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Forums - Sony Discussion - Predict PS4 Sales Every Year Going Forward

mjk45 said:
CGI-Quality said:

It's already cleared 115m (and should settle around 125m, give or take - which is within range of the most logical predictions). Doesn't have to do more, particularly when its predecessor is breaking all of its early records as it is.  

Not sure about the 10m (approx) to reach 125m with it clocking in around 40k on a good week nowadays. Still before the PS5's release and Sony demonstrating that (unlike PS4 software) it was no longer interested in PS4 hardware by cutting back production and no price cuts, I would have said it was a deadset certainty and that 125m was the baseline, anyway a base figure around 120m is still great considering Sony's lack of end gen support is most likely going to be the difference between the 130-145m lifetime predictions and where it ends up. also with a lot of people seeing Sony's end of gen history as a positive factor that was something most didn't predict. 

Note that I said cleared. It's most likely above 115m (I'm waiting on Sony's latest report).

Regardless, the point is that it has already made its mark. 115m, 125m, 135m. Doesn't really matter. No need  to do more (though the bonus doesn't hurt) and this thread was bumped to remind the lowballers of that. ;)



                                                                                                                                                           

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There are a few funny posts here to be sure. However, I can't blame the people who predicted in the 125-140m range. In 2017, the common assumption for PS4 is that it would get a price cut. At this point it's looking like that price cut is never going to come.



CGI-Quality said:
mjk45 said:

Not sure about the 10m (approx) to reach 125m with it clocking in around 40k on a good week nowadays. Still before the PS5's release and Sony demonstrating that (unlike PS4 software) it was no longer interested in PS4 hardware by cutting back production and no price cuts, I would have said it was a deadset certainty and that 125m was the baseline, anyway a base figure around 120m is still great considering Sony's lack of end gen support is most likely going to be the difference between the 130-145m lifetime predictions and where it ends up. also with a lot of people seeing Sony's end of gen history as a positive factor that was something most didn't predict. 

Note that I said cleared. It's most likely above 115m (I'm waiting on Sony's latest report).

Regardless, the point is that it has already made its mark. 115m, 125m, 135m. Doesn't really matter. No need  to do more (though the bonus doesn't hurt) and this thread was bumped to remind the lowballers of that. ;)

Yes I noted that you said cleared, my only query was your 125m figure seemed high against the backdrop of 40k a week, not that PS4 sales weren't a success already, the rest of my post was a demonstration of why those 130-145 were valid and how Sony itself stopped that from happening everything else I mention is inline with your thoughts of it being a success despite that not occuring, cheers my friend.



IcaroRibeiro said:

How can you guys necrobump so many threads? 

Unless this is a rhetorical question or your Rol who apparently keeps a database of VGChartz activity, these vindictive farmers use bookmarking to be able to comeback at harvest time to cut down the low hanging fruit and so maintain the fertile orchards of the VGChartz farm.

PS. One side effect of this is an increase in the numbers of crows attracted by the fruit resulting in a feeding frenzy that can lead to fighting over the spoils.



mjk45 said:
CGI-Quality said:

Note that I said cleared. It's most likely above 115m (I'm waiting on Sony's latest report).

Regardless, the point is that it has already made its mark. 115m, 125m, 135m. Doesn't really matter. No need  to do more (though the bonus doesn't hurt) and this thread was bumped to remind the lowballers of that. ;)

Yes I noted that you said cleared, my only query was your 125m figure seemed high against the backdrop of 40k a week, not that PS4 sales weren't a success already, the rest of my post was a demonstration of why those 130-145 were valid and how Sony itself stopped that from happening everything else I mention is inline with your thoughts of it being a success despite that not occuring, cheers my friend.

When it comes to reporting numbers like that, with all due respect to our staff, I think 40K will prove to be lowballing it. That's why I go by Sony's financials, especially since PlayStation is harder to track than the others (9/10).

With the dust settled, I see it doing 125m, same prediction I gave on Nov 15, 2013. :)



                                                                                                                                                           

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mjk45 said:
IcaroRibeiro said:

How can you guys necrobump so many threads? 

Unless this is a rhetorical question or your Rol who apparently keeps a database of VGChartz activity, these vindictive farmers use bookmarking to be able to comeback at harvest time to cut down the low hanging fruit and so maintain the fertile orchards of the VGChartz farm.

PS. One side effect of this is an increase in the numbers of crows attracted by the fruit resulting in a feeding frenzy that can lead to fighting over the spoils.

It wasn't rhetorical. Dont understand what you meant by "your Rol"

Now I see. I was wondering because the search engine in this forum is truly bad, I can't find threads from before some months ago. People need to bookmark the pages by themselves and then comeback when needed. 



IcaroRibeiro said:
mjk45 said:

Unless this is a rhetorical question or your Rol who apparently keeps a database of VGChartz activity, these vindictive farmers use bookmarking to be able to comeback at harvest time to cut down the low hanging fruit and so maintain the fertile orchards of the VGChartz farm.

PS. One side effect of this is an increase in the numbers of crows attracted by the fruit resulting in a feeding frenzy that can lead to fighting over the spoils.

It wasn't rhetorical. Dont understand what you meant by "your Rol"

Now I see. I was wondering because the search engine in this forum is truly bad, I can't find threads from before some months ago. People need to bookmark the pages by themselves and then comeback when needed. 

 Yeah for the very reasons you mention bookmarking makes it easier than trying to find stuff from ages ago, "The except if your Rol who apparently keeps a   database of VGChartz activity" quote was referencing  the fact that the rest of us need to bookmark stuff unless your Rolstoppable whose database makes him   an exception.



LethalP said:

As we know from January 1st 2017 to June 11th 2017 the PS4 has sold 7 million units (53.4m to 60.4m). That's 5 months and 11 days, it's fantastic stuff.

So It's got me thinking how it would be fun to predict when it would reach certain milestones, or what it would sell by the beginning of each year going forward. So I'll start (bear with me, first thread lol):

Sold by Jaunary 2022 = 119 million (6 million in 2021)

Sold by January 2023 = 122 million (3 million in 2022)

Sold by January 2024 = 123.7 million (1.7 million 2023) (10 years on the market)

Lifetime Sales = 125 million

Nowhere close .. Will probably finish at 117/118M total

This year alone is so far from 6M ...

and next will be at best 500K.