gooch_destroyer said:
binary solo said:
For all that PS4 is doing very well, these sales are not getting anywhere close to making up for the massive die off in Nintendo and Xbox sales. There's a very good chance this generation will be 50% of last generation, especially if MS sees the writing on the walll and hits reset early (2017 is my guess). Dying might be overstating it, but console gaming has definitely passed its peak in its current form. The 7th gen is the peak generation for total console sales and we will never see its like again, IMO.
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Basically, no it's not dying. However, console gaming is slowly decling. Right?
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Transforming, IMO. Gaming in front of the TV will always be with us, and I think it will still always be a popular way to game. But the way the games will be delivered to us is going to fundamentally change over the next 10 years or so. Digital sales of full games is increasing, but I think digital sales of full games will kinda be like the Blu-ray situation. It will be rapidly overtaken by streaming. There is a big problem with having upgrade cycles for dedicated gaming machines, not least the issue of backwards compatibility. Game streaming pretty much eliminates that fixed hardware upgrade cycle. On the one hand you will have new hardware coming out all the time, on the other hand you will have people able to stream the latest games on 10-year old hardware, albeit possibly at lower resolution / fps. If PSNow manages to survive and be a streaming service with decent content, pricing and longevity PS4 is could be the last traditional console I own. Better still, of course, will be a unit that can stream games from multiple game streaming services so you are not tied down to one streaming ecosystem.
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