from the shops for each day, don't worry. Unless someone else wants to volunteer, of course.

What's up with the PS4 going up and down like a Yoyo? And what's up with the Xbox climbing so high without releases or pricecuts?

I'm down to help to get the rankings if you need help.



Bofferbrauer2 on 17 August 2018
jason1637 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

I'll get the numbers from the shops for each day, don't worry. Unless someone else wants to volunteer, of course.

What's up with the PS4 going up and down like a Yoyo? And what's up with the Xbox climbing so high without releases or pricecuts?

I'm down to help to get the rankings if you need help.

I should be able to do it. But I'll might have a day or two where I can't do the updates, would be nice if you could do it instead those days (I'll PM you in advance if I can't that day).



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Around the Network
Bofferbrauer2 on 18 August 2018

08/18/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 14 (-3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 27 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1TB - 66 (NEW) - Third Party only
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 79 (-7) - 285.99$
5 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 84 (-7) - 482.00$
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 96 (-10) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : ; XBO : ; NS : ; PS4 (September) : 0 point (-)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 11 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (-1) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 27 (-1) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 78 (-40) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 95 (-18) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : ; ; ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 7 (+12) - 399.99$
2 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 74 (+22) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 75 (+5) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 90 (+5) - 499.99$
5 (+2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 108 (+52) - 499.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 119 (+15) - 299.00$
7 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Madden 2019 - 200 (-89) - 459.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : ; XBO : ; NS : ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)


And that's it for the first update from my part. I left the points blank for now because I wasn't 100% sure about when a console gets how many points, especially not on Gamestop.

Anyway, looks like a bad day for XBO and a mixed bag for Switch and PS4

Edit: whoops, wrong date! Corrected now

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 19 August 2018

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Bofferbrauer2 on 19 August 2018

08/19/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 28 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 61 (+18) - 285.99$
4 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 90 (-6) - 482.00$
5 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1TB - 99 (-33) - Third Party only

Out of Top 100 :

- 6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 96 (-10) - 299.99$

PS4 : ; XBO : ; NS : ; PS4 (September) : 0 point (-)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 11 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 16 (-) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 27 (-) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 78 (-40) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 95 (-18) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : ; ; ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)


- Gamestop :

- Gamestop :

 

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 4 (+3) - 399.99$

2 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 47 (+43) - 499.99$

3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 71 (+4) - 299.99$

4 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 77 (-3) - 299.00$

5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 119 (-) - 299.00$

6 (N) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 151 (NEW) - 299.99$

7 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Madden 2019 - 161 (+39) - 459.99$

8 (N) - XBox One X 1 NBA 2K19 - 184 (NEW) - 499.99$

 

Out of Top 100 :

 

5 (+2) - XBox One X 1 Madden 2019 - 108 (+52) - 499.99$

-

PS4 : ; XBO : ; NS : ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)

Thx Globalisateur for the Gamestop numbers

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 19 August 2018

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

globalisateur on 19 August 2018
Bofferbrauer2 said:

08/19/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 28 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 61 (+18) - 285.99$
4 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 90 (-6) - 482.00$
5 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1TB - 99 (-33) - Third Party only

Out of Top 100 :

- 6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 96 (-10) - 299.99$

PS4 : ; XBO : ; NS : ; PS4 (September) : 0 point (-)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 11 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 16 (-) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 27 (-) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 78 (-40) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 95 (-18) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : ; ; ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 7 (+12) - 399.99$
2 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 74 (+22) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 75 (+5) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 90 (+5) - 499.99$
5 (+2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 108 (+52) - 499.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 119 (+15) - 299.00$
7 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Madden 2019 - 200 (-89) - 459.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : ; XBO : ; NS : ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)

Gamestop has gone back to be all buggy to me, can somebody send me their positions, please?

Ok, so right now:

- Gamestop best sellers:

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 4 - 399.99$

4 () - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 47 - 499.99$

3 () - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 71 - 299.99$

5 () - XBox One X 1 Tb - 74  - 499.99$

2 () - Nintendo Switch Neon - 77 - 299.00$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 119 - 299.00$

5 () - XBox One S- NBA 2K19 - 151 - 299.99$
7 () - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Madden 2019 - 161  - 459.99$

5 () - XBox One X 1 Tb - NBA 2K19 - 184  - 499.99$

That's it for the day ! You'll just have to do the relative ranking and editing (obviously forum editing is not ideal).



Bofferbrauer2 on 20 August 2018

Same problem as yesterday, can somebody please send me the Gamestop numbers (via PM if possible)



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

globalisateur on 20 August 2018
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Same problem as yesterday, can somebody please send me the Gamestop numbers (via PM if possible)

BTW I noticed at Best buy that for the first time they give a free game with the $299 Switch (Mario + rabbits). Nintendo must have noticed that demand was kind of slowing this month.

Have you tried a free proxy in order to go to Gamestop ? Just select from a US proxy in the list:

https://us.hideproxy.me/index.php