KLXVER said: PS4 number 1. XB1 number 2...and then Switch... 1 2 Switch......Great marketing by Nintendo! |
Oh my God...they knew!
killeryoshis said:
VGPolyglot said:
Wii+? By how much?
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I expect Switch to outsell the Wii in ltd. That's all I'm saying. Right now my range is between 100 million to 150 million. The only reason I have such a huge range is because I'm not sure 100% what Nintendo is going to do. However Wii numbers should be the floor. DS numbers should be the ceiling.
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I'd curb those expectations. Not that 100M+ is impossible, it's just HIGHLY unlikely. The Switch has done well this year, however, I don't see it quite matching the 3DS's first year of 15M+ shipments. I also think it's going to follow a similar trajectory as the 3DS, having a great first 3 years, with the 3rd being its peak if they can get the price to $199 (Nvidia isn't exactly known for wanting to drop the price of their chips unless they have to, hence MS and Sony leaving them), and then it starts to drop YOY. I'd say 50M is more the floor, with 100M being the ceiling. Personally, I expect it to perform on par with the 3DS in the end.
LethalP said: I don't get why people are comparing Switches first November to PS4's when considering that X1 significantly beat out the PS4 and clearly hasn't meant much in the long run. It could go either way for the Switch. It's going to do well and will continue to win NPD's in future, how many is unknown. But it won't beat PS4, that's just silly.
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The reason it is compared is because some people think the Switch will be able to beat it. So far, it's behind launches aligned. Also, one of the main reasons the XBO beat the PS4 that year was because the PS4 had stock issues. The Switch did not. So, the gap would have been much larger if the PS4 didn't have those issues. It really just paints a picture of the Switch doing well, just not matching the PS4.
Pavolink said:
Any guess on why is Switch too low? Lose steam? Low demand? No stock?
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No, no stock issues. Online sold out on certain stores, but physical retail had plenty. Though, I wouldn't say it's losing steam. This is just what the demand is for a $299 Switch. If they can get it to $199 in 2019, it's going to have a great year.