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Forums - Sales Discussion - November NPD 2017 predictions thread

 

Which console will win the month

NSW 28 30.11%
 
PS4 52 55.91%
 
XB1 13 13.98%
 
Total:93
ThisGuyFooks on 08 December 2017
quickrick said:
PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.



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Ryng on 08 December 2017

Looks like we have a pretty clear point of the situation, but numbers doesn't look accurate at least according to Mat.

PS4 seem to be higher than that (and so Switch since we calculate his numbers from PS4), so better wait a bit, even though yeah, my predictions were horrible lol



quickrick on 08 December 2017
Ryng_Tolu said:
Looks like we have a pretty clear point of the situation, but numbers doesn't look accurate at least according to Mat.

PS4 seem to be higher than that (and so Switch since we calculate his numbers from PS4), so better wait a bit, even though yeah, my predictions were horrible lol

ps4 numbers higher? damn i prediction is on point.



Intrinsic on 09 December 2017
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
quickrick said:
[PS4] 1650K
[NSW] 900K
[XB1] 1000K

You expect a 30% increase in PS4's in Novemeber over last year? When it has more competition than ever?

You expect it to sell nearly twice of the Switch? Even with supply issues that is pretty .... ambitious?

 

theDX said:
quickrick said:

umm ps4 has a huge amount of stock, and the fact thats it's selling out online is telling me it will have it's best november ever, because it has no business selling out, unless it's selling a insane amount. switch is surprising i don't think nintendo shipped that much, maybe a million at most, and it's still available every where online.

But what's selling out is just the $199 PS4, isn't it?

 

celador said:
quickrick said:

what kind of prediction is that? ps4 has a huge amount of stock, and already sold out everywhere online, and you expect it to come last. LOL. 

maybe, but the PS4 did fuck all for the first 3/4 of the months compared to the Switch consistently being much higher and the X1 having X preorders. It might win BF week, but still just come third.

and speaking of 'LOL' your PS4 prediction is ridiculous

Some gold moments right there.



pastro243 on 09 December 2017
quickrick said:
PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

Congrats man haha



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globalisateur on 09 December 2017
quickrick said:
PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

PS4 out old switch 2:1 in november, are you ready to eat crow yet, and apologize. that goes for everyone that was calling me a fanboy, on my prediction, lol.

Great prediction ! I bet few predicted PS4 > 1600 and PS4 = 2x switch. 

How did you come up with that prediction BTW ? What's your secret ? :P

 

EDIT: OK I have just read your explanation. But still, great job !



quickrick on 09 December 2017

Thanks everyone. i came with prediction because i know what the market wants, entire industry >>>> nintendo first party, and nintendo handhelds back then could only rival playstation consoles because there wasn't really any good entrainment on the go, except for handhelds, plus ps4 being 199$, with limited stock there was no way switch would be close.



AngryLittleAlchemist on 09 December 2017
Intrinsic said:

Some gold moments right there.

I don't really see how my comment is a "gold" moment. Based on the information I had at the time, quickrick's prediction seemed ludicrous. Of course I was wrong, but that's hindsight. 

Besides ...

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8653426

No need to be a jerk about winning or losing



AngryLittleAlchemist on 09 December 2017
quickrick said:
Thanks everyone. i came with prediction because i know what the market wants, entire industry >>>> nintendo first party, and nintendo handhelds back then could only rival playstation consoles because there wasn't really any good entrainment on the go, except for handhelds, plus ps4 being 199$, with limited stock there was no way switch would be close.

Well quickrick, I am sorry I doubted you. Still going to take your future predictions with a grain of salt, but good job.



Intrinsic on 09 December 2017
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
Intrinsic said:

Some gold moments right there.

I don't really see how my comment is a "gold" moment. Based on the information I had at the time, quickrick's prediction seemed ludicrous. Of course I was wrong, but that's hindsight. 

Besides ...

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8653426

No need to be a jerk about winning or losing

For me it wasn't just about you doubting him... I mean read his posts... I wouldn't blame anyone for doubting him.

But it was that you thought it was completely crazy for the PS4 to be up by 30% YOY.... meanwhile it ended up being up by 40%. 

Its like everyone just forgot what mass market pricing can do to sales.