OdinHades said: Yeah, we all saw in the 50s how quick such a war would be over, didn't we? Never forget about China. China is the new superpower. With that in mind: please don't start World War 3, Mister Trump. Thanks! |
People seems to think that simply having better weaponry makes winning a war easy. Afghanistan and Iraq were supposed to be easy too. NK is way better armed, has a large army and people ready to die if the Supreme Leader says so. It's not like they have a good shot at defeating a US invasion, but this war would be costly and long. And it can only happen if China gets tired of Jon-un's stubborness and decides to abandom them to their own luck. This is quite hard since China won't want to "help" South Korea and Japan by doing so, it will happen only if NK commits a imbecile act of aggression against the US.
Even for the US, this situation could be catastrophic. If NK, with quite a bit of luck, managed to hit a US navy cruiser with a nuclear bomb, the US would face the dillema they always intended to avoid: nuclear counter-attack or not? Would they use nuclear weaponry so close of China and SK? Would it be considered a war crime since civilians would be attacked? But in the case they didn't used nukes and simply attacked NK with massive brute force and conventional weaponry, enough to basically destroy the place, it could send a message to other superpowers that you are allowed to strike the US with nuclear weaponry and they won't counter immediatily. They don't want Russia and China to think that the US wouldn't respond with nuclear force quickly, so maybe a full strike could be feasible.
Realistically, the US will wait for China to get fed up with NK or for them to attack first (so China won't back them up). Then they will try to make Jon-un look like a fool and maybe start up a small revolution with CIA. When the government falls, SK will just unify with NK. The US would probably give them loads of cash so they can fix the famine/economic issues in the North. China would be pissed, but they are probably seeing that NK is becoming more of problem than an asset.