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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Chorlin said:
ironmanDX said:

Quickrick was right! That's it. I'm starting a petition to get him un-perma'd.

What??!! Mr Cliff was permabanned??
What did he do?

Make a gutsy prediction a year too early. Truly, a visionary taken from us all before his time. May his "off a cliff" meme live on.



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Man, switch easy pass 2m, xone 1,5m and ps4 700~800k this month.



12/24/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 8 (-2) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 17 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + GC - 28 (-4) - 299.00$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V Bundle - 32 (+3) - 199.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 48 (-9) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey + GC - 58 (+1) - 299.00$
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 88 (-12) - 298.00$
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 95 (-11) - 319.00$

Out of Top 100 :

9 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 99 (-11) - 399.99$

PS4 : 56 + 13 + 6 = 75 points (-43) ; XBO : 88 points (+6) ; NS : 175 + 130 + 96 + 43 = 444 points (-27)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 5 (-) - 199.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 6 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 7 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 19 (-) - 399.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 29 (-2) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 40 (-1) - 399.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 64 (-3) - 199.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 69 (+1) - 199.99$
10 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 83 (-) - 199.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 180 + 120 + 94 = 394 points (-4) ; XBO : 190 + 72 + 37 + 32 + 18 = 349 points (-4) ; NS : 205 + 185 = 390 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 7 (+2)
2 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 24 (-2)
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 37 (+18)
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 39 (-2)
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 71 (-15)
6 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon + GC - 89 (R)
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 117 (-11)
8 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 172 (+22)
9 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb PUGB Bundle - 175 (+13)

Out of Top 100 :

8 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 Bundle - 190 (R)

PS4 : 195 + 120 + 15 = 330 points (+40) ; XBO : 155 + 115 + 80 + 42 + 13 = 405 points (-22) ; NS : 62 points (+62)

Overall :

1 - NS : 495.2 points (+40.4) ; Month Average : 683.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 468.8 points (+4.8) ; Month Average : 406.8 points/day ; 0.59 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 708.8 points (-23.4) ; Month Average : 339.9 points/day ; 0.50 (+0.03)



12/27/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (-3) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 25 (-8) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + GC - 33 (-5) - 324.00$
4 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey + GC - 68 (-10) - 299.00$
5 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V Bundle - 72 (-50) - 258.90$
6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 95 (-7) - 298.00$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 48 (-9) - 299.99$
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 95 (-11) - 319.00$

PS4 : 6 points (-69) ; XBO : 29 points (-59) ; NS : 160 + 102 + 86 + 33 = 381 points (-63)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 3 (+3) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 7 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 12 (+7) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 16 (+13) - 299.99$
6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 32 (-25) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 43 (-3) - 499.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 56 (+8) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 71 (-2) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

10 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 83 (-) - 199.99$

PS4 : 155 + 135 + 88 = 378 points (-16) ; XBO : 180 + 66 + 45 + 30 = 321 points (-28) ; NS : 205 + 200 = 405 points (+15)


- Gamestop :

1 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 + GC - 14 (N)
2 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 + GC - 15 (N)
3 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White Bundle + GC - 16 (N)
4 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 Bundle + GC - 17 (N)
5 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb PUBG + GC - 18 (N)
6 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + GC - 19 (N)
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 28 (+61)
8 (-5) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 58 (-21)
9 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 78 (R)
10 (-8) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 79 (-55)
11 (-10) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 181 (-174)

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 39 (-2)
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 71 (-15)
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 117 (-11)
8 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 172 (+22)
9 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb PUGB Bundle - 175 (+13)

PS4 : 94 + 10 = 104 points (-226) ; XBO : 180 + 175 + 175 + 170 + 170 + 72 = 942 points (+537) ; NS : 145 + 74 = 219 points (+157)

Overall :

1 - NS : 604.8 points (+109.6) ; Month Average : 670.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - XBO : 1338.2 points (+629.4) ; Month Average : 430.9 points/day ; 0.64 (+0.14)
3 (-1) - PS4 : 184.4 points (-284.4) ; Month Average : 392.0 points/day ; 0.58 (-0.01)



XBox One multiple SKU distortion of sales data in full effect once again. LOL



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A bit more and by the graph, people will be starting to return their ps4 in stores.



That NPD will get very interesting. Switch first was a given with Smash, the question was more by how much.

However, seems like the XBO could actually beat the PS4 for the second spot, though the many different SKU probably distort things a bit too much



Bofferbrauer2 said:
That NPD will get very interesting. Switch first was a given with Smash, the question was more by how much.

However, seems like the XBO could actually beat the PS4 for the second spot, though the many different SKU probably distort things a bit too much

XBO should get 2nd, it did last year and it had some good deals this year while PS4 didnt.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
That NPD will get very interesting. Switch first was a given with Smash, the question was more by how much.

However, seems like the XBO could actually beat the PS4 for the second spot, though the many different SKU probably distort things a bit too much

XBO should get 2nd, it did last year and it had some good deals this year while PS4 didnt.

Yep looking the same as last year again  for the Big 3 in Dec



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

12/28/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (-) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (+6) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + GC - 79 (-46) - 324.00$
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V Bundle - 89 (-17) - 258.90$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 93 (+2) - 298.00$
6 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 95 (R) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey + GC - 68 (-10) - 299.00$

PS4 : 8 + 6 = 14 points (+8) ; XBO : 12 points (-17) ; NS : 160 + 120 + 22 = 302 points (-79)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 3 (-) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 10 (+2) - 399.99$
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 14 (+2) - 299.99$
5 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 27 (-20) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 29 (+3) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 78 (-35) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 56 (+8) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 71 (-2) - 299.99$

PS4 : 165 + 145 + 94 = 404 points (+26) ; XBO : 98 + 23 = 121 points (-200) ; NS : 205 + 200 = 405 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White Bundle + GC - 10 (+6)
2 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 + GC - 11 (+3)
3 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 + GC - 14 (+1)
4 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + GC - 15 (+4)
5 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 Bundle + GC - 16 (+1)
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb PUBG + GC - 17 (+1)
7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 33 (-5)
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 58 (-)
9 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 69 (+9)

Out of Top 100 :

10 (-8) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 79 (-55)
11 (-10) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 181 (-174)

PS4 : 94 points (-10) ; XBO : 190 + 185 + 180 + 175 + 175 = 905 points (-37) ; NS : 130 + 82 = 212 points (-7)

Overall :

1 - NS : 534.6 points (-70.2) ; Month Average : 665.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 (-) - XBO : 1220.4 points (-117.8) ; Month Average : 460.2 points/day ; 0.69 (+0.05)
3 (-) - PS4 : 186.0 points (+1.6) ; Month Average : 384.4 points/day ; 0.58 (-)

Yup, XBO deals at gamestop will ruin everything again.... :(

I will have work to do before next holyday season... (For December, I think it will be fair to reduce the importance of the end of the month (after the 24) in the average calculation...)