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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Predict Hardware Sales for Nintendo Switch in Japan by end of year

4 million. 5 million with Pokemon.



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3m



2.9 milliion, could be higher if they drop a pokemon bomb.



“On my business card, I am a corporate president. In my mind, I am a game developer. But in my heart, I am a gamer.” - Satoru Iwata

Surprised so many believe it can do 4m this year in japan alone....
Am I underestimateing it too much, in thinking it ll more likely do like 2.5m?



3 million.



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JRPGfan said:

Surprised so many believe it can do 4m this year in japan alone....
Am I underestimateing it too much, in thinking it ll more likely do like 2.5m?

3DS did 4.3 million in its first year so not completely out of the question.



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3.5m. Splatoon 2 is probably gonna end up selling 2m copies, I think it's gonna blow up. And to top it off we also have Mario Kart and Mario Odyssey.



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zorg1000 said:
JRPGfan said:

Surprised so many believe it can do 4m this year in japan alone....
Am I underestimateing it too much, in thinking it ll more likely do like 2.5m?

3DS did 4.3 million in its first year so not completely out of the question.

That launched at 249$ though, and 3months into it got price cut down to 170$.

I dont see it doing 4m in japan first year, I just dont.... well maybe if Nintendo gets a 199$ price on it before the holidays.



JRPGfan said:

Surprised so many believe it can do 4m this year in japan alone....
Am I underestimateing it too much, in thinking it ll more likely do like 2.5m?

2.5 million is a fair prediction. As of right now Nintendo doesn't seem to be budging too much on producing more consoles than they envision on selling, so a soft estimate of ~8 million by the end of the year (WW) is good to go off of, give or take some over-production. However, we will see if Nintendo decides to expand production with NPD and Media Create in the coming months. If supply constraints continue and Nintendo starts producing more then there's a possibility for 3+ million, obviously.

My prediction: 2.8 million.



20m. Now I can say it had disappointing sales when it doesn't reach my ridiculous milestone



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