Even with a PS4 release, it'll struggle to do even 3 million lifetime, which will be a disaster, as TR's 8 million was said to be "disappointing". It was a big mistake for getting an exclusive deal with Microsoft. Tomb Raider should've remained multiplatform.

Its hard to prove without the counterfactual one way or the other.

Crystal Dynamics and Phil were clear that Microsoft helped significantly with development, resulting in the game being excellent. After costs got so out of hand on the first game, its likely that that assistance was integral to the game being so good.

Given the game would have been of poorer quality without the exclusivity deal, I think its clear that in the long run, the deal was healthy for the franchise - at least for those who are interested in it.

From a purely sales perspective, its even harder to speculate. Had the game come out and got a Metacritic of say, 75, due to it being poorer for the lack of investment from Microsoft, this iteration would have suffered heavily. That, in turn, would have effected perceptions (and investment) for the third game.

Its death

what exclusive deals? most Street Fighter Fans are on PS4 now anyways. Thats why it hasnt bothered anyone. 

And most of these so called Sony deals are decisions by the publishers to avoid the Xbox Ones devolopement cost for a port, why should Square Enix for example port over Star Ocean 5 or Nier Automata when FF0 and Tombraider sales are poor as it is now. Even MGS5 sold 5 times less on X1 over the PS4 and thats why you wont see Kojimas next game for XOne.

If S-E were disappointed with the rather good sales numbers of TR2013, they'll be downright devastated with the low sales of rise.

I know I'll get it for ps4 this year though. Just hope square doesn't plan on charging full price.

There will probably not be another TR due to its horrible sales and Square Enix will cut ties with Crystal Dynamics. So CD will almost certainly go out of business or at the very least severely downsize its workforce.

I don't think it will have that big of an effect on the franchise.

This is possible if they release it at a good time. If they just try to throw it in with other big holiday games it's just going to get ignored again.

You honestly believe that? It was coming to the ps4 at the same time until late in it's development, lets so it wasn't and Microsoft invested alot into the game why would they allow it on the ps4 at all? It be a SF5 situation but it isn't, so I highly doubt it was significant  

As long as it does well enough on PC and PS4 I think the series will be fine.