Forums - Gaming Discussion - Prediction: Red Dead 2 will be the best selling game of Q4 2018

Top selling game of Q4 2018

COD 2018 9 42.86%
 
Battlefield 2018 1 4.76%
 
FIFA 19 3 14.29%
 
Red Dead Redemption 2 7 33.33%
 
Other games 1 4.76%
 
see results 0 0.00%
 
Total:21

Ask me after E3.



The Democratic Nintendo fan....is that a paradox? I'm fond of one of the more conservative companies in the industry, but I vote Liberally and view myself that way 90% of the time?

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It very well could be, but we have to take into account FIFA and CoD, not to mention the possibility of a Pokemon on Switch. It is still unconfirmed, but all signs indicate a pokemon release on Holidays, whether it's a mainline game or not.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

PAOerfulone said:

Highly unlikely.

We'll get the usual crowd who buys it every year and we'll get some additional purchases from people who are going to be in that Futbol State of Mind and won't be satisfied with just the World Cup. It's the most popular sport on the planet, by far. And the World Cup is the "End All. Be All." of the sport. Expect EA and Sony to take full advantage of that.

Yeah but most of those things have been true in previous years as well.

Besides, don't forget OP is talking about Q4 only and FIFA will almost certainly release in the last week of September so it's first 5-6m sales won't count for this comparison



Bet Shiken that COD would outsell Battlefield in 2018. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8749702

It would have to be Gen 8 in order to have a shot at claiming the title of "best selling game of Q4 2018", because the spinoffs like the Mystery Dungeon series won't have a shot.



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

Damn, forgot about that. XD



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

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Darwinianevolution said:
It very well could be, but we have to take into account FIFA and CoD, not to mention the possibility of a Pokemon on Switch. It is still unconfirmed, but all signs indicate a pokemon release on Holidays, whether it's a mainline game or not.

I'm not sure Pokemon has a chance even if it is a new gen. Looking at VGC this Q4 (which is actually complete now, go VGC!) COD sold over 17m (physical only). While Pokemon hasn't done that much since Diamond/Pearl on the DS. So to beat the lifetime sales of the gen 5/6/7 games in a single quarter seems quite unlikely. Especially when the Switch's installbase may hold it back too. Even if Nintendo is on course for their 20m shipment year Pokemon would still need like a 50% attach rate in order to beat COD.



Bet Shiken that COD would outsell Battlefield in 2018. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8749702

FattyDingDong said:

I predict that Rockstar Games' Red Dead Redemption 2 will be the top selling game of Q4 2018 therefor beating the new COD, Battlefield 2, FIFA etc. 

Which game do you think will be the best selling game of Q4?   

Given the lifetime sales versus sales in the first quarter...here is the gist. 

Red Dead R. 1 sold about five million total in its first quarter, and in a year about eleven million. Headaches of different release times aside, I think one can comment on a 6-7 million sale as a fairly decent estimate no?

Now....there are franchises that can sell like that beyond such COD and FIFA titles. 

For example...Animal Crossing. It's among the titles rumored to be possible E3 reveals, and with Nintendo pushing for closer or worldwide releases it could be a worldwide release with the last year having been translating for it. 

Animal Crossing sold nearly 3 million in about a quarter in Japan and South Korea alone, and another about 2 million in America upon release. With the Switch flaring up sales (I was amazed at Mario sales for one), that could have similar explosive success when on a hotter seller than the 3DS. 

There is also a Smash Deluxe to consider. 



The Democratic Nintendo fan....is that a paradox? I'm fond of one of the more conservative companies in the industry, but I vote Liberally and view myself that way 90% of the time?

For refernce, Call of Duty has been the best selling game worldwide every since 2009, except 2013 (gta outsold it that year. If this is black ops 4, cod will edge out rdr2 in Q4. If its not, than RDR will edge out cod in Q4.

Regardless of all this, RDR2 will win lifetime no contest.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

Depends what the MP for RDR2 is like first.



Hmmm, dunno about that. This is a Black Ops year and Black Ops is the biggest CoD series. Not only that, but supposedly it will be a return to a modern setting for the first time since 2011's CoD MW3. I love RDR, but the first didn't even come close to CoD sales lifetime, and while GTA V has boosted the popularity of Rockstar since then, I don't know if it will be enough to dethrone CoD.