Yeah I know, but Japan is on top which is much more of a notable achievement since it has the smallest population of the three by far.

This thread is about Japan where Xbox One is irrelevant and Playstation 4 is not doing great either, they will have almost zero impact on how well Switch sells there.

4 million just in Japan? That really IS bold! But I like your optimism.

Without a big system seller like Pokemon Stars, Yokai Watch, Animal Crossing, etc. I'm not sure this has a chance of coming true, though. Fire Emblem would help, but the Switch exclusive isn't due until 2018 and Dragon Quest isn't exclusive to Switch, either, if I recall.

Maybe there will be a few big exclusives announced at E3? Doubtful, but I'll be interested to see if you're right! I'd love it if Switch hits 4mil in Japan this year. If Nintendo can keep up with demand, at least.

Yep for sure, i was just throwing that out there because alot of people seem to think the majority of 3DS sales come from Japan.

True, but Japan's global share of the non-iOS/Android gaming market is pretty much nil anyway, sad to say.

But fine : 4M units in Japan at ~$300? No way on earth. Even 3M would be a gargantuan achievement for something priced so poorly.

zelmusario said: 4 million just in Japan? That really IS bold! But I like your optimism. Without a big system seller like Pokemon Stars, Yokai Watch, Animal Crossing, etc. I'm not sure this has a chance of coming true, though. Fire Emblem would help, but the Switch exclusive isn't due until 2018 and Dragon Quest isn't exclusive to Switch, either, if I recall. Maybe there will be a few big exclusives announced at E3? Doubtful, but I'll be interested to see if you're right! I'd love it if Switch hits 4mil in Japan this year. If Nintendo can keep up with demand, at least.

You dont think Zelda, Mario Kart, Splatoon, 3D Mario & Dragon Quest are big system sellers?

No chance, even if it gets an exclusive pokemon and monster hunter game. 

I see it possible if Pokémon Stars is Real, but very though...

VGChartz is literally the only place on the internet I see such pessimism for the Switch that I'm seeing in this thread. I think matching 3DS sales of 4 million is a very reasonable prediction- on the upper end of the sales I'd expect, but not completely ridiculous like some of you are making out.

$300 is not priced poorly. It's the most powerful handheld system on the market, is cheaper than its competitors, and is a breath of fresh air in a stagnating console market. I have no doubt the Switch will be very successful.

3DS is still going strong though, if 3DS was as dead as WiiU and they marketed this as the true successor to both then I could see it having a chance at 4m