Cost
3rd Party
Powerful Enough
Less Droughts
More connected (Cloud/etc.)

This is all easier said than done.

I don't agree. I don't think the NX has any chance whatoever aside from beeing aimed at the casual market as the Wii was.
I believe it is impossible for Nintendo to capture the semi-hardcore audience at this point in time. For them to do that it requires meticulous planning and timing.

What is this statement based on? There is literally nothing to support this idea and for some reason people say it all the time.

The casual market is fairly hard for the NX to seriously crack.

Apple/Google are stronger competition than even Sony/MS at this point.

They can't be beaten on price (free) or accessibility (everyone has a smartphone) or ease of use (3 years olds play smartphone games, hoardes of women play smartphone games), part and parcel why Nintendo bent and decided to cash in on the app market, knowing they couldn't win a fight against it.

well i think its impossible to catch the casual audience at this time. They have their smartphones, they are fine. They are not gonna buy a console anytime soon

We do, but you can't compare limited games from 1998, like Ocarina of Time, with what we have currently (like The Witcher or Skyrim). it's really not just the graphics... it's the scope, it's the size, it's much better animations, it's better performance which directly affects gameplay, it's better Artificial Inteligence, and so on... so it really changes how you play.

About notebooks/laptops... it's really not the same thing. They are not dedicated gaming machines and it's not like their size is so small you can carry around in your pockets. Like... have you ever seen someone just pulling out his/her laptop on the train to play Dark Souls III? 

That depends on what it is. But it does go to my statement that i think its doomed to failure. If its a home console that is.

Actually i think it is one of Nintendo's worst mistakes. It will be the Dreamcast all over again bar the innovations most probably.

But hey... maybe it really is something completely different like Nintendo said.

Well the only pruprose of those gaming notebooks it to play portable. Otherwhise nobody would buy them (they are much more expensive then a destkop PC and have less power in general). Sure they might not be AS portable as an handheld, but they are portable devices as well and there are customers who buy them.

In terms of games scope and co, well we have xenoblade on new 3ds. That might not be a witcher 3, but in terms of the open world it comes close.

Well even if nintendo manages to make something that work and casuals will buy it, that wont help them in the long run. The gimmick will be copies fast and what next gen? You cant pull out an awesome innovation every new gen. And Nintendo is an Gaming only company, they need to sell their hardware and software and relying just on gimmicks wont work forever.

It needs two features to be a success:

1. Low price

2. Games

That's it.