I explained it before several times, so I don't want to go into detail now.

There's the fact that 3DS has no new first party games (excluding Federation Force) this year. This clearly indicates that it will be replaced very soon. I expect it to be replaced at the end of this year or until March 31st, 2017 at thr latest.

So, if the 3DS successor launches in this time period, the Wii U successor can't. So expect it to launch one year later, namely at the end of 2017.

There's also Zelda. Nintendo confirmed that it will launch on Wii U in 2016. Of course it does make sense to bring it to the next console, but I don't expect that to happen this year. Recent years have shown that ports with one year delay are way more common. The Last of Us or GTAV for example. Why didn't Take Two or SCE make PS4 ports right at launch? They wanted to sell the PS3 version. After that they wanted to make people buying the PS4 version. So they bought it twice. I expect Nintendo to do the same. Wii U Version = end of 2016, NX version = end of 2017. It does make way more economic sense.

Nintendo's internal teams are still mainly making Wii U games (Zelda, Star Fox, Twilight Princess, probably Pikmin). There's also that rumor of a Paper Mario game from Intelligent Systems. All those devs can't work on NX games simultaneously. But Nintendo wants the NX to have a good launch. 

Talking about Paper Mario: This game will probably be launched at the end of the year. Does it make sense to release it one or two months before the next console launches? No. Another indicator that NX won't launch this year.

There's Kimishima promising more Wii U games. More Wii U Games = longer lifespan

Wii U is doing quite well. Software sales are great. Mario Kart 8 for example has sold 2.3 million units in 2015, Smash 1.7 million units. Splatoon has surpassed 4 million in less than a year and Super Mario Maker has almost reached 3 million in 3 months. There's also the DLC for Mario Kart or Smash. I don't see it selling terrible.

Nintendo is not Sony. They can't reach a huge audience in less than a year if they first show it off and launch it this year. Launch will probably be as silent as the Wii U one's.

A four year lifespan of the Wii U will lose a huge amount of consumer's trust.

As you can see almost everything points to a launch not in 2016. And I'm pretty much sure that it won't launch this year.

"You're a blind" or "2016 is almost fact" comments are unwanted. Please don't write these senseless comments. Thanks you.

Pretty safe bet.

I think NX IS the portable 3DS successor along with the Wii U successor as well. So when one launches, so does the other.

Also Wii U is not selling well, it's selling horribly, it's sales last holiday were actually down again from the previous year.

Yes software for a handful of games is doing OK, but all those IP would sell better on a better selling platform. For example Splatoon would easily be a 5-8 million seller on a better selling console. Nintendo is losing money the longer they ride the Wii U because it has a tiny userbase that isn't going to increase a ton.

It is waaaaaay behind the GameCube for sales, and we know Nintendo was not happy with GameCube sales so take a wild guess how much they like the Wii U. 

Too bad I have exclusive information that the NX is indeed coming out On November 21st, 2016

There's as many poeple who are 100% sure 2017 is the launch and throw these same comments to people who think its a 2016 launch.

Anyway as Kapi said this thread exists so let everyone argue there instead of in multiple threads.

It'll be the NX "handheld" but you'll be able to play games on your TV with a Wii U/PS4 through cloud streaming.

Why can't they? Please explain.

Because they have only 12.5 million consumers left. Some of them may not even buy another Nintendo console. Sony has an audience of at least 80 million people. Of course they can sell a product much faster and tell people much faster what it is. Look, 3 years after the Wii U launch there are still people who don't know what it actually is.

You can't compare that. Nintendo is still selling the Wii U for 300$/€. So, they make profit with every single console sold. They didn,t with the gamecube. Wii U also has way less expensive projects. So, they probably make more profit with games. There's also DLC now. Do not underestimate that!

False, Nintendo was still the GameCube at a profit at $99. And GameCube games have lower development costs than expensive HD games.