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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

12/11/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (+4) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 36 (+6) - 299.99$
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 41 (+14) - 229.00$
5 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 49 (-10) - 307.18$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 70 (-1) - 249.99$
7 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 97 (R) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 + 54 = 134 points (-8) ; XBO : 70 + 31 = 101 points (+23) ; NS : 200 + 165 = 365 points (+20)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 3 (-) - 249.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 4 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 6 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 21 (-) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb - 48 (-) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 76 (-1) - 449.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 82 (-1) - 249.99$
9 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 100 (-1) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 110 + 1 = 306 points (-1) ; XBO : 200 + 56 + 25 + 19 = 300 points (-2) ; NS : 205 + 185 = 390 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (+25)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 37 (+9)
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 42 (+10)
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 69 (+49)
5 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 93 (+7)

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 181 (+20)

PS4 : 120 + 110 = 230 points (+14) ; XBO : 58 points (+6) ; NS : 170 + 82 = 252 points (+100)

Overall :

1 - NS : 622.0 points (+116.0) ; Month Average : 674.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 398.4 points (+7.4) ; Month Average : 404.2 points/day ; 0.60 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 258.4 points (+31.2) ; Month Average : 196.0 points/day ; 0.29 (+0.01)



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Appreciate all your hard work Symbios!!!!! December will be a very interesting month!



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

This is the most exciting part of the year for numbers, thanks for your updates Symbios :)!
December is easier to predict than BF which mostly results from shopping in stores so online is biased a lot so i think the december tool will be pretty accurate.



According to Benji switch is doing really well because of smash but xbox and ps4 are performing poorly. I think it's possibly that the ps4 and xbox could be under 1m or slightly over this month.



12/12/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 42 (-6) - 299.99$
4 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 52 (+18) - 249.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 55 (-6) - 315.00$
6 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 73 (-32) - 229.00$
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 88 (+9) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 68 + 46 + 13 = 127 points (-7) ; XBO : 49 + 28 = 77 points (-24) ; NS : 205 + 165 = 370 points (+5)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 5 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (-3) - 299.99$
4 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 22 (-19) - 249.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 25 (-4) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb - 71 (-23) - 399.99$
7 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 76 (+24) - 399.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 82 (-6) - 449.99$
9 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 86 (-4) - 249.99$
10 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 91 (R) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 102 + 25 + 10 = 327 points (+21) ; XBO : 108 + 30 + 19 + 15 = 172 points (-128) ; NS : 205 + 170 = 375 points (-15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (+10)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 35 (+2)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 42 (-)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (+19)
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 88 (+5)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 125 + 110 = 235 points (+5) ; XBO : 64 points (+6) ; NS : 195 + 102 = 297 points (+45)

Overall :

1 - NS : 668.0 points (+46.0) ; Month Average : 674.0 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 402.0 points (+3.6) ; Month Average : 404.0 points/day ; 0.60 (-)
3 - XBO : 208.4 points (-50.4) ; Month Average : 197.1 points/day ; 0.29 (-)



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12/13/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 37 (+5) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 47 (+5) - 249.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 67 (-12) - 329.00$
6 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 82 (R) - TP
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 87 (+1) - 399.99$
8 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 95 (-22) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 78 + 34 + 19 + 14 = 145 points (+18) ; XBO : 58 + 6 = 64 points (-13) ; NS : 205 + 170 = 375 points (+5)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 4 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 17 (+5) - 249.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 23 (+2) - 399.99$
6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 46 (+30) - 399.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 74 (+8) - 449.99$
8 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 76 (+15) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 80 (+6) - 249.99$
10 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 96 (R) - 249.99$
11 (-5) - XBox One X 1Tb - 100 (-29) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 106 + 60 + 25 = 386 points (+59) ; XBO : 130 + 27 + 21 + 5 + 1 = 184 points (+12) ; NS : 205 + 180 = 385 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 14 (-7)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 43 (-8)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 46 (-4)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 67 (-17)
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 125 (-37)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 108 + 106 = 214 points (-21) ; XBO : 38 points (-26) ; NS : 180 + 84 = 264 points (-33)

Overall :

1 - NS : 641.0 points (-27.0) ; Month Average : 671.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 407.2 points (+5.2) ; Month Average : 404.3 points/day ; 0.60 (-)
3 - XBO : 163.8 points (-44.2) ; Month Average : 194.3 points/day ; 0.29 (-)



12/14/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 8 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 38 (-1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 45 (+2) - 249.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 57 (+25) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 60 (+7) - 320.00$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 74 (+21) - 234.40$
8 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 85 (+2) - 399.99$
9 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V Bundle - 92 (R) - 249.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 76 + 44 + 41 + 16 = 177 points (+32) ; XBO : 62 + 27 + 9 = 98 points (+34) ; NS : 205 + 175 = 380 points (+5)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 4 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 17 (-) - 249.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 28 (-5) - 399.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 50 (-4) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 52 (+22) - 449.99$
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 56 (+20) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 83 (-3) - 249.99$
10 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb - 99 (+1) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

10 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 96 (R) - 249.99$

PS4 : 195 + 96 + 52 + 45 = 388 points (+2) ; XBO : 130 + 49 + 18 + 2 = 199 points (+15) ; NS : 205 + 180 = 385 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 23 (-9)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 54 (-11)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 63 (-17)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 78 (-11)
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 127 (-2)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 98 + 88 = 186 points (-28) ; XBO : 37 points (-1) ; NS : 155 + 74 = 229 points (-35)

Overall :

1 - NS : 610.0 points (-31.0) ; Month Average : 666.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 405.2 points (-2.0) ; Month Average : 404.3 points/day ; 0.61 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 201.8 points (+38.0) ; Month Average : 194.9 points/day ; 0.29 (-)



How it do for November?



Farsala said:
How it do for November?

Wrong again- but the OP said it probably would be and that he'd adjust it for next holidays



Zombie9ers said:
Farsala said:
How it do for November?

Wrong again- but the OP said it probably would be and that he'd adjust it for next holidays

Not nearly as wrong as October though, right?

I suspect the tool could be pretty accurate in December. I can actually see Switch outselling PS4 by more than the 662.000 needed to steal the year.

January:
PS4: ~254,000
XB1: ~235,000
Switch: ~270,000

February:
PS4: ~363,000
XB1: ~310,000
Switch: ~279,000

March:
PS4: ~354,000
XB1: ~299,000
Switch: ~308,000

April:
PS4: ~326,000
XB1: ~134,000
Switch: ~171,000

May:
PS4: ~221,000
XB1: ~144,000
Switch: ~166,000

June:
PS4: ~375,000
XB1: ~240,000
Switch: ~325,000

July:
PS4: ~187,000
XB1: ~152,000
Switch: ~263,000

August:
PS4: ~197,000
XB1: ~162,000
Switch: ~203,000

September:
PS4: ~425,000
XB1: ~175,000
Switch: ~260,000

October:
PS4: ~340,000
XB1: ~226,000
Switch: ~255,000

November:
PS4: ~1,480,000
XB1: ~1,340,000
Switch: ~1,360,000

2018:
PS4: ~4,522,000
XB1: ~3,417,000
Switch: ~3,860,000

Last edited by Replicant - on 14 December 2018