teigaga said:
Mummelmann said:
That's basically the argument Microsoft used against the Wii back in the day, that they would "upgrade" to a 360 once they were tired of the Wii. I don't believe it's a very good argument, to be honest.
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Well we honestly have no figures on how many Wii owners later got a 360, im there is plenty of cross over but thats aot a good comparison anyway. A fair portion of the Wii audience were essentially non gamers outside of wii sports/wii fit (same with DS games ala brain training, nintendogs). When Microsoft made that statement they partially expecting that those extreme casual/non gamers to eveolve into core gamers and upgrade to a core gaming system. That isn't part of the argument here, the premise is that Nintendo will release a fairly traditional, future proof console ahead of the competition to absorb their late life userbase. A better comparison would be PS2 owners, moving onto the 360 in 2006/7 when the PS3 was hugely overpriced and slow to generate system selling exclusives.
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But the 360 had massive 3rd party support, even better than the PS3 for most of its life. The odds that Nintendo can offer on their platforms what enticed buyers into getting an Xbox or a PS are slim to none, even if they choose the "hardcore" route.
No one will provide support out of goodwill and most developers will be busy milking the PS and Xbox installed bases.
A hardcore NX installed base will not grow without proper support, and proper support will not arrive without a proven audience or extreme money-hatting, there is just no way this is a viable strategy.
The 360 and PS3 were always going to appeal to the customer base, or potential customer base, of the PS2, but Nintendo hasn't really had a say in this market segment for at least two decades, likely more, and there is absolutely nothing to suggest they will get a say now with a new console. Especially coming off of a product line that have made them an obscure curiousity for said customer base.
No, I maintain that this is a ridiculous strategy if they try it, and it would be their worst move in a very long time (even worse than the Wii U).