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Forums - Sales Discussion - how big of a boost will the MGS4 bundle give?

The title pretty much says it all.



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A big ass boost!

That's the kinda boost it will get.



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Probably not much. I'd guess that most of the MGS fanboys out there already bought a PS3 at launch.



"'Casual games' are something the 'Game Industry' invented to explain away the Wii success instead of actually listening or looking at what Nintendo did. There is no 'casual strategy' from Nintendo. 'Accessible strategy', yes, but ‘casual gamers’ is just the 'Game Industry''s polite way of saying what they feel: 'retarded gamers'."

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metal gear solid/ps: 5.59mil
metal gear solid 2/ps2: 5.56mil
metal gear solid 3/ps2: 3.96mil

it has been in a decline since the first, even tho larger userbase for each subsequent release

now, mgs4 may do better than mgs3 because ps3 owners will be more likely to buy it as one of a dozen good games instead of one of 100 good games

however, i don't think it is much of a system seller...those who are most likely to buy it already have a ps3...others who would like to buy it won't buy a ps3 until price goes down...a decent amount will buy it, but it won't bump up sales more than a few hundred k max

while it has great name recognition, it just isn't a huge seller like u would think



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp

a big boost.



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please define big boost...the 4 weeks following mgs debut will average 100k/week more than the 4 weeks prior to mgs? 200k? 50k? what does a 'big boost' or a 'big ass boost' mean??



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp

100K in NA that week (usually 60K)

120K in EU (usually 70K)

50K in Japan..(usually 15K)

so we are looking at a 40K + 50K + 35K

= 125K boost for that week



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

so a 1-time 125k boost? i can buy mgs making a 1-300k boost for ps3...it'll be harder to convince me of a 500k+ boost from mgs4



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp

@fastra

125K in first week....but you must see what the sustained effect will be..

also my numbers may be low as we have NO IDEA as to what boost GTA IV will have created by then



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

so what is the sustained effect?

that's why i said average sales of 4 weeks after mgs vs average sales of 4 weeks before mgs...

so u think a 125k boost first week and then how much after that? enough to total more than 300k total boost before price break?



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp