One of the things the Switch needs in order to be succesful is good third party support, but that will not come without third party games being supported upon release.
One of the reasons that third parties ditched the Wii-U early on was the lack of sales for their Titles. Games like assasins creed 4, and darksiders 2 did very poor in comparison to there playstation and xbox counterparts. Those games and other third parties might have not been the best ports, but they sold badly enough that the console stopped getting future third party support. People can contribute the lack of any kind of third party support after 2013 to the sales of the console, but if third party games sold relatively better compared to the 1st party games then the Wii-U would have preserved it's third party games despite it's small instal base.
The switch needs to sell third party games in order to keep them after it's initial launch and its first 1-2 years. But it has two glaring issues, which in my mind will cause it to fail in that department.
The first one being that it will recieve the worst version of the game available on the market. For the Switch owners with one of a PC, pS4, xb1, they will have to chose between a better graphical version of the game, or of having said game on the go for an even worse downgrade. This will already take away sales from a console which needs to prove from the get go that it can sell third party software.
The second issue is that, typical Nintendo fans do not support third party games. Other then the failure of big third party games on the Wii-U, exclusives like X (Yes i know it's a 1st party title) and Bayonetta 2 didn't sell enough. Yes the sales of both of these games did get hurt by the lack of hardware sales, but when games like Hyrule Warriors can get up to 1.25 million, and when a third release of twilight princess can break 1 million it simply isn't an excuse. Nintendo fans do not like/buy third party titles and that will make the switch quickly lose it's third parties.
With these two issues i forsee the Switch quickly losing third party support relatively quickly, and that is already being portrayed with the lack of a anouncmenets for games like mass effect, red dead redemption 2 and others.










