RolStoppable said:
NATO said: So switch is tracking behind Xbox One in the first 5 weeks, and is no doubt due for a sharp fall in sales in the same manner. |
I fear that you are being serious.
Considering that Switch is still supply constrained in the USA after 11 weeks and reseller prices are above $350, Switch is going to keep doing 60k+ per week in the USA alone. The Xbox One was selling 60k per week globally at that point.
VGC numbers are several weeks behind, but in real time Switch is already ahead of the Xbox One and will continue to grow the gap in its favor. The only systems to provide competition for Switch on these charts are the 3DS and PS4. The 3DS had a bad start, but kicked into a notably higher gear after its price cut and sold more than 10m units in its first 52 weeks.
Based on trajectory, Switch is most comparable to the PS4. It doesn't look like Switch will need a price cut before hitting 10m.
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If Switch hits those 10M quick enough, and with good SW support, it won't need any price cut even longer, Ninty will most probably make good bundles for BF-Xmas 2018 to keep sales high and be able to cut price not before 2019.
BTW, when supplies will become more regular, people won't have to buy second hand at inflated price anymore, and there will also be unofficial small discounts every now and then before the first official cut, not to mention GameStop that will offer you a princely $/€/£10 discount (on unboxed and resealed units) if you bring them a PS4, two games, a kidney and your granny.
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