Wii will pass 360 in North America within month of July.
Metal Gear Solid 4 will NOT go to PS3
PS3 won't make it out alive past 2009.
Sony will have massive layoffs and downsizings.
Sony may jettison its game division altogether.
Wii and DS will be the best selling game systems of all time.
Predictions from Mr. Know-it-all John Lucas.
It will probably be August or September. The Wii gained 200k in US, about 300k in Japan, and probably inbetween for Europe. Even at 300k in Europe, that's a gain of 800k a month. I believe this to be a very high estimate, but if that is the case it will gain 2.4 million in the next 3 months. That's not enough.
About your ABSURD prediction on MGS4:
During a recent
Kojima Productions Report podcast,
Konami's
Ryan Payton stated:
"I can tell you honestly at this point, we have not changed the game in any form with the idea of 'oh, we got to do this on 360.' Put aside whether or not we're developing for 360 or not, the game is built on the PS3 hardware, as you guys have known for the past two years or so."
With MGS4 married to PS3 hardware, designed to fit on a Blu-ray disc and the MGS movie being made by Sony Pictures, I'll be surprised if the game ends up on the Xbox 360. There's also Kojima telling Plunkett in April, "MGS4 is aimed for the movie theatre, it's aimed for the PS3, so the game's scenario and graphics need this theatre-type hardware. It's when a producer has a game that can work on the 'DVD level' that a game will go multiplatform."
http://kotaku.com/gaming/port-update/mgs4-still-being-built-on-ps3-hardware-261471.phpNot only is it unlikely to be on the 360, there is no way at all it won't be on the PS3. Kinda makes you seem crazy to predict such a thing.
I think you are probably wrong about everything else (except maybe DS beating PS2 for highest selling eventually), but we won't know until at least 2009.