By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Here are the closest estimates for June NPD from Era,
NSW] 325K
[PS4] 375K
[XB1] 240K.



Around the Network

Woah, where did this Xbox lead over PS4 come from? Am I missing some big promotion or marketing deal? I mean, that’s massive change compared to all previous months.

Also, why the Switch increase?



pitzy272 said:
Woah, where did this Xbox lead over PS4 come from? Am I missing some big promotion or marketing deal? I mean, that’s massive change compared to all previous months.

Also, why the Switch increase?

Apparently PS4 Pro has had moderate shortages lately which could be affecting the accuracy of its placement on the chart.

As for Switch, it had a pretty stacked lineup ever since E3 (Fortnite, Paladins, Hollow Knight, Octo Expansion, Mario Tennis, Minecraft, Ys VIII, Lego Incredibles, Donkey Kong Adventure, Crash Bandicoot, Wolfenstein, Shining Resonance, Captain Toad, Octopath Traveler, Sonic Mania Plus, Mega Man X Collection, Go Vacation).



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
pitzy272 said:
Woah, where did this Xbox lead over PS4 come from? Am I missing some big promotion or marketing deal? I mean, that’s massive change compared to all previous months.

Also, why the Switch increase?

Apparently PS4 Pro has had moderate shortages lately which could be affecting the accuracy of its placement on the chart.

As for Switch, it had a pretty stacked lineup ever since E3 (Fortnite, Paladins, Hollow Knight, Octo Expansion, Mario Tennis, Minecraft, Ys VIII, Lego Incredibles, Donkey Kong Adventure, Crash Bandicoot, Wolfenstein, Shining Resonance, Captain Toad, Octopath Traveler, Sonic Mania Plus, Mega Man X Collection, Go Vacation).

PS4 Pro is completely sold out online so there is one less SKU on all online retailers used by OP tool. 



globalisateur said:
zorg1000 said:

Apparently PS4 Pro has had moderate shortages lately which could be affecting the accuracy of its placement on the chart.

As for Switch, it had a pretty stacked lineup ever since E3 (Fortnite, Paladins, Hollow Knight, Octo Expansion, Mario Tennis, Minecraft, Ys VIII, Lego Incredibles, Donkey Kong Adventure, Crash Bandicoot, Wolfenstein, Shining Resonance, Captain Toad, Octopath Traveler, Sonic Mania Plus, Mega Man X Collection, Go Vacation).

PS4 Pro is completely sold out online so there is one less SKU on all online retailers used by OP tool. 

I suppose i should look at the individual retailer charts rather than just the graph at the bottom.

I wonder if this will affect sales in July/Aug, i assume they will try to have this straightened out by the time Spider Man releases.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Around the Network

I think in many ways there is a good reason for Switch probably winning July and August. Such a fantastic bit of kit for your holidays, to be sat gaming next to the pool with an ice cold drink. Shutting the kids up on the journey too, is just win-win.



08/08/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 4 (R) - 399.99$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 35 (+1) - 299.00$
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 48 (-3) - 285.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 52 (+38) - 299.99$
6 (-2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 79 (+3) - 476.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 49 points (+38) ; XBO : 56 + 22 = 78 points (-3) ; NS : 140 + 82 = 222 points (+2) ; PS4 (September) : 195 points (+195)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 8 (+11) - 399.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 16 (-1) - 299.99$
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 17 (-3) - 299.00$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 29 (+2) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 48 (+13) - 499.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 67 (+20) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 points (-5) ; XBO : 135 + 94 + 56 + 34 = 319 points (+35) ; NS : 190 + 130 = 320 points (-20) ; PS4 (September) : 175 points (+55)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 42 (-21)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 77 (-20) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 114 (-13) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 74 points (-20) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :44 points (-6) ; PS4 (September) : 110 points (-50)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 285.6 points (-8.4) ; Month Average : 305.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 164.1 points (+6.0) ; Month Average : 170.0 points/day ; 0.56 (+0.01)
3 - PS4 : 152.2 points (+9.4) ; Month Average : 148.1 points/day ; 0.49 (+0.02)



jason1637 said:
Here are the closest estimates for June NPD from Era,
NSW] 325K
[PS4] 375K
[XB1] 240K.

If those numbers are accurate :

June 2018

Tool result : 1) PS4 : 438.7 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 397.5 points/day (0.91) ; 3) XBO : 247.9 points/day (0.57)
NPD results : PS4 : 375k (1.0) ; NS : 325k (0.87) ; XBO : 240k (0.64)

That would be another great month for us :))

ps : I thought XBO was higher could you share a link to the discussion leading to those numbers ?



Symbios63 said:
jason1637 said:
Here are the closest estimates for June NPD from Era,
NSW] 325K
[PS4] 375K
[XB1] 240K.

If those numbers are accurate :

June 2018

Tool result : 1) PS4 : 438.7 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 397.5 points/day (0.91) ; 3) XBO : 247.9 points/day (0.57)
NPD results : PS4 : 375k (1.0) ; NS : 325k (0.87) ; XBO : 240k (0.64)

That would be another great month for us :))

ps : I thought XBO was higher could you share a link to the discussion leading to those numbers ?

I got the numbers from the end of this threads OP

https://www.resetera.com/threads/july-2018-npd-u-s-hardware-predictions-closes-tuesday-august-14th.60464/



Symbios63 said:
jason1637 said:
Here are the closest estimates for June NPD from Era,
NSW] 325K
[PS4] 375K
[XB1] 240K.

If those numbers are accurate :

June 2018

Tool result : 1) PS4 : 438.7 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 397.5 points/day (0.91) ; 3) XBO : 247.9 points/day (0.57)
NPD results : PS4 : 375k (1.0) ; NS : 325k (0.87) ; XBO : 240k (0.64)

That would be another great month for us :))

ps : I thought XBO was higher could you share a link to the discussion leading to those numbers ?

Those are the winning numbers from the prediction thread on ResetEra.

XBO was up 100% YoY in terms of revenue but the X model being $500 and not available last year means that unit sales will be a good deal lower than 100%. If these numbers are close to accurate than thats a ~60% YoY increase in unit sales.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.