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Forums - Nintendo - I've changed my stance. Nintendo needs to go 3rd party

mountaindewslave said:

yawn. ridiculous statements. the Switch is nothing like the Wii U, its a portable hybrid for gods sake.

This is coming from someone who is a huge Nintendo fan but DIDNT like the Wii U but has preordered the Switch.

all of the doomsayers are either deliberately being ignorant or just aren't very aware, as acting like the Switch is anything like the Wii U is ridiculous. a HYBRID console is nothing like a home console that simply has a tablet mode for walking around your kitchen. 

no offense, but a lot of you Nintendo doomsayers seem like people who didn't like the 3DS either, a system that is still doing very well and sold out over the holidays. 

And its irrelevant if you're a Nintendo fan, it doesn't magically make your opinion any more important than someone who isn't a Nintendo fan, simply because there's a bit of parallel between what you claim to like and your predictions.

I also find it hilarious though that you criticize the the price of the Switch (and presumably the accessories)- that's sort of the point, Nintendo almost always makes profit from simply selling their systems or accessories. The concept that they should go third party when they've made loads of money from selling their own gear for years is just absurd. 

Some of you seem to think its impressive to be negative about a company you like. Its not. And there are tons of people (like myself) who didn't like the Wii U but have already bought the Switch. The concept that the market is aiming for at all the same people is just absurd.

Good luck with your negativity and disappointment with Nintendo, sounds like you're wallowing in it. Nintendo will be perfectly fine.

Sarcasm or...?



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bdbdbd said:
fordy said:

1. Nintendo started off with no competition. By your logic between points 1 and 2, they'd have gone down with the rest of the game companies in the crash. Nintendo survived and thrived because of their business model, not because of competition.

2. See point 1. After the crash, that didn't stop Nintendo from producing quality games, despite no competition.

3. You can't argue for a bad business model because of redundancies. Do you ever expect Nintendo to be successful anymore, or slowly start to drift into debt from an abundance of redundant workers?

Correction, Nintendo have their own hardware THAT'S A SMALL PORTION OF THE MARKET. There's a NEGATIVE incentive to keep their software on it. I have explained this before.

Wrong. The fact that a game is limited to one console is not what constitutes it as being great. That's a very illogical statement right there.

1. Started WHAT without competition? And when?

2. Where there was no competition?

3. What is the bad business model you're talking about?

Nintendo started their home gaming busines model without competition

US 1984? You haven't heard about this at all?

This is in general. Any sort of bad business shouldn't be argued with "but you'll lose jobs otherwise". That's desperation



fordy said:
onionberry said:

your fantasy share without facts, I mean, Nintendo sold more hardware this gen than xbox cause you know, the 3ds counts, still selling, with the best selling exclusive of 2016. So thinking about that, I'm not sure if your data is correct.

A company should go third party after selling 60+ million portable devices and millions and millions of games, because fuck logic.

I'd appreciate it if you read the OP properly and not strawmanned this out of nowhere. I've already included facts about why the Switch is a terrible predecessor on BOTH fronts.

After a previous generation of over 140 million, yeah, 60 million pales in comparison. Sorry, your argument is terrible.

yours doesn't make any sense to be honest, some companies have best selling products and then they sell less, if that was the case then a lot of corporations and companies would be dead. If they're making a profit doesn't matter how much they sell. And your prediction and opinion about the switch are just that, not "facts" overall a terrible thread with bad arguments of why a very healthy company with no debts and owner of the majority of it shares should give up their core business model to please your uneducated point of view.



onionberry said:
fordy said:

I'd appreciate it if you read the OP properly and not strawmanned this out of nowhere. I've already included facts about why the Switch is a terrible predecessor on BOTH fronts.

After a previous generation of over 140 million, yeah, 60 million pales in comparison. Sorry, your argument is terrible.

yours doesn't make any sense to be honest, some companies have best selling products and then they sell less, if that was the case then a lot of corporations and companies would be dead. If they're making a profit doesn't matter how much they sell. And your prediction and opinion about the switch are just that, not "facts" overall a terrible thread with bad arguments of why a very healthy company with no debts and owner of the majority of it shares should give up their core business model to please your uneducated point of view.

If the argument is that reduced sales are a result of makret contraction, the first point makes sense. If the company can remain profitable with diminished sales, the second point also makes sense. If the market contraction is indicative of a disappearing market, then Nintendo needs to adapt their business model.



Renna Hazel said:
fordy said:

Royalties are for copyrights, but how much do you think Nintendo collects on that per game....on a system with very small 3rd party support? If Nintendo made, for instance, 5 times the amount of profit per Nintendo title than a 3rd party title, and given Nintendo's ability to sell their games in much larger quantities, wouldn't a much bigger user base make this fact more than irrelevant?

It would depend on how much they're willing to charge. If it's just enough to cover the costs of maintaining the network, then that's made irrelevant.

It would, but I'm not seeing this much larger userbase. PS4, Vita and Xbox One barely have a larger userbase than Wii U and 3DS. Nintendo likely believes they can do better with Switch so it's worth giving it a try. 

It doesn't seem like we're ever really going to agree, but in the end I just feel that more hardware choices is better for me personally. If one of the console makers had to go, I'd prefer it not be the unique one of the 3. If you disagree, thats fine. 

On the other hand, if alienating their portable market with an expensive contender drives 3rd parties away, how much would that lose for Nintendo, not just in license fees, but in potential expansion of userbase?

I'm looking at it from a different perspective now. Nintendo does make some great idea in terms of software implementation. Surely moving to hardware with a lot higher capabilities to process those ideas would bring some very interesting ideas into play.



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potato_hamster said:
mountaindewslave said:

They claim that the handheld market is dead (absurd, the 3DS is selling quite well, in fact it sold better in 2016 than 2015, despite being 5 years old), they claim that the Switch is SPECIFICALLY the 3DS successor (when its the successor to both the Wii U and 3DS, its a combination hybrid),

That's curious.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/262074/worldwide-sales-of-the-nintendo-3ds-since-2004/

Now this chart only goes up to FY 16 (which ended March 16), but its total is 58.9M, which means, assuming vgchartz is correct and its total before black friday is correct, the platform has done 61.6 million total up to Black Friday, or 2.7 million between April 1 2016 and November 26th 2016 . So unless you're willing to argue that the 3DS sold or will sell 4.2 million units between Black Friday, and March 17, with the release of the Switch 3 months from now, then no, you're dead wrong.


Shipments for the first 2 fiscal quarters this year are at 2.71 million compared to 2.28 million the year before. It needs to ship 4.08 million in the next two quarters to remain flat.

NPD leaks have said 3DS is up over 200k YoY in October+November add in December and that number could very well be 300k. According to Media Create, 3DS is down about 300k YoY in October December so USA & Japan pretty much cancel each other out. 3DS sales trends in Europe typically follow closer to USA than Japan and i believe we got confirmation that 3DS was up YoY in the UK so i would think its safe to assume Europe as a whole was up YoY during the holidays.

Based on that its likely that 3DS shipments in the last quarter were up YoY, extending the current lead it had in the first 2 quarters. Even if shipments werent as high, the 430k lead probably wasnt erased so either way its looking like 3DS shipments are equel to or greater than last years shipments in the first 3 quarters of the fiscal year.

The only way i see 3DS shipments being down YoY for the full fiscal year is if Nintendo is trying to reduce the amount of stock at retailers which is possible do to Switch releasing in March.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
potato_hamster said:

That's curious.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/262074/worldwide-sales-of-the-nintendo-3ds-since-2004/

Now this chart only goes up to FY 16 (which ended March 16), but its total is 58.9M, which means, assuming vgchartz is correct and its total before black friday is correct, the platform has done 61.6 million total up to Black Friday, or 2.7 million between April 1 2016 and November 26th 2016 . So unless you're willing to argue that the 3DS sold or will sell 4.2 million units between Black Friday, and March 17, with the release of the Switch 3 months from now, then no, you're dead wrong.


Shipments for the first 2 fiscal quarters this year are at 2.71 million compared to 2.28 million the year before. It needs to ship 4.08 million in the next two quarters to remain flat.

NPD leaks have said 3DS is up over 200k YoY in October+November add in December and that number could very well be 300k. According to Media Create, 3DS is down about 300k YoY in October December so USA & Japan pretty much cancel each other out. 3DS sales trends in Europe typically follow closer to USA than Japan and i believe we got confirmation that 3DS was up YoY in the UK so i would think its safe to assume Europe as a whole was up YoY during the holidays.

Based on that its likely that 3DS shipments in the last quarter were up YoY, extending the current lead it had in the first 2 quarters. Even if shipments werent as high, the 430k lead probably wasnt erased so either way its looking like 3DS shipments are equel to or greater than last years shipments in the first 3 quarters of the fiscal year.

The only way i see 3DS shipments being down YoY for the full fiscal year is if Nintendo is trying to reduce the amount of stock at retailers which is possible do to Switch releasing in March.

Very curious that you keep using the word shipments. But you could be right, but that could also be explained away by Pokemon.



Insidb said:
onionberry said:

yours doesn't make any sense to be honest, some companies have best selling products and then they sell less, if that was the case then a lot of corporations and companies would be dead. If they're making a profit doesn't matter how much they sell. And your prediction and opinion about the switch are just that, not "facts" overall a terrible thread with bad arguments of why a very healthy company with no debts and owner of the majority of it shares should give up their core business model to please your uneducated point of view.

If the argument is that reduced sales are a result of makret contraction, the first point makes sense. If the company can remain profitable with diminished sales, the second point also makes sense. If the market contraction is indicative of a disappearing market, then Nintendo needs to adapt their business model.

It's not about sales, it's about profit, The switch could be more profitable selling 40m units than the ps3 selling 80 million units. Net profit is what dictates the future of a company, Nintendo is not going to close buildings and stop their core business cause their present device sold less than their last device. And not, it's not going to close doors because of a "popular" opinion. doesn't matter how people feel about their hardware and all that crap, I'm talking about how a company operates. Nintendo is very healthy and "the nintendo should go third party" is getting tiresome cause it makes sense inside their head, but when we talk in terms of business it's a big wtf.



potato_hamster said:
Hapuc12 said:

Like i said from software hardware is just icing on the cake.

One Mario kart 8 sold

8 mil * 59 =over 450 mil revenue

And it all depends on the software they sell.

Ohh yes, because they get all of the $59 a game retails for. The stores sell it at a 0% margin (they donate their employees labour and other overhead costs), the distrubutors warehouse and ship it at a 0% margin  (they also donate their employees labour and other overhead costs), the manufacturer of the phyical game itself does so at a 0% margin (they donate their employees labour, the materials to make the game and other overhead costs), and Nintendo themselves don't actually pay their employees to make the game, they make Mario Kart for free. Nintendo's overheard? Donated because the utility companies, the equipment manufacturers, etc all love Nintendo that much!

That $59 is going staight into Nintendo's pocket, paid for by the free labour and material of those who made that game happen, and got it out to the consumers simply out of the goodness of their hearts.

i Said revenue was 452 milion i didn't say anything about Tax and Cuts for retailers in my sentences,read what i write don't interpret it like something else but what it is.

i said over 450 was revenue not for Nintendo but grand scheme of things Nintendo got like 250 to 300 mil of that.



onionberry said:
fordy said:

I'd appreciate it if you read the OP properly and not strawmanned this out of nowhere. I've already included facts about why the Switch is a terrible predecessor on BOTH fronts.

After a previous generation of over 140 million, yeah, 60 million pales in comparison. Sorry, your argument is terrible.

yours doesn't make any sense to be honest, some companies have best selling products and then they sell less, if that was the case then a lot of corporations and companies would be dead. If they're making a profit doesn't matter how much they sell. And your prediction and opinion about the switch are just that, not "facts" overall a terrible thread with bad arguments of why a very healthy company with no debts and owner of the majority of it shares should give up their core business model to please your uneducated point of view.

Fact: The Switch costs more than the 3DS' original price. You know...the one that Nintendo had to cut in panic and incur a loss in order to boost sales? How do you think that the Switch will get around that? 

Fact: There has been less reception from 3rd parties with the Switch than the WiiU. With 30 games released on the WiiU at launch, ony 5 Switch games are planned at launch. Lisensees have dropped too, if you look at the slide showing the 3rd party supporters for the WiiU at announcement vs 3rd party supporters for the Switch at announcement.

This is Nintendo's answer to two previous markets they've been in, and so far the results have been worse than their worst market. What's your argument to this? 

Actually, the number of shareholders that support 3rd party are growing ranks in Nintendo, and they wouldn't be requesting this out of nowhere, if everything was fine and dandy. At least one of Nintendo's markets has been propped up by the other for the majority of the past 15 years. Now that those markets have merged, what's going to happen if it fails? This isn't a smart move at all....it's in fact put Nintendo in a much more volatile position, cannibalising a market that they already had control of for the sake of leverage.