Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Predict the Switch hardware sales for July and August !

700k July, 700k August



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Gaming on: PS4 Pro, Switch, SNES Mini, Wii U, PC (i5-7400, GTX 1060)

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Mbolibombo said:
jason1637 said:
650k in July
750k in August

Your predicting less than current hardware sales despite increased production and Splatoon released late july?


July is the slowest month of the year in terms of hardware sales and splatoon 2 comes out in the 21st so i expect July to star slow for the switch and go beast mode in splatoons launch. Then it sales stay steady in August.



jason1637 said:
Mbolibombo said:

Your predicting less than current hardware sales despite increased production and Splatoon released late july?


July is the slowest month of the year in terms of hardware sales and splatoon 2 comes out in the 21st so i expect July to star slow for the switch and go beast mode in splatoons launch. Then it sales stay steady in August.

While that is true normally, this year isnt normal per say.

Console launched in march, with stock issues and isconstantly selling out. Pretty much all over the world... It's going to sell out all the stock every week in july to.



I believe it will be the number one selling console all through July selling at least 1million, and another 600k in August, providing Nintendo actually sorts stock out




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Mbolibombo said:
jason1637 said:

July is the slowest month of the year in terms of hardware sales and splatoon 2 comes out in the 21st so i expect July to star slow for the switch and go beast mode in splatoons launch. Then it sales stay steady in August.

While that is true normally, this year isnt normal per say.

Console launched in march, with stock issues and isconstantly selling out. Pretty much all over the world... It's going to sell out all the stock every week in july to.

Yea but for July this is how I see Switch selling

Week 1- 120k

Week 2- 130k

Week 3-  230k

Week 4-  170k

This is pretty reasonable considering that the PS4 usually sells around 120-140k on a weekly basis in July and Switch will still have low shipments.



jason1637 said:
Mbolibombo said:

While that is true normally, this year isnt normal per say.

Console launched in march, with stock issues and isconstantly selling out. Pretty much all over the world... It's going to sell out all the stock every week in july to.

Yea but for July this is how I see Switch selling

Week 1- 120k

Week 2- 130k

Week 3-  230k

Week 4-  170k

This is pretty reasonable considering that the PS4 usually sells around 120-140k on a weekly basis in July and Switch will still have low shipments.

Let's agree to disagree, Those number are leaving stock out there not sold. I dont see that happening.



I have over predicted each month so far, but these are my most recent revision for July and Aug (I've cut July by nearly 400K since early April):

July: 1.05m
August: 800k

July, US: 0.37. JP: 0.34. OT: 0.34
August: US: 0.30. JP: 0.25. OT: 0.25.




Bets:

1. If the Wii U sells closer to 10 million LTD by 1/3/2015 I win. If it sells closer to 9.5 million LTD by 1/3/2015 OfficerRaichu15 wins (winner gets 2 weeks of avatar control)--Lost.

1m for July and 1m for August.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

jason1637 said:
Mbolibombo said:

While that is true normally, this year isnt normal per say.

Console launched in march, with stock issues and isconstantly selling out. Pretty much all over the world... It's going to sell out all the stock every week in july to.

Yea but for July this is how I see Switch selling

Week 1- 120k

Week 2- 130k

Week 3-  230k

Week 4-  170k

This is pretty reasonable considering that the PS4 usually sells around 120-140k on a weekly basis in July and Switch will still have low shipments.

Let's take a deep breath for a moment and remember Switch sold 360k when MK8D launched. 



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won