So can be a bit like making your own interactive minigames. Looks interesting and deeper than I first thought. I think that labo might have wider appeal than people (users in this forum) think.

I would quite frankly be very surprised if they didn't both cross 3 million.

By the end of 2018 we'd expect there to be about 25 million Switches? Of those I would have thought that something between one in 7 and one in 5 will buy at least one kit, but obviously there's going to be a tailoff for the second kit so I think 5 million combined would be a fair guess.

The kit aren't where the big hobbyist scene will get interested ... they'll buy one set and then focus on the garage stuff. That means that even if it's very successful it will probably only be moderately successful for Nintendo itself. But I think that it will be a minor system-seller for Switch, so they'll benefit there.

I find there is nothing quite so sad as people wanting something to fail simply because they aren't the target audience. And there is a lot of people in this thread who fall into this behaviour.

Now that said, "will it fail" is an entirely different question. And, as others have noted, that's a hard question without defining what constitutes a "flop". One million in sales is still a significant benchmark in video gaming. OP seems to think that is about what it will sell. So, would that make Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (and all of its predecessors) a flop? Obviously not. those games serve niche markets.

So too does Labo. The problem is, it serves a market that doesn't exist in console space. So we have no baseline to judge against for determining how big the market might be. I suspect Nintendo thinks this will be a relatively big seller. Arbitrarily, I am going to suggest they might be happy if it sells 2-3 million units combined. And I think they reach that figure.

I couldnt prevent myself from hearing Cary Elwes' voice while reading your post.

yea pushing it like crazy doesn't have to mean advertising it like crazy. it's clearly  there main focus, since reveal, more then any other game for 2018, if your gonna mindlessly try to take a shot at me every time you get a chance, please stop quoting me, and ignore me.  

They should really push it. Its new different and exiting. Some might use the word gimmick and I would too, but in a good way.

Interesting to see how it does.

But I never SAID that. I said the response was mixed 50/50. You inferred I meant the focus groups when what I meant was us, forum dwellers. Maybe I should have been more clear originally? But that's what I meant.

I knew you were talking about forum dwellers and not focus groups hence why i said the reception from people who arent the the target audience (forum dwellers) is irrelevent and that the reception from the target audience (people who matter) has been very positive.

i mean... ok Labo is not THAT thing for the People in this Forum... but we are not targeted... i think many People fortget that Labot is not a Game... its a Brand... if it sell well it CAN outsell even the the Switch Numbers... i dont think this will happen but we have 2 kits in April and there will most likey be 1-2 more around holiyday(and maybe more to come)...

don't underestimate the casual crowd