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Forums - Sales - May 2016 NPD Thread! Hardware and software numbers up!

Teeqoz on 10 June 2016
SWORDF1SH said:
Dadrik said:
922k by May 21st according to VGC in the US only.

Yeah. They have week one sales so it could be a case of them putting a too big of a percentage of those sales in the US. Week one ww totals also look a little too high considering its 2.7m with digital. 

"A little".



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SWORDF1SH on 10 June 2016
jason1637 said:
SWORDF1SH said:

End of October is a damn bit better than May. Anyway yeah a few more weeks and a bigger install base gave Uncharted a chance but still didnt beat Halo in the US.That still would of been laughed at to suggest last gen.

Off topic Uncharted easily beat Halo WW first week so a damn big chunk of the 2.7m first week came from  outside the US. Not so hard to believe when over 50% of xbox ones are sold in US compared to around 30% of all PS4s. 

Yeah, I just expected Uncharted to do more than Halo. Halo is still a pretty big series here in the US so it makes sense and Uncharted is sold more WW so its not much of a big deal. 

Hopefully Sony don't bundle it because I would like to see how good the legs are and if it gets a decent spike during the holiday. 



Dadrik on 10 June 2016
SWORDF1SH said:
Dadrik said:
922k by May 21st according to VGC in the US only.

Yeah. They have week one sales so it could be a case of them putting a too big of a percentage of those sales in the US. Week one ww totals also look a little too high considering its 2.7m with digital. 

879k with bundles in 3 weeks ?

That would mean there is already like a 100k overtrack so far...

That's kind of a lot



Just because you have an opinion doesn't mean you are necessarily right.

SWORDF1SH on 10 June 2016
Teeqoz said:
SWORDF1SH said:

Yeah. They have week one sales so it could be a case of them putting a too big of a percentage of those sales in the US. Week one ww totals also look a little too high considering its 2.7m with digital. 

"A little".

Lol OK it's overtracked by at least 300k



Aquamarine on 10 June 2016
Dadrik said:
SWORDF1SH said:

Yeah. They have week one sales so it could be a case of them putting a too big of a percentage of those sales in the US. Week one ww totals also look a little too high considering its 2.7m with digital. 

879k with bundles in 3 weeks ?

That would mean there is already like a 100k overtrack so far...

That's kind of a lot

 

SWORDF1SH said:
Teeqoz said:

"A little".

Lol OK it's overtracked by at least 300k

Per the norm with many initial VG Chartz estimates, I'm afraid.

You really can't trust them until they've been revised based on actual market data. Projections based on precedent and intermittent sampling can only get you so far.



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Dadrik on 10 June 2016
Aquamarine said:
Dadrik said:

879k with bundles in 3 weeks ?

That would mean there is already like a 100k overtrack so far...

That's kind of a lot

 

SWORDF1SH said:

Lol OK it's overtracked by at least 300k

Per the norm with many initial VG Chartz estimates, I'm afraid.

You really can't trust them until they've been revised based on actual market data. Projections based on precedent and intermittent sampling can only get you so far.

Especially if they based themselves on the 2.7M thing.

They probably made an arbitrary digital/retail ratio and went with it

Or vastly overestimated the US numbers



Just because you have an opinion doesn't mean you are necessarily right.

SWORDF1SH on 10 June 2016
Dadrik said:
SWORDF1SH said:

Yeah. They have week one sales so it could be a case of them putting a too big of a percentage of those sales in the US. Week one ww totals also look a little too high considering its 2.7m with digital. 

879k with bundles in 3 weeks ?

That would mean there is already like a 100k overtrack so far...

That's kind of a lot

Having taken a look I think they messed up the digital percentage of the 2.7M.



Dadrik on 10 June 2016
SWORDF1SH said:
Dadrik said:

879k with bundles in 3 weeks ?

That would mean there is already like a 100k overtrack so far...

That's kind of a lot

Having taken a look I think they messed up the digital percentage of the 2.7M.

That, and/or it sold more than they thought in the EU



Just because you have an opinion doesn't mean you are necessarily right.

Teeqoz on 10 June 2016
Aquamarine said:
Dadrik said:

879k with bundles in 3 weeks ?

That would mean there is already like a 100k overtrack so far...

That's kind of a lot

 

SWORDF1SH said:

Lol OK it's overtracked by at least 300k

Per the norm with many initial VG Chartz estimates, I'm afraid.

You really can't trust them until they've been revised based on actual market data. Projections based on precedent and intermittent sampling can only get you so far.

It still surprises me though. We got 2.7 million first week from Sony. Using a reasonable digital ratio, that means 2 million physical tops (probably more like 1.9ish), yet VGC ends up with 2.3 million.... How? xD



jason1637 on 10 June 2016
SWORDF1SH said:
jason1637 said:

Yeah, I just expected Uncharted to do more than Halo. Halo is still a pretty big series here in the US so it makes sense and Uncharted is sold more WW so its not much of a big deal. 

Hopefully Sony don't bundle it because I would like to see how good the legs are and if it gets a decent spike during the holiday. 

Isn't it already bundled?